championship week viewing guide, picks against the spread

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Welcome to conference championship week.


While much of the focus of the sport understandably revolves around the College Football Playoff, winning a conference ranks high on every program?s list of accomplishments ? even if the opportunity to compete for a national championship is not on the horizon.


But among the Power Five conferences, each championship game has CFP implications starting with the Pac-12 on Friday night and going through the Big Ten to cap off an action-packed Saturday.


And if a few of these Power Five games turn into blowouts, there are five other title games to keep you occupied throughout your weekend.

5. No. 23 Virginia (9-3)[sos 69] vs. No. 3 Clemson (12-0)[sos 66]

Time: 7:30 p.m. | TV: ABC | Location: Charlotte | Line: Clemson -28.5

Virginia completed the cycle of ACC Coastal teams by clinching the division title with a streak-ending victory over Virginia Tech last weekend. The Cavaliers had lost 15 straight games to the Hokies but outlasted their rivals in a wacky second half and ultimately pulled out a hard-fought 39-30 win. Virginia, led by dual-threat quarterback Bryce Perkins, enters its first ACC title game on a four-game winning streak. Perkins is coming off perhaps the best game of his career: 20-of-33 passing for 311 yards with 164 yards and two scores rushing. But going against the Clemson defense will be a much bigger challenge.


On the other side, Clemson enters its fifth consecutive conference championship game on a ridiculous 27-game winning streak that dates back to Week 1 of the 2018 season. The defending national champions cruised to a title last year and haven?t slowed down. The Tigers had a few underwhelming performances early in the year, but haven?t played in a game decided by fewer than 31 points since a one-point win over North Carolina on Sept. 28. The lack of strength in the ACC has the Tigers at No. 3 in the CFP rankings, which apparently is a signal of some sort of disrespect to Dabo Swinney. If he has his team buying into the disrespect card, then you know his players will be at the top of their games for this one.


Picks
RALPH D. RUSSO (AP College Football Writer).CLEMSON 45-14.

Nick Bromberg: Clemson -28.5

Sam Cooper: Clemson -28.5

Pat Forde: Clemson -28.5

Pete Thamel: Clemson -28.5

Dan Wetzel: Clemson -28.5
CBS NCAA EXPERTS
Dennis Dodd-28.5
Jerry Palm-28.5
Tom Fornelli -28.5
Chip Patterson -28.5
Barton Simmons -28.5
Barrett Sallee -28.5
Ben Kercheval+28.5

ESPN+
'Stanford Steve' Clemson -28.5; Clemson 55, Virginia 20.
'The Bear':Clemson -28.5
Phil Steele Clemson -28.5
Doug Kezirian -28.5

FOX SPORTS
Jason McIntyre Clemson -28.5
 
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4. No. 1[sos 29[ Ohio State (12-0) vs. No. 8 [sos 38]Wisconsin (10-2)


Time: 8 p.m. | TV: FOX | Location: Indianapolis | Line: Ohio State -16

Ohio State has been the most dominant team in the country, winning all 12 of its games by a double-digit margin. The Buckeyes are coming off a 28-17 win over No. 8 Penn State that clinched the Big Ten East and a 56-27 road win over No. 13 Michigan, OSU?s eighth straight win over its biggest rival. Now the Buckeyes get another shot at Wisconsin, the team it dispatched easily, 38-7, back in October. Saturday night?s game will be one final showcase for OSU?s three ? yes, three ? Heisman candidates: QB Justin Fields, DE Chase Young and RB J.K. Dobbins. Fields has a ridiculous 37-to-1 touchdown-to-interception ratio, Young leads the nation with 16.5 sacks and Dobbins has rushed for 1,657 yards and 19 TDs. With a convincing victory, the Buckeyes should wrap up the No. 1 seed in the CFP.


