dr. freeze said:
you don't middle things UNLESS you are making a play on Tech at whatever......
your bet on the Canes at -9 has obviously increased in value since you made the play........playing Tech against it will NOT increase the value anymore....
this mindset of having to middle things, hedging bets, and otherwise is NOT how you make money UNLESS you think you have a play on the other side too........
To answer the good Dr. Freeze:
...no, yes, and in the words of one of my legal professors, maybe yes, maybe no...it ain't necessarily so.
...i understand that the Tenn game didn't work out. Hell, I got Miami +2 before the season started...and you bet your ass I played that one back toward the middle with Tenn at home...not because I'm a homer, but because we ALL KNOW that ANYTHING can happen in CFB.
...but these are the decisions that we make as men of the trade; however, when you're in a position like that, you have to always take the middle ground. you've got to play the percentages...you've got to "be the book" my friend. you're playing the book's position in a large middle like that.... who wouldn't want the house's edge...they didn't build those castles in the desert out of "sure things" folks.
...koty's dad, please break down the math, but i'm gonna give it a simpleton's shot....
miami -8' or less...loss and win, (-0.1...juice)
miami -9...push and win, (+1.0)
miami -10 through 17, double down, baby. (+2.0)
miami -18...push and win, (+1.0)
va tech +18' or more...win and loss, (-0.1...juice)
va tech +ML (???) ...is it really outside the realm of possibilities? :shrug:
...even if you don't try to middle all of it, you'd be a fool to not hedge part of it with a pretty good chance at doubling a portion of it...? unless, of course, it's a very small amount, then fawk it, ya know? i mean...think about it folks, esp. in this game, we're talking two running teams...which means some clock grinding...hello, this is the same team that had a scare from rutgers, remember?
...you bet your ass that i'd take the chance that this one ends up betwen 9 and 18...with an opportunity to either double my $$ or only drop the juice...are you fawkin' kiddin' me? ...some one give me some prop. odds on that one.... :nutkick
JMHO...in all due respect.
:shrug:
p.s. (edit) ...yeah, i changed that ugly-ass avatar!!! :moon:
