CNOTES 2025-2026 FOOTBALL SCHEDULE + NEWS, NOTES BEST BETS !

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Saturday, January 17


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Cnotes53

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Saturday, January 17

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
BUF at DEN04:30 PMDEN -1.5*****
U 46.0*****
+500 +500
SF at SEA08:00 PMSF +7.0*****
U 45.0*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES NFL BEST BETS THRU THE SUPERBOWL !

01/17/2026..................1 - 3 - 0.............25.00%..........- 11.50
01/12/2026..................0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%..........- 11.00
01/11/2026..................3 - 3 - 0.............50.00%............- 1.50
01/10/2026..................1 - 3 - 0.............25.00%............- 11.50
01/04/2026.................11 - 5 - 0............68.75%............+ 27.50
01/03/2026...................3 - 1 - 0............75.00%............+ 9.50

TOTALS......................19 -17 - 0............52.77%..............+ 2.00
 

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Sunday’s 6-pack
Some teams getting the highest %age of their points on 3-pointers:
44.2%— Cornell
41.9%— Dartmouth
41.1%— Cal Poly
41.0%— Colorado State
40.6%— Alabama
40.6%— Louisville

Quote of the Day
“I have a job to do that is not very complicated, but it is often difficult; to get a group of men to do what they don’t want to do, so they can achieve the one thing they have wanted all their lives.”
Tom Landry

Sunday’s quiz
Houston Texans made the playoffs for the first time in 2011; they won their first playoff game that year. Who did they beat?

Saturday’s quiz
Matt Hasselbeck was the Seahawks’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

Friday’s quiz
Arizona Cardinals played the fewest amount of games outdoors (4) this season.

***************************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Saturday……

— Broncos 33, Bills 30 OT
Denver advances to AFC title game next week, at home.
Denver QB Bo Nix broke his ankle, is out for the year.
Backup Jarrett Stidham (1-3 as an NFL starter) is Denver’s new QB.
Stidham will be first QB in the last 60 years to start a conference championship game, without having thrown a pass up to that point in that season.
Denver scored 10 points in last 0:22 of first half to take 20-10 halftime lead.
Buffalo kicked a 50-yard FG with 0:05 left in regulation to force OT.
Broncos drove 75 yards before they kicked the game-winning FG.
Josh Allen is having a great career, but he is now 0-7 in overtime games.

— Seahawks 41, 49ers 6
Seahawks ran opening kickoff back 95 yards for a TD.
Seattle’s first seven drives: 48 plays, 271 yards, 34 points.
San Francisco lost fumbles on their first two drives.
Seattle will host the NFC title game next Sunday.
Seahawks won 11 of their last 12 home playoff games.
49ers were 2-5 ATS as an underdog this year.
49ers had won their previous four visits to Seattle.
Seahawks went over their team total in 12 of last 17 games.

— California 84, North Carolina 78
Cal led this game 54-37 at halftime.
Golden Bears shot 14-26 on arc; Justin Pippen scored 19 points.
Tar Heels are 0-3 in ACC road games, giving up 97-95-84 points.
Justin Pippen is the son of Hall of Famer Scottie Pippen

— Purdue 69, USC 64
USC led this game 22-8 midway thru the first half.
Trojans shot 61% inside the arc, only 3-20 outside arc.
Purdue has won nine in a row, is now 17-1 this year (lost to Iowa State)

— Kentucky 80, Tennessee 78
Tennessee led by 17 late in the first half.
2nd game in row Kentucky won after trailing by 15+ points.
Kentucky won seven of its last nine games, after a 5-4 start.

College Basketball Upsets of the Day:
Georgia Tech (+17) 78, NC State 74
Northern Illinois (+8.5) 70, UMass 68
Cleveland State (+8.5) 80, Youngstown State 78
Wofford (+7.5) 74, Furman 70
Kennesaw State (+7.5) 81, Western Kentucky 65
SIU-Edwardsville (+7.5) 68, SE Missouri State 55

— Miami OH 105, Buffalo 102, OT

Miami improves to 19-0, one of three unbeaten teams in country.
RedHawks shot 67.6% inside arc, scored 1.26 ppp.
6-5 senior Suder scored 37 points, had no assists; his job is to shoot the ball.

— Clemson 69, Miami 59
Tigers are 6-0 in ACC, are quietest 16-3 team in the country.
Clemson is #30 experience team that has played schedule #40 so far.
Tigers have the #20 eFG% defense in the country.

— Santa Clara 62, Saint Mary’s 54
Huge win for Santa Clara’s chances of getting an at-large bid in March.
Broncos are 7-1 in WCC, with only loss by 12 at Gonzaga.
Brickfest; teams combined to shoot 7-36 on the arc.

— Florida 98, Vanderbilt 94
Florida shot 62.2% inside arc, scored 1.35 ppp.
Gators out-rebounded Vandy, 40-26.
Florida has won eight of last nine games, after a 5-4 start.