Meanwhile, Wisconsin had to bounce back from back-to-back losses to win the Big Ten West. After losing to Illinois and OSU, the Badgers reeled off four straight, including an emphatic road win over Minnesota on Saturday to clinch the division. Though he scored three total touchdowns, Jonathan Taylor rushed for only 76 yards against the Gophers. But he was picked up by quarterback Jack Coan, who has had an excellent season that has fallen under the radar. Coan threw for 280 yards and two scores in the win and is now third in the country in completion percentage (72.3). Taylor is averaging 148.3 yards per game in his career, but has mustered only 93 yards total in two games vs. the Buckeyes. The Badgers may need a big game from Coan to pull off the upset.


Picks
RALPH D. RUSSO (AP College Football Writer) OHIO STATE 38-17.

Nick Bromberg: Ohio State -16

Sam Cooper: Ohio State -16

Pat Forde: Ohio State -16

Pete Thamel: Ohio State -16

Dan Wetzel: Ohio State -16

CBS EXPERT PICKS

Dennis Dodd- Ohio State -16.5

Jerry Palm Ohio State -16.5

Tom Fornelli Ohio State -16.5

Chip Patterson Wisc +16.5

Barton Simmons Ohio State -16.5

Barrett Sallee Wisc +16.5

Ben Kercheval Ohio State -16.5

ESPN+
"Stanford Steve" Coughlin Wisconsin +16.5; Ohio State 34, Wisconsin 22.
Chris "The Bear" Fallica Wisconsin +16.5

FOX SPORTS
Jason McIntyre Under 56.5
Colin Cowherd Wisc +16.5
 
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3. No. 5 Utah[sos 54] (11-1) vs. No. 13 Oregon[sos 44] (10-2)


Time: 8 p.m. (Friday) | TV: ABC | Location: Santa Clara | Line: Utah -6.5

Utah could snap a two-year drought for the Pac-12 by reaching the College Football Playoff. The Utes are going to need some help, however, if they can knock off Oregon on Friday night to win their first Pac-12 championship. With Georgia currently in that coveted No. 4 spot, Utah will need LSU to beat the Bulldogs in the SEC title game. Earlier Saturday, Utah fans will be rooting on No. 7 Baylor against No. 6 Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game. But even if OU wins, Utah has a heck of a case for the CFP selection committee. The Utes, since a Sept. 20 loss at USC, have been destroying teams. Since the loss, other than a close road win over Washington, Utah?s average margin of victory has been 32.4 points per game.


This game looked like it had the chance to be a playoff play-in game ? until Oregon was upset by Arizona State. The Ducks shook off a Week 1 heartbreaker to Auburn by winning nine straight games. But things changed two weeks ago in Tempe when turnovers by Justin Herbert and a late busted coverage ultimately doomed the Ducks in a 31-28 loss. Oregon rebounded last week with an underwhelming 24-10 win over an Oregon State team playing with a backup quarterback, and is now ranked No. 13. Still, the Ducks can win their first Pac-12 title since 2014 and clinch a spot in the Rose Bowl while playing spoiler for the Utes.


Picks

RALPH D. RUSSO (AP College Football Writer)UTAH 28-17.[-6.5]
,
Nick Bromberg: Utah -6.5

Sam Cooper: Oregon +6.5

Pat Forde: Oregon +6.5

Pete Thamel: Utah -6.5

Dan Wetzel: Utah -6.5

CBS EXPERT PICKS
Dennis Dodd- Utah -6.5

Jerry Palm-Oregon +6.5

Tom Fornelli Oregon +6.5

Chip Patterson Oregon +6.5

Barton Simmons Oregon +6.5

Barrett Sallee -Utah -6.5

Ben Kercheval Oregon +6.5

ESPN+
Stanford Steve" Coughlin Oregon +6.5; Utah 24, Oregon 20.
Chris "The Bear" Fallica Utah-Oregon under 47
 
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2. No. 7 Baylor[sos 42] (11-1) vs. No. 6 Oklahoma[sos 22] (11-1)


Time: Noon | TV: ABC | Location: Arlington | Line: Oklahoma -9

Baylor has been one of the season?s biggest surprises. The Bears opened the year 9-0, winning four of those games by a single possession. Matt Rhule?s group then had a massive opportunity to get to 10-0 and put itself in the thick of the College Football Playoff race when Oklahoma visited Waco on Nov. 16. Baylor jumped out to a 28-3 lead, only to allow a massive comeback from the Sooners in a 34-31 loss. But that loss didn?t linger. The Bears cruised against Texas and Kansas, setting up a rematch with OU, this time with the Big 12 crown ? and maybe more ? on the line.


