Tulsa sports writer Bill Haisten analyzes Saturday's Conference USA championship game that matches the University of Tulsa and East Carolina.
Tulsa rushing game vs. East Carolina rush defense
At 259.1 yards per game, the Golden Hurricane is seventh nationally in rushing offense. TU by far is Conference USA's best ground-game team. The Hurricane averages 5.6 yards per attempt. Tarrion Adams is the featured back (1,196 yards and nine TDs), but TU gets widespread productivity. Of the seven Tulsa players who have at least 33 rush attempts this season, five ? Adams, Jamad Williams, Charles Opeseyitan, A.J. Whitmore and Damaris Johnson ? average at least 6 yards per attempt. East Carolina allows 132.6 rushing yards per game (ranking third in C-USA). During a 24-3 upset of then-No. 8-ranked West Virginia, the Pirates limited the Mountaineers to 179 rushing yards. For the season, West Virginia averaged 224. East Carolina goes to battle with an experienced defensive front. Ends Zack Slate and C.J. Wilson, nose guard Linval Joseph and linebacker Pierre Bell are the veterans of a combined total of 121 career starts.
Edge: Tulsa. The Hurricane has been consistently successful on the ground, and will be again on Saturday. In seven games this season, TU ran for at least three touchdowns.
TULSA PASSING GAME VS. EAST CAROLINA PASS DEFENSE
In his first and only season as the Hurricane's starting QB, senior David Johnson has been tremendous. He has thrown for 42 TDs and ranks No. 1 nationally in pass efficiency, sixth in passing yards (3,671) and eighth in total offense (317.4-yard average). Johnson and co-offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn have done a masterful job of distributing the football. Damaris Johnson leads TU with 44 catches, followed by Brennan Marion (39) and Slick Shelley and Charles Clay (32 apiece). Protection could be an issue for TU as senior right guard Justin Morsey, who has started in every game this season, sustained what is believed to be a serious leg injury at Marshall last week. Expected to start in his place is a first-year freshman, Clint Anderson. The East Carolina defense has allowed only 16 TD passes while totaling 16 interceptions. The Pirates have recorded 26 sacks (the league's third-best total). Ends Zack Slate and C.J. Wilson have a combined total of 12 sacks.
EDGE: Tulsa. Johnson has completed 66 percent of his passes. East Carolina can't key on just one or two TU receivers and expect the Hurricane to falter. TU has too many weapons, and Malzahn's play-calling involves every receiver.
East Carolina rushing game vs. Tulsa rush defense
This would seem to be a pronounced advantage for the Golden Hurricane. TU has Conference USA's second-best rush defense (131.6 yards allowed per game), while the Pirates have had only modest success on the ground. In four games this season, East Carolina rushed for less than 90 yards. The Pirates average 126 rushing yards per game. They ran for 231 yards against UTEP last week, and that was by 51 yards their best performance of the season. Sophomore running back Norman Whitley (563 yards, 4.7 average) is ECU's primary ball-carrier, but he has scored only three touchdowns and hasn't broken a run of longer than 42 yards. TU middle linebacker Mike Bryan, end Moton Hopkins and strong safety James Lockett have a combined total of 34.5 tackles behind the line of scrimmage. Against the Hurricane, Arkansas ran 31 times for 50 yards, UTEP 21 for 32, Tulane 35 for 73 and Central Florida 48 for 63.
Edge: Tulsa. With East Carolina having struggled to run effectively against most opponents, it's not likely that the Pirates will have sustained success against TU.
EAST CAROLINA PASSING GAME VS. TULSA PASS DEFENSE
Pirate quarterback Pat Pinkney has completed 64 percent of his passes for 2,257 yards, but for only 11 touchdowns against seven interceptions. The East Carolina passing game was dealt a setback on Nov. 15, when wide receiver Dwayne Harris sustained a season-ending foot injury against Southern Miss. Harris (58 catches) was Pinkney's favorite target. On Saturday, Pinkney may frequently look in the direction of tight end Davon Drew, a 260-pound senior who has 35 receptions this season. A senior veteran of 30 starts, Drew averages 15.6 yards per catch. The Pirate offensive line has given up 26 sacks this season. Tulsa counters with a defense that leads Conference USA with 36 sacks. Hurricane senior Roy Roberts is a playmaking defensive back (10 career interceptions), but TU has allowed 269 passing yards per game and 31 passing TDs. Six opponents surpassed the 300-yard mark in passing.
Edge: Tulsa. This is not a big-play Pirate attack. East Carolina hasn't had a pass play of longer than 52 yards. Before a national TV audience, with a title at stake, TU's pass-rush specialists could make it a tough outing for Pinkney.
SPECIAL TEAMS
For Tulsa, there could be a big-play opportunity on kickoff returns. East Carolina is 10th in C-USA on kickoff coverage, while Hurricane freshman Damaris Johnson has set a school record with 1,273 kickoff-return yards (26.0-yard average). A team that leads the nation in total offense, as TU does, rarely has to punt and rarely settles for field goals. Michael Such has punted only 16 times all season and has done it effectively (44.4-yard average). Jarod Tracy is 8-of-11 on field goals, but missed on his only attempt from beyond 40 yards. East Carolina's Ben Hartman is 17-of-26 on field goals, but only 4-of-11 beyond 40 yards.
Edge: Tulsa. Only a slight advantage for the Hurricane. Damaris Johnson has a chance to pop a big return and have an impact on field position. Neither team has a dynamic punt-return game.
