Congratulations on the GOY Jr! I was stupid going against you here! Very nice year across all sports. You’re the real deal.
CFB Fri 1/9 *Game of the Year*
- Thread starter Junior44
- Start date
I saw a potential matchup line this morning at one of my offshores and it was Indiana -6.5.
I won’t be shocked if opens even higher
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Nice call! This one would not have been close even without the Dante Moore start with the turnovers again. IU was so superior across the lines that Oregon needed a near perfect game.
I personally think Oregon is built too small for this late in the season. I do think the Canes will match IU’s physicality in the National Championship, if not show more. That is why I think they should be close at half. But IU is by far the best team this year by a lot. This was a gem and congrats for taking full advantage of it.
I personally think Oregon is built too small for this late in the season. I do think the Canes will match IU’s physicality in the National Championship, if not show more. That is why I think they should be close at half. But IU is by far the best team this year by a lot. This was a gem and congrats for taking full advantage of it.
Thanks guys.........a complete no doubter. should see a line on miami/Indiana soon
Post Season/Bowls YTD: 40-26 (+56.33u)
Post Season/Bowls YTD: 40-26 (+56.33u)
Indiana -7 to -7 1/2..........not jumping off this Indiana train now. they beat Alabama by 35 and beat oregon by 34. What should change?............with all due respect to Miami, Indiana rolls once again
Hard to imagine it will drop to 7. i may just wait and sell a couple points to -9.5.
Not sure when the 1H lines will come out, but I'm already thinking the first half Under will be a good play.
Not sure when the 1H lines will come out, but I'm already thinking the first half Under will be a good play.
I'm going to wait as well.........hate to put bets in a week in advance. No clue which way the line will move. Maybe Indiana will finally get the respect it deserves........ -3 to Oregon was a complete joke.
the question is... who was betting Oregon hard enough to drop the line?
maybe we just give "the sharps" a little bit too much credit sometimes.
Damn Smitty...you are a man with a set of stones! I love your idea of selling points up to a key number! Kinda like turning the tables on the ole bookmaker. But every time I consider doing it, I chicken out! I' m paranoid that I might lose the bet instead of winning the bet. Kinda the same reason I don't have the guts to wager on the money line when taking an underdog. I know I should do it...it makes sense to do it...but I just can't pull the trigger! Especially in the NFL...as often as those underdogs win the games outright. But doggone it...I'm going to do exactly what you are suggesting in the NC! I may even sell up to -13.5. I already have a nice size wager on Indy ml at + money, so why not give it a shot and try to stick one up the...
Thanks for the suggestion...
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Damn Smitty...you are a man with a set of stones! I love your idea of selling points up to a key number! Kinda like turning the tables on the ole bookmaker. But every time I consider doing it, I chicken out! I' m paranoid that I might lose the bet instead of winning the bet. Kinda the same reason I don't have the guts to wager on the money line when taking an underdog. I know I should do it...it makes sense to do it...but I just can't pull the trigger! Especially in the NFL...as often as those underdogs win the games outright. But doggone it...I'm going to do exactly what you are suggesting in the NC! I may even sell up to -13.5. I already have a nice size wager on Indy ml at + money, so why not give it a shot and try to stick one up the...
Thanks for the suggestion...
Cd. I know what you mean. The reason is because the wager is too big. Lower the wager and watch yourself betting moneyline dogs and selling points. It’s all about the size of the bet. I’ll do all that for a 9mm bullet. But if I launch that H bomb. Fk no. Gimme the points. Can’t risk on underdog moneyline. lol. So yes. I find it is psychological but the size of the wager dictates this angle more than anything for me.
No it doesn't. It means he's a pussy.
Slum, sack up!! That'd be like playing a big hand of blackjack, having 11 against a dealer's 6, and not doubling because it's already a big bet. Don't play scared!!
Believe me, I get it. I was the same way for many years. Never bet the ML. But then I realized... generally speaking, I don't bet dogs unless I think they have a realistic shot at winning. And they often did. So I finally started adding ML bets on most dogs I was betting at +7 or less. Haven't looked back. And this year is the first time I've been selling points. Still don't do it a lot, but overall I've been glad when I've done it. I think it's only bit me in the ass a few times. And, sure, it's painful when you lose by that point or two. Hell, last night the Oregon TT was 22.5. I bet under 21.5 at +110, even though I knew Oregon goes for 2 a lot. Sure enough, they ended on exactly 22. Go figure. But that shit is few and far between.
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