For Baylor to get to the playoff, it will need losses from Georgia and Utah. That would open the door for the Bears to jump to No. 4. Oklahoma may not need that Utah loss. Oklahoma, if it gets another marquee win over Baylor, may have a better chance to make a move into that No. 4 spot, leapfrogging Utah in the process. But will Oklahoma?s close margins of victory hurt when compared to Utah? After suffering its only loss to Kansas State on Oct. 26, Oklahoma won its next three games by a combined eight points. The Sooners then capped off the regular season with a 34-16 win over No. 21 Oklahoma State. In that win, Jalen Hurts avoided the turnovers that have plagued him throughout the year. He?ll need to play another clean game.


Picks
RALPH D. RUSSO (AP College Football Writer) BAYLOR 31-28. [+9]

Nick Bromberg: Oklahoma -9

Sam Cooper: Baylor+9

Pat Forde: Baylor+9

Pete Thamel: Baylor+9

Dan Wetzel: Baylor+9


CBS EXPERT PICKS
Dennis Dodd- Okl-9

Jerry Palm-Okl-9

Tom Fornelli Baylor+9

Chip Patterson Okl-9

Barton Simmons Okl-9


Barrett Sallee Baylor+9

Ben Kercheval Baylor+9

ESPN+"Stanford Steve" Coughlin Baylor +9
Chris "The Bear" Fallica Oklahoma -8.5
 
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1. No. 4 Georgia (11-1)[sos 36] vs. No. 2 LSU [sos 25] (12-0)


Time: 4 p.m. | TV: CBS | Location: Atlanta | Line: LSU -7


It?s pretty simple for Georgia. Beat LSU and the Bulldogs are in the College Football Playoff. Well, the path is simple at least. LSU?s offense has been destroying basically every team in its path all season long, but Georgia boasts one of the nation?s best defenses. The Bulldogs are allowing only 10.4 points per game, second-best in the country, and 257 yards per game, which is fourth-best. But the offense isn?t exactly explosive, ranking ninth in the SEC in plays of 20-plus yards. The fact that star running back D?Andre Swift is dealing with a shoulder injury, top receiver Lawrence Cager is out with an ankle injury and other leading receiver George Pickens is suspended for the first half will make life difficult for quarterback Jake Fromm.


On the other side, it?s hard to envision LSU missing out on a CFP spot even if it loses this one. And with the way Heisman favorite Joe Burrow and the offense has been performing, it?s hard to envision any sort of a let down from Ed Orgeron?s group. This is a hungry team that senses an opportunity. The Tigers are a perfect 12-0, taking down Florida, Auburn and mighty Alabama along the way. Now the Tigers have a chance to win the SEC for the first time since 2011. That?s also the last time the Tigers won a national title. Could this be the year LSU gets back to the top of the college football world?


Picks

RALPH D. RUSSO (AP College Football Writer) LSU 35-24.

Nick Bromberg: LSU -7

Sam Cooper: LSU -7

Pat Forde: LSU -7

Pete Thamel: LSU -7

Dan Wetzel: LSU -7

CBS EXPERT PICKS

Dennis Dodd- LSU-7.5

Jerry Palm-LSU-7.5

Tom Fornelli Ga.+7.5

Chip Patterson LSU-7.5

Barton Simmons Ga.+7.5

Barrett Sallee Ga.+7.5


Ben Kercheval LSU-7.5

ESPN+
"Stanford Steve" Coughlin Georgia +7
Chris "The Bear" Fallica Georgia +7

Bill Connelly,Georgia +7

FOX SPORTS
Jason McIntyre LSU-7.5
Colin Cowherd LSU-7.5

For a championship week preview from Dan Wetzel, Pete Thamel and Pat Forde, subscribe to the Yahoo Sports College Podcast.
 
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Nick Bromberg: took all Favs

if I find more talking heading heads selections I will add them..

feel free to post the ones you find..