Famous birthdays, January 18th:
Myron Pottios, 88
Scott McGregor, 72
Kevin Costner, 71
Larry Smith, 68
Bob Hansen, 65
Brady Anderson, 62
Jesse L Martin, 57
Julius Peppers, 46
Michael Pineda, 37
Leonard Fournette, 31
Tee Higgins, 27
Braden Fiske, 26

— Alabama 83, Oklahoma 81
Sooners led 44-33 at halftime.
Alabama shot 57.6% inside arc, only 15-26 on foul line.
Alabama is 13-5; up to this point, they’ve played toughest schedule in country.

— Texas Tech 84, BYU 71
BYU led 61-52 with 8:40 left in the game.
Tech used only three subs, for a total of 10:00.
Red Raiders are shooting 37.8% on arc this year (#24 in country)

— St John’s 86, Villanova 79
Red Storm shot 58.1% inside arc; they opened 2nd half with a 20-4 run.
Johnnies won their last four games, scoring 88 ppg.
Villanova slips to 14-4; they’ve played #24 schedule in country.

— San Diego State 83, New Mexico 79
Aztecs won their 7th game in row, lead Mountain West by a game.
San Diego State outscored Lobos 6-0 over final 1:11 for the win.
Just 2nd loss in last 12 games for New Mexico; they’ve played schedule #90.

— Grand Canyon 84, Utah State 74
Loss snaps Utah State’s 8-game winning streak.
Antelopes shot 60.6% inside arc, scored 1.28 ppp.
6-2 junior Williams scored 20 points in 27:00 off bench for Grand Canyon.
 

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Sunday, January 18

GameTime(ET)PickUnits
HOU at NE03:00 PMHOU +3.0*****
U 40.5*****
+500 +500
LA at CHI06:30 PMCHI +4.0*****
O 48.5*****
+500 +500
 

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CNOTES NFL BEST BETS THRU THE SUPERBOWL !

01/18/2026..................1 - 3 - 0.............25.00%..........- 11.50
01/17/2026..................1 - 3 - 0.............25.00%..........- 11.50
01/12/2026..................0 - 2 - 0.............00.00%..........- 11.00
01/11/2026..................3 - 3 - 0.............50.00%............- 1.50
01/10/2026..................1 - 3 - 0.............25.00%............- 11.50
01/04/2026.................11 - 5 - 0............68.75%............+ 27.50
01/03/2026...................3 - 1 - 0............75.00%............+ 9.50

TOTALS......................20 -20 - 0............50.00%..............- 10.00
 

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Monday’s 6-pack
Teams shooting best %age on 3-point shots:
41.2%— Tulsa
41.1%— Colorado State
40.7%— Yale
40.4%— Iowa State
40.3%— Penn
39.9%— Akron

Quote of the Day
“I know how he was coached in New England. I know exactly how he was coached in New England, and then I know how (Josh] McDaniels felt about him … but ultimately … it’s our three years here, our three years watching him day in and day out. He will be ready to go.”
Broncos coach Sean Payton, talking about QB Jarrett Stidham

Monday’s quiz
Who was head coach of the New England Patriots last year?

Sunday’s quiz
Houston Texans made the playoffs for the first time in 2011; they won their first playoff game that year, beating the Cincinnati Bengals.

Saturday’s quiz
Matt Hasselbeck was the Seahawks’ QB, the first time they played in a Super Bowl.

********************************************

Monday’s Den: Wrapping up a sports Sunday…….

— Rams 20, Bears 17 OT
Rams drove 54 yards, Mevis kicked 42-yard walk-off FG in OT.
Bears scored a TD with 0:18 left to force overtime.
Rams are 9-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
Rams advance to the NFC title game in Seattle next week.
Bears converted 9-19 on third down, LA 5-16, on a cold night
Chicago ran ball for 160 yards, but were minus-3 in turnovers.
In two playoff games, Bears converted only 5-12 fourth down plays.
Rams’ two TD drives were 91-85 yards, lasted 6:33/6:02.

— Patriots 28, Texans 16
Houston turned ball over on 4 of their first 8 drives.
Patriots scored on a pick-6 to take a 14-10 lead.
In their history, Texans are 0-7 in this round of the playoffs.
Patriots move on to AFC title game in Denver next week.
Texans ran ball 22 times for only 48 yards.
Houston scored only one TD; that was on a short 27-yard drive.
QB Maye threw for 179 yards, 3 TD’s on a snowy/sleet day.
Texans completed only 20 of 47 passes, with four INTs.

— Atlanta Falcons hired former Browns coach Kevin Stefanski as their new coach, the first hire for new Falcons boss Matt Ryan. Stefanski was 46-58 in six years in Cleveland, 1-2 in playoff games.

Famous birthdays, January 19th:
Dolly Parton, 80
Terry Hanratty, 78
Jon Matlack, 76
Katy Segal, 72
Steve DeBerg, 72
Paul McCrane, 65
Chris Sabo, 64
Michael Adams, 63
Luc Longley, 57
Phil Nevin, 55

— Was laughing the other day when the Dodgers signed Kyle Tucker for four years at $60M a year; hearing New York fans complain how the Dodgers are ruining baseball by spending too much $$$ and I’m like, “Hey, I root for the A’s. Welcome to my world for the last 50 years”
That said, $60M/year for Tucker seems comically excessive; he isn’t Aaron Judge or Juan Soto but he is really good. At first, I thought it said $240 for six years; $40M/year seemed OK, but then I realized he’ll be making $60M/year. Yikes.

