NFL
Armadillo's Write-up
Conference Championships
Sunday’s games
Patriots (-4.5) @
Broncos
Patriots (16-3)
Patriots are 15-1 SU/13-3 ATS in their last 16 games.
Last four games, New England allowed 10-10-3-16 points.
Last three games, Patriots have 13 sacks.
QB Maye is 19-12 as an NFL starter (2-0 in playoffs).
Vrabel is 72-51 as an NFL head coach (4-3 in playoffs, 2-1 on road).
Patriots are 10-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
NE is 3-1 ATS this year as a road favorite.
Opponents’ team total: under 15-2 last 17 games
Over is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
Patriots are trying to get to their 12th Super Bowl.
Broncos (14-3)
Backup QB Stidham hasn’t thrown a pass this season.
Stidham is 1-3 as an NFL starter (last start/NFL pass in 2023)
Stidham was a backup for the Patriots in 2019/2020.
Broncos won 14 of their last 15 games overall.
Payton is 194-117 as an NFL head coach, 33-20 with Denver.
Payton is 10-9 in playoff games, won Super Bowl 16 years ago.
Denver is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Underdogs covered eight of their last ten games.
In their losses, Denver allowed 29-23-34 points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Denver is 12-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Denver is 10-3 in last 13 home playoff games.
Denver is 9-1 when they score more than 20 points.
Teams split last six series games.
Teams also split last six meetings in Denver.
This first time since 2017 a road team is favored in conference title game.
Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Last six years, favorites are 7-4-1 ATS in this round.
Rams @
Seahawks (-2.5)
Rams (14-5)
Rams scored 34+ points in five of their last seven games.
Rams are 9-5 ATS in their last fourteen games.
This year, Rams are 9-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
QB Stafford is 53-30 as the Rams’ starter (7-2 in playoffs).
McVay is 102-62 as an NFL head coach (10-5 in playoffs).
Rams won last two weeks, by 3-3 points.
Rams are 1-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Rams are minus-5 in turnovers in losses, +20 in wins.
Over is 7-1 in Rams’ last eight games.
Rams went over team total in 13 of last 18 games.
Seven of Rams’ last eleven wins were by 14+ points.
Seahawks (15-3)
Seahawks are 8-0 SU/5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
Last three games, Seahawks allowed 10-3-6 points.
Seahawks won 11 of their last 12 home playoff games.
Darnold is 50-42 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
MacDonald is 25-10 as a head coach (1-0 in playoffs).
Seattle’s losses this year were by 4-3-2 points.
Seattle is 5-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 6-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Seahawks went over their team total 12 of last 17 games.
Opponents’ team total: under 12-5-1.
Teams split couple of close games this year.
Rams won 21-19 at home, lost 38-37 at Seattle.
Teams split last eight meetings in Seattle.
Under is 8-3 in last 11 meetings.
Last six years, favorites are 7-4-1 ATS in this round.
NFL
Dunkel
Conference Championships
NFL
Conference Championships
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Trend Report
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New England VS Denver
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games.
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
New England is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games against Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games.
Denver is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games against New England.
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home.
Los Angeles VS Seattle
LA Rams is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams' last 8 games.
LA Rams is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games.
LA Rams is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games.
Seattle is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games against LA Rams.
Seattle is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.
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