:bed:
 

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Virginia Cavaliers vs. Clemson Tigers (-28.5, 55.5)

Stanford Steve: I have referred to the LSU offense all year as the "foot always on the gas offense." Seeing how outspoken Dabo Swinney has been these past couple of days, I feel as if the Clemson offense will play as if it has both feet on the gas. Plus, I'm not sure how much the Hoos have in the tank after they finally got the monkey off their back that was named Virginia Tech. I'd be willing in the 30s with Clemson this week.

Pick: Clemson -28.5; Clemson 55, Virginia 20.





http://insider.espn.com/chalk/insid...-bets-college-football-conference-title-games

Virginia Cavaliers at Clemson Tigers (-28.5)
in Charlotte, North Carolina


Steele: This seems like a lot of points for a title game, but Clemson is the class of the ACC. The Tigers have one of the top offensive lines in the country, a dangerous set of receivers and one of the nation's top running backs in Travis Etienne (8.3 yards per carry). Trevor Lawrence has a 16-0 ratio in the past five games and takes on a banged-up Cavaliers secondary that has given up 302 yards per game passing the previous four weeks. The Clemson D is No. 1 in the country holding foes to 178 yards per game below their season average and knows the key to stopping Virginia's offense is to stop QB Bryce Perkins, who is their leading rusher.


Virginia is coming off a tough comeback win against its rival that had beaten it 15 straight times and also needed a win to wrap up the Coastal, and that game went to the final seconds. Clemson coasted versus rival South Carolina 38-3, and the Tigers are 9-2 ATS versus FBS foes this year.


ATS pick: Clemson -28.5


Kezirian: Only one play for me and it's a ridiculous spread ... or is it? You don't want to make a habit of laying more than four touchdowns in a conference championship game, but the ACC is an outlier. I think Clemson is the nation's best team and the conference is incredibly weak.


The Tigers have covered six straight against FBS opponents with a scoring margin of at least 30 points in every one. That stat -- and Dabo Swinney -- gives me more confidence to lay this kind of lumber. Swinney has demonstrated a willingness to run up the score, and the defending champs are eyeing the top overall seed in the CFP. Last month, while leading by 39 points in the final minute against NC State, Clemson called a pass play and ultimately scored a touchdown with 11 seconds left instead of kneeling in victory formation.


On top of this, Virginia is extremely limited on offense. The Cavaliers rank 50th in offensive efficiency and I have minimal faith that Bryce Perkins (71st with a 132.6 QBR) can succeed against a Clemson defense that leads the nation in efficiency. The 'Hoos just beat Virginia Tech in their rivalry game, snapping a streak of 15 straight losses the Commonwealth Cup series, so it's also a bit of a flat spot for them.


ATS pick: Clemson -28.5
 
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http://insider.espn.com/chalk/insid...teve-bear-conference-title-picks-bets-nuggets

Georgia Bulldogs vs. LSU Tigers (-7, 54.5)



The Bear: I just think the move is a huge overreaction to how LSU looked last week against an A&M team whose tank was probably close to empty after that schedule and Georgia not having WR George Pickens for a half. This Georgia defense is better equipped than any defense this season to slow down the potent LSU offense. However, how many points Georgia can score is a legitimate question. But as Florida did vs. LSU, expect UGA to use the tight end and probably mix in some of James Cook out of the backfield. Whether it's good enough to win remains to be seen, but Georgia has been a pretty live 'dog the last couple of years, and I would expect that trend to continue here.


Pick: Georgia +7


Stanford Steve: What feels like just a week ago, I was hearing from folks in and around the SEC talking about how much the Bulldogs matched up well with the Tigers. And now, all those people are telling me that they think the Tigers might blow the doors off the Dawgs. Last year in this spot, Kirby Smart designed a great defensive plan to frustrate Tua Tagovailoa and the Alabama offense, and then lost control of the game in the second half as Tua was injured and Jalen Hurts came in and saved the day for the Tide. This year and this week, I feel as if the Georgia secondary will give the LSU wide receivers as tough a test as they have faced all season, and I think the Georgia offensive line opens up enough holes for D'Andre Swift to keep the game within one possession. I'll take the points.