— Atlanta Braves made a $46M profit last year, which makes you wonder how high these teams are willing to go to sign stars. $46M is one superstar player or two really good ones. I’m not a big finance guy; this time next year, we’ll probably be hearing a lot more about the finances of major league teams, when the lockout is looming.

— Minnesota Twins signed C Victor Caratini for two years, $14M; with the new appeal system for ball/strike challenges, not sure if good pitch framers are as valuable as they have been, but the Twins think Caratini is. He’s had an OPS of .711+ the last three years.

— When actor Charlie Sheen was a kid, apparently he was really good at baseball; U of Kansas offered him a baseball scholarship, but then he got tossed out of high school for not going to this classes, so college was out of the question.

— Been watching a lot of fantasy baseball mock drafts on the Interweb, watched one the other day where Mike Trout was a 19th round pick. Jeez, how quickly they forget.

Movie of the Day: Major League (1989)- Woman inherits the Cleveland Indians from her dead husband; she wants to move the team to Miami, so she puts together a roster that is really bad, so fans in Cleveland won’t come to see them play.
Tom Berenger, Charlie Sheen, Wesley Snipes, Corbin Bernsen are some of the players; former Dodger catcher Steve Yeager is Cleveland’s third base coach. James Gammon is the manager of the team; Rene Russo is also in this, but the late Bob Uecker steals the show as the announcer of the team.
Very funny movie, but moving a baseball team to Miami turned out to be a very bad idea.

— In college basketball, Florida Gators won consecutive national titles in 2007, 2008; since then, only one defending national champ made it to the Elite 8 in the NCAAs the next year, and that was UConn won their consecutive titles in 2023, 2024.
Florida is the defending champ this year; they’re 13-5 right now, 4-1 in the SEC, experience team #65. We’ll see how it goes for them.

— Florida Atlantic 79, Temple 73
Fast-paced game (79 possessions), was fun to watch.
Both teams are the Owls, by the way.
Brickfest for a high-scoring game; teams shot 9-41 on the arc.
FAU won its last four games, scoring 82.3 ppg.

— Wichita State 86, South Florida 85 OT
USF led by 13 early in the second half.
Both teams shot under 40% inside the arc.
Teams combined to shoot 24-51 (47.1%) outside the arc.

— Houston 103, Arizona State 73
Cougars led 56-29 at halftime.
Arizona State has lost six of its last seven games.
Houston has won 11 games in a row (only loss 76-73 to Tennessee)

— San Francisco 85, Washington State 80
Wazzu led by 7 with 6:06 left in the game.
USF was 15-18 on foul line, Wazzu 2-3.
Coogs lost last three games (Zags, St Mary’s, USF)
Dons made 12-22 shots on the arc.

— North Texas 71, Tulane 63
North Texas out-rebounded Tulane, 47-30.
Green Wave shot only 31.3% from the floor.
North Texas is 11-7; they have the #325 eFG% in the country.
 

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CONFERENCE CHAMPIONSHIPS

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NFL
Dunkel

Conference Championships


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NFL

Conference Championships


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Trend Report
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New England VS Denver
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games.
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
New England is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games against Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games.
Denver is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games against New England.
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home.

Los Angeles VS Seattle
LA Rams is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams' last 8 games.
LA Rams is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games.
LA Rams is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games.
Seattle is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games against LA Rams.
Seattle is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.


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Tuesday’s 6-pack
Teams shooting worst %age on 3-point shots:
25.9%— Louisiana Tech
26.2%— Rider
26.3%— Towson
27.1%— Lindenwood
27.2%— Southern Miss
27.3%— Hampton

Quote of the Day
“I haven’t seen this kind of effort that we had today. It was embarrassing.”
Knicks guard Josh Hart; Knicks are 2-9 in their last 11 games

Tuesday’s quiz
What former NFL backup QB has thrown for the most yards in the history of USC football?

Monday’s quiz
Jerod Mayo was head coach of the New England Patriots last year.

Sunday’s quiz
Houston Texans made the playoffs for the first time in 2011; they won their first playoff game that year, beating the Cincinnati Bengals.

**********************************************

Tuesday’s Den: Nobody asked me, but…….

— Indiana 27, Miami 21
Hoosiers win their first-ever national title.
Before this year, Indiana hadn’t won a bowl game since 1991.
Indiana blocked punt for a TD to go ahead 17-7.

— What does it say about Miami’s program that the national title game was on their home field, but Indiana had more fans there?

— ESPN had a great Film Room broadcast of this game, with four former coaches analyzing the game as they watched it. Learned a lot; it was an excellent listen.
Gene Chizik
Dave Clawson
Mike Gundy
Steve Addazio

— Indiana, Miami are both Adidas schools, which clinched Adidas having their first national champ in college football since Tennessee in 1998.

— Coaches come from all kinds of backgrounds:
Indiana coach Curt Cignetti didn’t become a head coach until he was 50; he is 146-37 as a head coach, 27-2 in two years at Indiana. He spent seven years as the QB coach at Rice, Temple, not exactly football factories. Now he’s a national champ.
Rams’ coach Sean McVay was an NFL head coach at age 30; he turns 40 on Saturday, is already 102-62 with the Rams. His grandfather was head coach of the Giants and later an executive with the 49ers. At one time, Sean McVay was an assistant coach for the Florida Tuskers in the UFL.

