careful tonight by ARROW

arrow

Registered User
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2003
6,197
1,532
113
64
lubbock, Texas
I know everyone is looking at the number 8 team in the nation getting 3-or 4 points. BUT this is what experience guys either stay away from or just bet south carolina and let the game play out. The books don't lose money. This is a trap game for kentucky. yes they have the best quarterback in football. BUT they have a suspect run defense and you can bet that south carolina will absolutely pound the ball and play keep away from kentucky. I don't think south carolina has that good of pass rush, but strange things happen on the road. Also if spurrier would'nt have been a dumb ass in the lsu game and go for it , one score down on a 4th and one from his own 38,in the third quarter, south carolina might have beat lsu, as there defense played great. i think if the line is 4 the bet should probably lean towards the under. South carolina knows that they want a low scoring, running game, ball control effort. south carolina does'nt get in shoot outs, I'll bet the under and maybe a small teaser with s.c. and under .Beware and be careful tonight guys, there are much better games this weekend. ARROW
 
Last edited:

samayam

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 19, 2006
265
0
0
not to mention that SC has the number one pass D in the nation if i am not mistaken...
 

Cie

Registered
Forum Member
Apr 30, 2003
22,391
253
0
New Orleans
not to mention that SC has the number one pass D in the nation if i am not mistaken...

This may be slightly skewed becuse LSU ran mostly (300 yds) during their recent matchup due to Flynn's injury and the rainy conditions.
 

arrow

Registered User
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2003
6,197
1,532
113
64
lubbock, Texas
that does'nt mean a thing to me as i watch all of these games during the week and study teams. Stats lie all the time by who teams play and what kinda teams they are. I know s.c. does not have that good of pass defense by the simple fact they could not put any pressure on the q.b. of the two games i have seen of them. teams that put pressure on the ball have good pass defenses most of the time. They have played one inferior opponent, and two other running teams, so what does that tell us, nothing guys.
 

#cruncher

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 26, 1999
9,296
348
83
New Orleans
Stats lie all the time by who teams play and what kinda teams they are. I know s.c. does not have that good of pass defense by the simple fact they could not put any pressure on the q.b. of the two games i have seen of them. teams that put pressure on the ball have good pass defenses most of the time. They have played one inferior opponent, and two other running teams, so what does that tell us, nothing guys.

Gamecocks opponent and Passing Yards Allowed
-------------------------------------------------------------------
ULL..................................63
GEO.................................213
S CAR ST..........................68
LSU..................................71
MISS ST............................118
--------------------------------------------------

Average............................106.6

Very impressive average but don't think ULL and Miss St are known to be passing teams...don't know about S Carolina St. Deceiving or not South Carolina does play great defense, but Kentucky's defense has improved, due in some part to the offense being able to run the ball better, and this being due to better offense line play, but also to a rare commodity these days (a bruiser fullback that can also catch the ball) :scared ...Check this dude out tonight (forget his name right now)...hope I didn't jinx him. Should be a great game either way. Hey, the winner of the SEC East this year is likey to have 2 losses anyway :com: It's wide open!
 
Last edited:

bert07

Registered User
Forum Member
Sep 22, 2005
2,379
10
0
46
Maryland
Arrow you are dead on with your post I still am going to play Kentucky tho
The Freshman qb worries me
KY skill players are seniors
USC has lost a couple key front 7 guys already this year
and i am a sucker bc I am going to ride the hot team

good luck
 

arrow

Registered User
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2003
6,197
1,532
113
64
lubbock, Texas
I am saying be careful thats all to the younger players as they don't understand spots like this that come up from time to time. Games that look to good to be true, we all know from losses are just that. I still believe the under is the better bet. south carolina will not want to and won't get into a shoot out tonight. ARROW
 

arrow

Registered User
Forum Member
Dec 27, 2003
6,197
1,532
113
64
lubbock, Texas
trapped?

trapped?

hopefully everyone stayed away from the trap. theres two more this weekend, i'll write more later as illinois/wisc is one of them.
 

ppluther

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 1, 2004
23
0
1
Solid Insight

Solid Insight

Arrow-

Great insight. Thank you for the advice, I took it and SC for a nice ticket. :00hour
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top