Pick: Georgia +7; LSU 30, Georgia 24.



http://insider.espn.com/chalk/insid...-bets-college-football-conference-title-games



LSU Tigers (-7) vs. Georgia Bulldogs
in Atlanta


Connelly: One of Georgia's top three receivers (Lawrence Cager) is out, and another (George Pickens) is suspended for the first half. Star rusher D'Andre Swift is trying to shake off a shoulder injury. So why does SP+ project a really tight game (LSU 29-26), and why am I backing it up with a Best Bet pick? Defense and special teams, basically.


Georgia hasn't given up more than 20 points in a game all season. The Dawgs have faced four SP+ top 25 teams and given up an average of 15 points. LSU will almost certainly top that, but Georgia's old-school approach -- slow the game to a crawl by running the ball and working the clock, make sure your defense doesn't face many possessions, swallow up the opponent's go-to offensive tendencies -- has them 11-1 and one minor upset away from a second College Football Playoff appearance.

Could LSU's defense (which is coming off its best performance of the season) swallow up Georgia's run game, force the Dawgs into a plan B (if they have one), and eventually pull away? Absolutely. But Auburn nearly knocked off LSU with similarly strong defensive play, and even without a full-strength Swift, Georgia has a much better run game than Auburn. A better defense, too, for that matter. This could absolutely be a dogfight until the end.


Pick: Georgia +7
 
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Ohio State Buckeyes (-16.5, 55) vs. Wisconsin Badgers


The Bear: At the time of this writing, there are some 17s out there, so shop around. Ohio State has been blitzing people all season and scored the final 28 points of the first meeting after leading just 10-7 in the third quarter. In conference title games and bowl games as an underdog, Wisconsin has a knack of hanging around. I don't think the Badgers can win, but that offensive line and front seven should hold up for a long time. Jack Coan will have to make a couple of throws and the Badgers will have to remain aggressive on offense like they were in Minneapolis last week, but I think they can. Remember two years ago in the Big Ten title game, Ohio State was much better than Wisconsin, yet the Badgers found a way to keep it close, and last year against Northwestern it was a one-score game in the fourth quarter despite the Buckeyes having a huge talent edge.


Pick: Wisconsin +16.5


Stanford Steve: I might just still be in love from the game plan from Paul Chryst and his staff last week in Minneapolis, but I think this is a lot of points. The status of Justin Fields makes me think he is not 100%, but he's still fine enough to play well. But all in all, the combination of a motivated underdog, along with a really good coaching staff of Wisconsin against the No. 1 team in the country makes me think they can keep the game closer than last time, and this time stay within the number. Lastly, I am not saying at all I don't like the Ohio State coaching staff ... I think the world of them. I'm just taking the points.


Pick: Wisconsin +16.5; Ohio State 34, Wisconsin 22.

http://insider.espn.com/chalk/insid...teve-bear-conference-title-picks-bets-nuggets
 

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Utah Utes (-6.5, 46.5) vs. Oregon Ducks


Stanford Steve: Having played in this conference many moons ago and being an enormous fan of all things Pac-12, it feels as though plenty of teams have gotten to this point in a season and something happens to ruin the end goal. Case in point: Oregon a couple of weeks ago going to Tempe on national television and playing its worst game of the year and thus falling out of the picture for a possible playoff spot. Utah steps up on that stage Friday, and the Utes have been as impressive as anyone in the country, but I feel like Oregon has the goods to make things tough for the Utes. Ducks offensive coordinator Marcus Arroyo, who has been mentioned for plenty of head coaching job across the country, will have a great stage to showcase his playcalling abilities and use the strength of his team (his offensive line) to combat what might be the deepest defensive line in the country. I think the Ducks keep it close.


Pick: Oregon +6.5; Utah 24, Oregon 20.