— I’m watching Rams-Bears Sunday and I’m wondering,”Who is Jared Goff rooting for?”
He played for McVay with the Rams for four years, then played for four years in Detroit with Ben Johnson as his offensive coordinator— he had great success playing for both guys. Maybe he didn’t watch, maybe he didn’t care, but would be fun to know.
By the way, makes me feel old that Goff has already been in the NFCL for 10 years.

— Caleb Williams is a lot better than I thought he was going to be, but maybe Ben Johnson is just a great offensive coach.
Next summer, some NFL analysts are going to predict the Bears are going to regress, because teams that win a lot of close games don’t always do that the next year. Minnesota Vikings have won a ton of last close games under Kevin O’Connell, but with QB injuries this year, Minnesota missed the playoffs, even though they were 5-3 in one-score games.
Such a fine line between winning and losing in the NFL.

— Miami Dolphins hired former Boston College coach Jeff Hafley as their new coach, he was the defensive coordinator for Green Bay the last two years. Hafley was 22-26 in four years at BC, 12-22 in ACC games.

Famous birthdays, January 20th:
Ron Harper, 62
Ozzie Guillen, 62
Terry Kirby, 56
Eddie Kennison, 53
David Eckstein, 51
Jason Richardson, 45
Nick Foles, 37
DeVante Parker, 33
Tyler Herro, 26
JJ McCarthy, 23

— I’m wondering if Gonzaga will still be a powerhouse when they leave the WCC after this year; they’re moving to the re-tooled Pac-12, which will mostly be like the current Mountain West, but it is going to be tougher than the current WCC.
In the 80’s/early 90’s, UNLV was a national power under Jerry Tarkanian, playing in the Big West Conference; when the NCAA forced Tarkanian out in 1992, Rebels played four more years in the Big West, before moving on to the Mountain West.
UNLV has slid into mediocrity; they haven’t made the NCAA Tournament since 2013, and they have had some good coaches: Lon Kruger, TJ Otzelberger, Charlie Spoonhour.

— Saint Louis, Miami OH are both in the top 25, which is unusual; first time Miami has been in the top 25 since 1999.

— Marquette 105, Providence 104 OT
Marquette led 54-44 at halftime.
6-0 freshman James scored 38 points, had 8 assists.
Golden Eagles shot 62% inside the arc, only 19-30 on foul line.
Providence is 2-6 in last eight games; three of those losses were in OT.

— Towson 59, Drexel 58
Drexel led by 17 in first half, by 6 with 2:34 left.
Towson was 15-21 on foul line, Dragons 1-4
Towson out-rebounded Drexel, 42-29

— Harvard 64, Penn 63
Harvard shot 60% inside the arc.
6-5 senior Roberts scored 27 for Penn, had no assists.
Quakers were 13-17 on foul line, Harvard was 4-8.

— Quinnipiac 98, Manhattan 92 OT
Manhattan led by 15 with 12:59 left in the game.
6-2 senior Jones scored 30 points, had five assists.
Fifth lost in last six games for the Jaspers.

Bracketology; seeds 1-4 according to ESPN:
1- Arizona, Michigan, UConn, Duke
2- Gonzaga, Nebraska, Purdue, Iowa State
3- Vanderbilt, Houston, BYU, Illinois
4- Alabama, Texas Tech, Florida, Michigan
 

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Wednesday’s 6-pack
Teams taking the shortest 2-point shots (most layups??):
— Saint Louis (18-1)
— Marquette (7-13)
— Texas A&M (14-4)
— St Thomas (15-5)
— South Florida (11-7)
— Youngstown State (9-13)

Quote of the Day
“Darius (Acuff) got pissed at me so he played better. I want him to be pissed at me if it makes him play like that!”
John Calipari, after his Arkansas team beat Vanderbilt, 93-68

Wednesday’s quiz
Where did Jimmy Butler play his college basketball?

Tuesday’s quiz
Matt Barkley has thrown for the most yards in the history of USC football.

Monday’s quiz
Jerod Mayo was head coach of the New England Patriots last year.

*******************************************************************

Wednesday’s Den: Mid-week musings…….

Over the last six years, the Buffalo Bills:
had the best record
went 8-6 in playoff games
scored the most points
allowed the fewest points
were +902 in point differential; during that time, no other team is over +600.
But they fired coach Sean McDermott Monday, while giving GM Brandon Beane a promotion to president of football operations. Pretty big slap in the face to McDermott, who didn’t get Buffalo to a Super Bowl, but he did just about everything else.
Very curious to see who they hire to be the next coach.

— When I was a kid, Rams had a coach named Chuck Knox who won five division titles in his first five years as coach- they went 54-15-1 in regular season, but only 3-5 in playoff games (too bad the Vikings didn’t have a dome back then) and the owner fired him, a situation that was kind of like Buffalo’s current thing.
Be careful what you ask for; change isn’t always a good thing.