Tulsa rushing game vs. East Carolina rush defense
At 259.1 yards per game, the Golden Hurricane is seventh nationally in rushing offense. TU by far is Conference USA's best ground-game team. The Hurricane averages 5.6 yards per attempt. Tarrion Adams is the featured back (1,196 yards and nine TDs), but TU gets widespread productivity. Of the seven Tulsa players who have at least 33 rush attempts this season, five ? Adams, Jamad Williams, Charles Opeseyitan, A.J. Whitmore and Damaris Johnson ? average at least 6 yards per attempt. East Carolina allows 132.6 rushing yards per game (ranking third in C-USA). During a 24-3 upset of then-No. 8-ranked West Virginia, the Pirates limited the Mountaineers to 179 rushing yards. For the season, West Virginia averaged 224. East Carolina goes to battle with an experienced defensive front. Ends Zack Slate and C.J. Wilson, nose guard Linval Joseph and linebacker Pierre Bell are the veterans of a combined total of 121 career starts.
Edge: Tulsa. The Hurricane has been consistently successful on the ground, and will be again on Saturday. In seven games this season, TU ran for at least three touchdowns.
TULSA PASSING GAME VS. EAST CAROLINA PASS DEFENSE
In his first and only season as the Hurricane's starting QB, senior David Johnson has been tremendous. He has thrown for 42 TDs and ranks No. 1 nationally in pass efficiency, sixth in passing yards (3,671) and eighth in total offense (317.4-yard average). Johnson and co-offensive coordinator Gus Malzahn have done a masterful job of distributing the football. Damaris Johnson leads TU with 44 catches, followed by Brennan Marion (39) and Slick Shelley and Charles Clay (32 apiece). Protection could be an issue for TU as senior right guard Justin Morsey, who has started in every game this season, sustained what is believed to be a serious leg injury at Marshall last week. Expected to start in his place is a first-year freshman, Clint Anderson. The East Carolina defense has allowed only 16 TD passes while totaling 16 interceptions. The Pirates have recorded 26 sacks (the league's third-best total). Ends Zack Slate and C.J. Wilson have a combined total of 12 sacks.
EDGE: Tulsa. Johnson has completed 66 percent of his passes. East Carolina can't key on just one or two TU receivers and expect the Hurricane to falter. TU has too many weapons, and Malzahn's play-calling involves every receiver.
East Carolina rushing game vs. Tulsa rush defense
This would seem to be a pronounced advantage for the Golden Hurricane. TU has Conference USA's second-best rush defense (131.6 yards allowed per game), while the Pirates have had only modest success on the ground. In four games this season, East Carolina rushed for less than 90 yards. The Pirates average 126 rushing yards per game. They ran for 231 yards against UTEP last week, and that was by 51 yards their best performance of the season. Sophomore running back Norman Whitley (563 yards, 4.7 average) is ECU's primary ball-carrier, but he has scored only three touchdowns and hasn't broken a run of longer than 42 yards. TU middle linebacker Mike Bryan, end Moton Hopkins and strong safety James Lockett have a combined total of 34.5 tackles behind the line of scrimmage. Against the Hurricane, Arkansas ran 31 times for 50 yards, UTEP 21 for 32, Tulane 35 for 73 and Central Florida 48 for 63.
Edge: Tulsa. With East Carolina having struggled to run effectively against most opponents, it's not likely that the Pirates will have sustained success against TU.
EAST CAROLINA PASSING GAME VS. TULSA PASS DEFENSE
Pirate quarterback Pat Pinkney has completed 64 percent of his passes for 2,257 yards, but for only 11 touchdowns against seven interceptions. The East Carolina passing game was dealt a setback on Nov. 15, when wide receiver Dwayne Harris sustained a season-ending foot injury against Southern Miss. Harris (58 catches) was Pinkney's favorite target. On Saturday, Pinkney may frequently look in the direction of tight end Davon Drew, a 260-pound senior who has 35 receptions this season. A senior veteran of 30 starts, Drew averages 15.6 yards per catch. The Pirate offensive line has given up 26 sacks this season. Tulsa counters with a defense that leads Conference USA with 36 sacks. Hurricane senior Roy Roberts is a playmaking defensive back (10 career interceptions), but TU has allowed 269 passing yards per game and 31 passing TDs. Six opponents surpassed the 300-yard mark in passing.
Edge: Tulsa. This is not a big-play Pirate attack. East Carolina hasn't had a pass play of longer than 52 yards. Before a national TV audience, with a title at stake, TU's pass-rush specialists could make it a tough outing for Pinkney.
SPECIAL TEAMS
For Tulsa, there could be a big-play opportunity on kickoff returns. East Carolina is 10th in C-USA on kickoff coverage, while Hurricane freshman Damaris Johnson has set a school record with 1,273 kickoff-return yards (26.0-yard average). A team that leads the nation in total offense, as TU does, rarely has to punt and rarely settles for field goals. Michael Such has punted only 16 times all season and has done it effectively (44.4-yard average). Jarod Tracy is 8-of-11 on field goals, but missed on his only attempt from beyond 40 yards. East Carolina's Ben Hartman is 17-of-26 on field goals, but only 4-of-11 beyond 40 yards.
Edge: Tulsa. Only a slight advantage for the Hurricane. Damaris Johnson has a chance to pop a big return and have an impact on field position. Neither team has a dynamic punt-return game.