:SIBVirginia Cavaliers vs. Clemson Tigers (-28.5, 55.5)


Stanford Steve: I have referred to the LSU offense all year as the "foot always on the gas offense." Seeing how outspoken Dabo Swinney has been these past couple of days, I feel as if the Clemson offense will play as if it has both feet on the gas. Plus, I'm not sure how much the Hoos have in the tank after they finally got the monkey off their back that was named Virginia Tech. I'd be willing in the 30s with Clemson this week.


Pick: Clemson -28.5; Clemson 55, Virginia 20.









 

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3. No. 5 Utah[sos 54] (11-1) vs. No. 13 Oregon[sos 44] (10-2)


Time: 8 p.m. (Friday) | TV: ABC | Location: Santa Clara | Line: Utah -6.5

Utah could snap a two-year drought for the Pac-12 by reaching the College Football Playoff. The Utes are going to need some help, however, if they can knock off Oregon on Friday night to win their first Pac-12 championship. With Georgia currently in that coveted No. 4 spot, Utah will need LSU to beat the Bulldogs in the SEC title game. Earlier Saturday, Utah fans will be rooting on No. 7 Baylor against No. 6 Oklahoma in the Big 12 title game. But even if OU wins, Utah has a heck of a case for the CFP selection committee. The Utes, since a Sept. 20 loss at USC, have been destroying teams. Since the loss, other than a close road win over Washington, Utah?s average margin of victory has been 32.4 points per game.


This game looked like it had the chance to be a playoff play-in game ? until Oregon was upset by Arizona State. The Ducks shook off a Week 1 heartbreaker to Auburn by winning nine straight games. But things changed two weeks ago in Tempe when turnovers by Justin Herbert and a late busted coverage ultimately doomed the Ducks in a 31-28 loss. Oregon rebounded last week with an underwhelming 24-10 win over an Oregon State team playing with a backup quarterback, and is now ranked No. 13. Still, the Ducks can win their first Pac-12 title since 2014 and clinch a spot in the Rose Bowl while playing spoiler for the Utes.


Picks

RALPH D. RUSSO (AP College Football Writer)UTAH 28-17.[-6.5]
,
Nick Bromberg: Utah -6.5

Sam Cooper: Oregon +6.5

Pat Forde: Oregon +6.5

Pete Thamel: Utah -6.5

Dan Wetzel: Utah -6.5

CBS EXPERT PICKS
Dennis Dodd- Utah -6.5

Jerry Palm-Oregon +6.5

Tom Fornelli Oregon +6.5

Chip Patterson Oregon +6.5

Barton Simmons Oregon +6.5

Barrett Sallee -Utah -6.5

Ben Kercheval Oregon +6.5

ESPN+
Stanford Steve" Coughlin Oregon +6.5; Utah 24, Oregon 20.
Chris "The Bear" Fallica Utah-Oregon under 47

anybody live nearby :0corn:0corn:0corn


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Rain/Wind60[SUP]?[/SUP]57[SUP]?[/SUP]80%
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FRI

Rain/Wind60[SUP]?[/SUP]57[SUP]?[/SUP]80%
74%SSE 20 mph
12:00 AM<icon class="icon icon-svg icon-svg-dark icon-rain icon-12" classname="icon icon-svg icon-svg-dark icon-rain icon-12" style="box-sizing: border-box; width: 34px; height: 34px; position: absolute; right: 10px;"><svg xmlns="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" viewBox="0 0 200 200" class="svg-rain"><use class="svg-cloud" xlink:href="#svg-symbol-cloud" transform="translate(0 -41)"><svg id="svg-symbol-cloud" viewBox="-4 0 204 200">
</path></svg></use><use class="svg-drop" xlink:href="#svg-symbol-drop"><svg id="svg-symbol-drop">
</path></svg></use><use class="svg-drop" xlink:href="#svg-symbol-drop" transform="matrix(1.7 0 0 2 -27 -120)"><svg id="svg-symbol-drop">
</path></svg></use><use class="svg-drop" xlink:href="#svg-symbol-drop" transform="translate(60)"><svg id="svg-symbol-drop">
</path></svg></use></svg></icon>

SAT

Rain/Wind60[SUP]?[/SUP]56[SUP]?[/SUP]75%
76%SSE 22 mph

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