— Tennessee Titans hired former Jets coach Robert Saleh as their new coach; Saleh was 20-36 in 3+ years coaching the Jets (2012-24). He was the 49ers’ defensive coordinator this year.

— Some successful coaches have gotten the boot this year:
Mike Tomlin (201-126-2, won a Super Bowl)
John Harbaugh (193-124, won a Super Bowl)
Pete Carroll (184-145-1, won a Super Bowl)

— Little weird that backup QB Jarrett Stidham will start for Denver in the AFC title game this week, against New England.
Stidham has started four NFL games (1-3), last of which was two years ago; he was a backup for the Patriots in 2019-20, throwing 48 passes in eight relief appearances. He is the first QB in the Super Bowl who will start a conference title game, without having thrown a pass that season.
Roger Staubach once started an NFC title game without having started a game that year, but he did play some in relief that season (1972) throwing 20 passes in four games.

— When Indiana Hoosiers won the national title Monday night, coach Curt Cignetti banked a $2M bonus. He’s having a very good year.

Famous birthdays, January 21st:
Gary Garrison, 82
Mike Kurkow, 74
Geena Davis, 70
Robby Benson, 70
Hakeem Olajuwon, 63
Detlef Schrempf, 63
Dalton Hilliard, 62
Jake Diekman, 39
Brandon Crawford, 39
Jake Cronenworth, 32

— Mets acquired OF Luis Robert from the White Sox Tuesday, for two prospects; Robert hit 38 homers for Chicago in 2023, but his OPS last two years was .657/.661.

— RIP Wilbur Wood, the knuckleball pitcher for the White Sox who passed away Saturday at age 84. Wood pitched in the majors for 17 years, winning 164 games, mostly for the White Sox. From 1972-74, he went 64-56, starting 137 games over three years.
In 1973, Wood went 24-20, 3.46 in 48 starts; he started both games of a doubleheader in New York. Because he threw a knuckleball, he could pitch more often that normal pitchers.
RIP, sir.

— Congrats to Carlos Beltran, Andruw Jones on being voted into the Baseball Hall of Fame; one voter gave Rick Porcello a vote, not really sure why.
Porcello was 150-125 in a 12-year career; he had one great season, going 22-4 for the Red Sox in 2016, but kind of hard for a guy who was never an All-Star to get into the Hall of Fame, though he did win the Cy Young Award in 2016.

— Golden State Warriors star, 36-year old Jimmy Butler tore the ACL in his right knee and is out for the year. He is making $54.1M this year, will make $56.8M next year, the last year of his current contract. Golden State is 12-5 in last 17 games after Tuesday’s loss to Toronto,

— Apparently Bucs’ QB Baker Mayfield wasn’t happy with how he left the Browns; he took a swipe at Kevin Stefanski on social media Tuesday night. Stefanski is the new coach in Atlanta, a division rival of Tampa Bay, so they’ll play each other twice a year going forward.
Mayfield was 30-31 as QB in Cleveland; since they got rid of him, the Browns are 26-43.

— Movie of the Day: One on One (1977)- A small-town high school basketball star gets a scholarship to a big school, but struggles once he gets there, both on and off the court.
Robbie Benson is the star (today is his 70th birthday, which makes me feel old), Annette O’Toole is his tutor, GD Spradlin is his college coach, Melanie Griffith has a small role at the start of the movie. The movie hasn’t aged very well, but the game scenes were filmed in Colorado State’s gym, the one they still use.
I was in high school when this movie come out; I really liked it.

UNLV 86, Utah State 76
Aggies led 58-44 with 12:44 left in the game.
UNLV is off to a 5-2 start in Mountain West games.
First time in ten years the Rebels won at Utah State
6-1 junior G Gibbs-Lawhorn is a really point guard.

UCLA 69, Purdue 67
Loss snaps Purdue’s nine-game winning streak.
Bruins were only 2-3 on foul line, Purdue 6-7.
Both teams shot over 60% inside the arc.
Purdue’s subs played 56:00; UCLA’s bench played 20.

Georgia 74, Missouri 72
Dawgs scored the winning hoop with 0:05.5 left.
74 points are the fewest Georgia has scored this season.
Mizzou is 5-6 in its last 11 games, after an 8-0 start.

Miami OH 107, Kent State 101, OT
20-0 Miami is first team in country to get to 20 wins.
RedHawks have scored 87+ points in each of their last five games.
Their last two wins were both in overtime.
Miami shot 74.4% inside arc, only 22-34 on foul line.

NC State 80, Clemson 76 OT
Loss ends Clemson’s nine-game winning streak.
Wolfpack led by 11 late in the first half.
NC State coach Will Wade is a Clemson alum, was a basketball manager.

St John’s 65, Seton Hall 62
Seton Hall led by 15 early in the second half.
Pirates shot only 37.9% from the floor.
Fifth straight win for the Red Storm (14-5, 7-1 in Big East).

Michigan State 68, Oregon 52
Oregon led by 3 with 14:00 left.
Spartans shot 72.4% inside the arc.
Fifth straight loss for the injury-riddled 8-11 Ducks.
 

