Championship Weekend

badjab

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Oct 26, 2001
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On the road to the Superbowl, it doesn't really matter how you start the season (as long as you make the playoffs) -- it's how a team is playing at the end of the year that matters. (If only the Superbowl was in week 6, my Chiefs would have won)

Anyway, three of the the four teams seem to be clicking on all cyllinders right now: Panthers, Colts, and Patriots

As great as the Colts have played in the last 2 games, it's hard to imagine that they can duplicate that kind of success at Foxboro. Yet, Peyton Manning was seemingly unfazed by all crowd noise and was still able to make adjustments at the line (making audibles in sign language or something to that effect). On the other side of the ball, the Colts aren't stopping anyone and they won't be able to keep the Pats from scoring either. The question is: can Peyton beat the New England defense? The outcome (as it often does) will depend on turnovers. I think the Pats will most likely win this game, but I'm looking for the Colts to keep it close.

prediction: Pats 24 Colts 21
my play: (teased 6.5 earlier this week) Colts +10 over 36.5

As far as the Panthers-Eagles game goes, everything but homefield seems to favor the Panthers. Philly, not Green Bay, seems to be the team of destiny. Face it, Philly has no business playing in this game. The Packers were able to run on the Eagles at will during the first half, but for unknown reasons abandoned this approach in the 4th quarter. McNabb had been throwing passes in the dirt all day and then he connects on a 4th and 26? :shrug: Peppers and Rucker should be able to get to McNabb more than once on Sunday -- but just when you think the Eagles are out of it, McNabb bails them out with a huge run or pass. Without Davis, the Panthers will have a tougher time running against Philly. Davis is a straight-ahead, smash-mouth, run over you type of back, while Foster likes to cut to the outside before breaking loose. Foster's style would be much easier for the Eagles defense to contain. That said, I think Davis does play in this game and I think the Panthers escape with the win.

prediction: Panthers 22 Eagles 20
my play: Panthers +5.5 (played early in the week)
another play (teased 6) Panthers +11 over 31

4-0 last week (would have gone 3-1, but I missed making a play on the Chiefs until halftime which they ended up covering, but lost the game)
 

Dizzayton

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Nov 8, 2001
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Teasing is very suspect in my book. It looks great on paper, but it often does work out like you hope. I think Pats may win by more than 10 personally!
 

badjab

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I think teasing gets a bad rap. Take last week. You would have to have been a dog bettor to have won on all sides last week. But if you had teased them, you could have won every possible combination (sides and over/under) if you had played Philly-Green Bay and New England-Tennesse.

There are definite times when a teaser has more value. Numbers like -2.5, 2.5, -5, 5, -8, 8 in my experience seem to perform well when played either way -- sorry I don't have the research to back it up...I'm just going off my experience. I wouldn't tease the Pats-Colts number as it stands now (3), but since I was leaning slightly to a play on the Colts when they were getting 4 points, getting 10 made it worth a play.
 
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