Cincinnati-3...really?

WildBillPicks7

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Am I missing something? Isn't that low?
Opinions please and thank you!

Line does seem low, but then again, TV games lines typically throw people off, Cincy is 5-0 L5 ATS and SU vs Memphis, Memphis is better this year, QB Legaux has been out for some time for UC and he's out I believe for the year, I'll need to dig more into injury info, Tuberville knows they need wins to get a Bowl game or even vie for Conference title, my number has UC winning by 9, 30-21, but I'm like 1-4 on weeknight games on sides, 3-0 on totals, total on this one will probably be like 47!!

GL!!

:0074
 

Lee

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Line does seem low, but then again, TV games lines typically throw people off, Cincy is 5-0 L5 ATS and SU vs Memphis, Memphis is better this year, QB Legaux has been out for some time for UC and he's out I believe for the year, I'll need to dig more into injury info, Tuberville knows they need wins to get a Bowl game or even vie for Conference title, my number has UC winning by 9, 30-21, but I'm like 1-4 on weeknight games on sides, 3-0 on totals, total on this one will probably be like 47!!

GL!!

:0074

Not being a dick at all. Memphis is awful. They are 1-5 and struggle to score points. Why is it only -3?
 

WildBillPicks7

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Line does seem low, but then again, TV games lines typically throw people off, Cincy is 5-0 L5 ATS and SU vs Memphis, Memphis is better this year, QB Legaux has been out for some time for UC and he's out I believe for the year, I'll need to dig more into injury info, Tuberville knows they need wins to get a Bowl game or even vie for Conference title, my number has UC winning by 9, 30-21, but I'm like 1-4 on weeknight games on sides, 3-0 on totals, total on this one will probably be like 47!!

GL!!

:0074

UC has lost on the road to Illinois 45-17, Beat pathetic Miamo-OH 14-0, and lost at USF 26-20

Memphis on the other hand at home, lost by 14 to Puke, Beat Ark State by 24, lost to UCF by only 7 and lost only by 5 to SMU

Both offenses feature good runnings games, and both defenses allow barely 100 yrds per game on the ground!!

Tuberville slightly more talent on his roster, inherited from Butch Jones, and Santos with lots of young players

Power numbers say UC by 14 - my line has UC winning by 9 - Public pouncing on UC on ML, ATS on Memphis!!

GL!
 

Corley1011

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Cincy on the road is averaging 17 ppg against the 65th, 97th, and 125th ranked teams. In fact Cincy's avg opponent ranks 103rd in the power rankings. They haven't played or beaten anyone with a pulse. Memphis, although 1-5, has been competitive in every game. Avg. Margin of defeat is 7.6 ppg. The avg. opponent for Memphis ranks 68th in the power rankings.


Also, watch the weather. Supposed to have some bad weather moving in Wednesday night into Thursday.
 

Corley1011

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Both teams have good D's on paper. Dig a little deeper and you see this...

Cincy Opponent Ranking

Total Offense:

Purdue - 122
Illinois - 74
Miami(OH) - 124
USF - 123
Temple - 86
UCONN - 118


Memphis Opponent Ranking

Total Offense:

Duke - 61
MTSU - 93
SMU - 21
Ark St. - 51
Houston - 17
UCF - 50
 

pghpounder

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One of my sites has mem+3 the other has mem+2.
Line stinks, line is going down when I would have to think there is more money coming in on cincy, and its a week night game where the home team is getting points and may be the only nationally televised game they have all year since at 1-5 they probably don't get a bowl bid. Memphis has been competitive and just have a gut feeling they'll be ready.
I don't always base plays off of numbers which aren't bad here either but I think there is a lot more involved. At least for me there is so hopefully I'm on the right side of this one.

Memphis+3 and a little on the money line.

GL
 

Corley1011

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A win tomorrow night could change the Memphis football program. It's not only a big win on national television, but opens up an outside chance at a bowl game. UCONN, Temple, USF are winnable games and UT-Martin should be a win.
 

WildBillPicks7

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A win tomorrow night could change the Memphis football program. It's not only a big win on national television, but opens up an outside chance at a bowl game. UCONN, Temple, USF are winnable games and UT-Martin should be a win.

Good pt Corley!!

One other note, Tuberville on ESPN games Thursday night, 3-0 L3, 1-0 at Auburn, 2-0 at Ole Miss.
 
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