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Thursday’s 6-pack
Pre-season longshots who wound up winning a championship:
150-1— 1999 St Louis Rams
100-1— 2025 Indiana football
80-1— 2023 UConn basketball
75-1— 2003 Florida Marlins
65-1— 2014 UConn basketball
60-1— 2006 Carolina Hurricanes (NHL)

Quote of the Day
“It’s a big decision, so you still got to weigh out everything, but this team and this city and the fan base kind of makes it a little bit easier to make some decisions. That is just ultimately what we wanted to do is come here and be part of that and try to win another World Series.”
Kyle Tucker, on signing with the Dodgers

Thursday’s quiz
Michael Jordan was the 3rd pick in the 1984 NBA Draft; Hakeem Olajuwon was the #1 pick. Who was the second pick?

Wednesday’s quiz
Jimmy Butler played his college basketball at Marquette.

Tuesday’s quiz
Matt Barkley has thrown for the most yards in the history of USC football.

**************************************************

Thursday’s Den: Doing some thinking out loud…….

— Nebraska 76, Washington 66
Nebraska is 19-0 in basketball.
Indiana won the national title in football; the world is upside down.
Nebraska is shooting 60.2% inside the arc (#11).
Cornhuskers are in top 30 in eFG%, both in offense/defense.

— Creighton 94, Xavier 93
Bluejays rebounded their own missed foul shot and scored a hoop at the buzzer
Xavier scored 1.28 ppp and still lost; unusual.
Creighton shot 13-24 on the arc, Xavier was 12-24

— Florida Atlantic 79, Tulane 74
Owls are 14-6, lead the AAC with a 6-1 record.
FAU has won five games in a row (3 wins by 6 or fewer points)
FAU is impressive because they’re #347 in country in experience.

— Kentucky 85, Texas 80
Game was 40-40 at halftime.
Kentucky was 30-35 on foul line, Texas 18-20
Brickfest; teams combined to shoot 7-36 on the arc.
Kentucky won its last four games, scoring 83 ppg.

— IU Indy 103, Oakland 85
Oakland was favored by 14.5 points.
IU Indy scored 103 points, only took 3 foul shots (2-3)
Jaguars shot 64.2% inside the arc.

— Citadel 77, Furman 75 OT
Furman was favored by 10.5 points.
Paladins led by 19 with 10:50 left in the game
Teams combined to shoot 12-57 on the arc.

— Gonzaga 84, Pepperdine 60
Zags have beaten Pepperdine 51 games in a row. Fifty-one.
Only streak that was longer; from 1961-86, UCLA beat Cal 52 times in a row.
Gonzaga has won its last 13 games, is 20-1 this season.

Famous birthdays, January 22nd
Lester Hayes, 71
Jeff Rutledge, 69
Vince Newsome, 65
Diane Lane, 61
Gabriel Macht, 54
Chone Figgins, 48
Carlos Ruiz, 47
Tyrone Taylor, 32
Davis Webb, 31
Dillon Brooks, 30

— Cody Bellinger re-signed with the Bronx Bombers, will get $32.5M/year for five years; he hit 29 homers last year, had 98 RBI, an OPS of .813.

— It is January 22, it is freakin’ freezing out, and I’m watching podcasts trying to figure out where three of the guys on my fantasy baseball team are going to play this year:
Zac Gallen/Luis Arraez are free agents, Freddie Peralta is likely to be traded. Spring training starts in three weeks; time to figure it out, fellas.
As I typed this, Peralta got traded to the Mets:
Mets get Peralta, P Tobias Myers
Milwaukee gets P Brandon Sproat, SS/OF Jett Williams.

— It is kind of funny to listen to these podcasts and listen to nerdy analysts shredding guys who didn’t help their fantasy teams last year. I mean, I’m nerdy too, but if your team wasn’t good, it was your fault, not some guy who is banking million$$ of dollar$$ playing ball.

— There was a 7-year stretch when Indiana coach Curt Cignetti was a QB coach, for three years at Rice, then four years at Temple, not exactly football factories.
In 1998, Rice went 0-11; the whole staff got fired, then Temple went 11-33 the next four years, so if you told Cignetti in 1993 that he would wind up making $12M/year, he probably would’ve laughed at you.

— Before Indiana hired Cignetti away from James Madison, he applied for the head coaching job at Mississippi State, but he didn’t get an interview.
Whoops.

— In Kevin Stefanski’s six years coaching the Cleveland Browns, he started 13 different QB’s; he just hired Bill Callahan as his OL coach in Atlanta, brought OC Tommy Rees with him from the Browns, so if he starts Kirk Cousins, he should have more success with the Falcons.

— Best wishes to Kansas basketball coach Bill Self, who missed the Jayhawks’ game at Colorado Tuesday night; he has atrial fibrillation and was dehydrated.
He had two stents inserted into his heart back in July and also missed the NCAA Tournament and Big 12 Tournament in 2023 after undergoing a heart procedure.
 

Udog

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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Conference Championships

Sunday’s games
Patriots
(-4.5) @ Broncos
Patriots (16-3)
Patriots are 15-1 SU/13-3 ATS in their last 16 games.
Last four games, New England allowed 10-10-3-16 points.
Last three games, Patriots have 13 sacks.
QB Maye is 19-12 as an NFL starter (2-0 in playoffs).
Vrabel is 72-51 as an NFL head coach (4-3 in playoffs, 2-1 on road).


