- Nov 8, 2003
- 119
- 1
- 0
- 68
Play AGAINST teams favored by 7+ pts who avg less than 100 yds rushing per game. They only have a 21% chance of covering.
(Note: this system as with any handicapping technique requires a certain amount of common sense when reviewing the data. If a team lays a statistical egg and/or faces a particularly difficulty opponent, that game should be excluded. As the season progresses, the statistical averages for teams will better indicate their rushing ability/inability).
That being said, there were 3 teams who played on 9/18 who fell into this exclusionary zone. They were: Fla St, Wsu, & Nev.
This play is 5-1 this season.
9/18/04
Miss (75 yd avg) -7 vs Van Miss 26 Van 23 W 1-0
Mia O (77) ?20.5 vs Oh Mia O 40 Oh 20 W 2-0
Hou (43) ?16 vs Army Hou 35 Army 21 W 3-0
Orst (71) ?12 vs NM Orst 17 Nm 7 W 4-0
9/23/04
Kent (73) ?7 vs Akron Akron 23 Kent 19 W 5-0
9/25/04
S Miss (97)-13 vs Tul S Miss 32 Tul 14 L 5-1
9/29/04
Mar-7 vs Mia O The Play: Mia O
Good luck,
-DZ-
(Note: this system as with any handicapping technique requires a certain amount of common sense when reviewing the data. If a team lays a statistical egg and/or faces a particularly difficulty opponent, that game should be excluded. As the season progresses, the statistical averages for teams will better indicate their rushing ability/inability).
That being said, there were 3 teams who played on 9/18 who fell into this exclusionary zone. They were: Fla St, Wsu, & Nev.
This play is 5-1 this season.
9/18/04
Miss (75 yd avg) -7 vs Van Miss 26 Van 23 W 1-0
Mia O (77) ?20.5 vs Oh Mia O 40 Oh 20 W 2-0
Hou (43) ?16 vs Army Hou 35 Army 21 W 3-0
Orst (71) ?12 vs NM Orst 17 Nm 7 W 4-0
9/23/04
Kent (73) ?7 vs Akron Akron 23 Kent 19 W 5-0
9/25/04
S Miss (97)-13 vs Tul S Miss 32 Tul 14 L 5-1
9/29/04
Mar-7 vs Mia O The Play: Mia O
Good luck,
-DZ-