Patriots are 10-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
NE is 3-1 ATS this year as a road favorite.
Opponents’ team total: under 15-2 last 17 games
Over is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
Patriots are trying to get to their 12th Super Bowl.


Broncos (14-3)
Backup QB Stidham hasn’t thrown a pass this season.
Stidham is 1-3 as an NFL starter (last start/NFL pass in 2023)
Stidham was a backup for the Patriots in 2019/2020.
Broncos won 14 of their last 15 games overall.
Payton is 194-117 as an NFL head coach, 33-20 with Denver.
Payton is 10-9 in playoff games, won Super Bowl 16 years ago.


Denver is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Underdogs covered eight of their last ten games.
In their losses, Denver allowed 29-23-34 points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Denver is 12-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Denver is 10-3 in last 13 home playoff games.
Denver is 9-1 when they score more than 20 points.


Teams split last six series games.
Teams also split last six meetings in Denver.
This first time since 2017 a road team is favored in conference title game.
Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Last six years, favorites are 7-4-1 ATS in this round.


Rams @ Seahawks (-2.5)
Rams (14-5)
Rams scored 34+ points in five of their last seven games.
Rams are 9-5 ATS in their last fourteen games.
This year, Rams are 9-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
QB Stafford is 53-30 as the Rams’ starter (7-2 in playoffs).
McVay is 102-62 as an NFL head coach (10-5 in playoffs).


Rams won last two weeks, by 3-3 points.
Rams are 1-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Rams are minus-5 in turnovers in losses, +20 in wins.
Over is 7-1 in Rams’ last eight games.
Rams went over team total in 13 of last 18 games.
Seven of Rams’ last eleven wins were by 14+ points.


Seahawks (15-3)
Seahawks are 8-0 SU/5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
Last three games, Seahawks allowed 10-3-6 points.
Seahawks won 11 of their last 12 home playoff games.
Darnold is 50-42 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
MacDonald is 25-10 as a head coach (1-0 in playoffs).


Seattle’s losses this year were by 4-3-2 points.
Seattle is 5-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 6-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Seahawks went over their team total 12 of last 17 games.
Opponents’ team total: under 12-5-1.


Teams split couple of close games this year.
Rams won 21-19 at home, lost 38-37 at Seattle.
Teams split last eight meetings in Seattle.
Under is 8-3 in last 11 meetings.
Last six years, favorites are 7-4-1 ATS in this round.




NFL
Dunkel

Conference Championships


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NFL

Conference Championships


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Trend Report
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New England VS Denver
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games.
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
New England is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games against Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games.
Denver is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games against New England.
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home.

Los Angeles VS Seattle
LA Rams is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams' last 8 games.
LA Rams is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games.
LA Rams is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games.
Seattle is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games against LA Rams.
Seattle is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.


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Cnotes53

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Nov 5, 2017
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Saturday’s 6-pack
Teams getting highest % of their points on foul shots:
26.9%— Cal-Bakersfield (8-13)
26.2%— Oregon State (10-12)
26%— Tulane (12-8)
25.8%— Dayton (14-5)
25.6%— Nevada (14-5)
25.2%— Texas (11-8)

Quote of the Day
“When Coach Harbaugh’s name came up, that was the one that we were all really, really excited about and wanted to have. So I think from just our standpoint, the guys just can’t wait to play for him and have the chance to get coached by him.”
Giants QB Jaxson Dart

Saturday’s quiz
What team has kicked the longest field goal in an NFL playoff game?
(Asking who the kicker was is way too hard a question)

Friday’s quiz
Who was the New York Knicks’ coach, last time they made the NBA Finals?

Thursday’s quiz
Michael Jordan was the 3rd pick in the 1984 NBA Draft; Hakeem Olajuwon was the #1 pick. Sam Bowie was the second pick, by Portland.

*********************************************************

Saturday’s Den: Random stuff with the weekend here…….

— East Carolina 63, North Texas 59
First win in seven AAC games for the Pirates.
East Carolina out-rebounded the Mean Green, 43-28
Pirates survived being minus-11 (18-7) in turnovers.

— Michigan 74, Ohio State 62
Michigan is 8-1 SU in league games; they’re 0-6 ATS last six games.
Buckeyes led by 6 early in the second half.
Wolverines shot shot 75.9% inside arc, had 36-27 edge on boards.

— Saint Louis 97, St Bonaventure 62
Billkens made 19 of 33 shots on the arc.
Saint Louis led 58-26 at halftime.
Saint Louis is the quietest 19-1 team in the country.

— Butler 87, Marquette 76
Butler was 23-31 on foul line, Marquette 9-14
Bulldogs led 66-65 with 6:04 left in the game.
Butler won its last three games, scoring 83.7 ppg.

— Furman 89, NC-Greensboro 66
Furman’s Tom House shot 7-10 behind the arc, scored 25 points.
Furman played only seven guys; they shot 14-27 behind the arc.
UNCG led by a point with 14:03 left in the game.

— UMass 68, Buffalo 67
UMass led 33-13 with 7:09 left in first half.
Buffalo led by 7 with 5:20 left in the game.
UMass won four of last five games, after starting 0-4 in the MAC.

— Utah State 65, Colorado State 61
Last game of the night; Utah State snaps a two-game losing skid.
Mike DeCourcy has Aggies as a 10-seed, if NCAA’s started today.
Colorado State led by 10 at halftime.
Utah State won first meeting this year, 100-58 in Logan.

Famous birthdays, January 24th:
Neil Diamond, 85
Michael Ontkean, 80
Tim Stoddard, 73
Atlee Hammaker, 68
Neil Allen, 68
Rob Dibble, 62
Matthew Lillard, 56
Ed Helms, 52
Scott Kazmir, 42
Sean McVay, 40
Jose Quintana, 37
Whit Merrifield, 37

Movie of the Day: Weekend at Bernie’s (1989)- Two young employees tell their boss that someone is cooking the company’s books, but it is the boss that is doing it. He invites the two guys to his beach house so he can have them eliminated, but the mob kills the boss first, and no one seems to notice that the boss is dead.
Andrew McCarthy/Jonathan Silverman are the two employees, Terry Kiser is the boss in this funny movie that is more than a little weird.

— When Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza was in high school, he had no scholarship offers, he was going to go to Yale and play I-AA ball in the Ivy League. He sent his highlight reel to 100 different colleges but had no takers, until about a month before signing day, Cal Bears needed another body in the QB room so they offered Mendoza a scholarship.
Now he’s likely going to be the first pick in April’s NFL Draft. Go figure.

— Baltimore Ravens hired Jesse Minter as their new head coach; Minter was an assistant with the Ravens under John Harbaugh, from 2017-20, then he worked for Jim Harbaugh at both Michigan/Chargers the last four years. This is his first head coaching job.

— Eric Bieniemy is back in Kansas City as offensive coordinator of the Chiefs; he was with the Chiefs from 2013-22. He helped the Chiefs win two Super Bowls before moving on to other jobs.

— Former TCU coach Gary Patterson is the new defensive coordinator at USC; Patterson was 181-79 as the head coach of the Horned Frogs.

— Indianapolis Colts lost seven games this year that they left at halftime, the most of any team in the last 27 years.
Speaking of the Colts, their old QB Philip Rivers interviewed for the head coach’s job in Buffalo. Going from a high school head coach to an NFL head coach would be interesting, especially with him playing three games for the Colts in between there, at age 45.

— Tampa Bay Buccaneers hired Zac Robinson as their new offensive coordinator; next year will be Todd Bowles’ fifth year as Tampa’s head coach, Robinson will be his fifth OC.

— Los Angeles Chargers haven’t played a home playoff game since 2009.
 

Cnotes53

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Forum Member
Nov 5, 2017
33,762
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48
Sunday’s 6-pack
Teams getting lowest % of their points on foul shots:
13.2%— IU Indy (6-16)
13.7%— Fordham (10-10)
14.6%— Purdue (17-3)
14.8%— Albany (7-14)
15%— Liberty (17-3)
15.1%— Santa Clara (17-5)

Quote of the Day
“I will encourage baseball fans to come to Cooperstown and understand the story of baseball. The story of baseball is not about one player. It’s about multiple players, different nationalities, different backgrounds, understanding where the game began and where the game is today.”
Newly-elected Hall of Famer Carlos Beltran

Sunday’s quiz
Which NFL team is the only one that has never played in a conference championship game?

Saturday’s quiz
In 1990, Pete Stoyanovich of the Dolphins kicked a 58-yard FG, the longest field goal in an NFL playoff game.

Friday’s quiz
Jeff Van Gundy was the New York Knicks’ coach, last time they made the NBA Finals.

*************************************

Sunday’s Den: Wrapping up a basketball Saturday…….

Big East
St John’s 88, Xavier 83

Rick Pitino gets his 900th win as a college coach.
He also won 198 games as an NBA coach.
Xavier led this game by 16 with 17:05 left to play.
St John’s has won six in a row, is 8-1 in the Big East.

UConn 75, Villanova 67 OT
Huskies have won 15 games in a row, are 9-0 in Big East.
UConn is 0-6 ATS in their last six games.
Villanova shot only 30.3% inside the arc.

Georgetown 81, Providence 78
Hoyas snapped a six-game losing skid.
Providence led 48-27 early in the second half.
Georgetown shot 62.2% inside the arc.
Friars lost 7 of last 9 games (8 of the 9 games were decided by 6 or fewer points)

DePaul 67, Seton Hall 60
Seton Hall has lost four in a row, after a 14-2 start.
DePaul was 25-34 on foul line, Pirates 10-17.
Blue Demons is 4-5 in Big East; last time they finished over .500 in Big East? 2007.
UConn is 9-0 in Big East, St John’s 8-1, Creighton/Villanova 6-3

SEC
Missouri 88, Oklahoma 87 OT

Mizzou hit a 3-pointer at the buzzer for a walk-off win.
Sooners lost sixth game in a row, despite shooting 12-27 on arc.
Mizzou out-rebounded Oklahoma 41-29.

Auburn 76, Florida 67
Auburn won its third game in row, improves to 4-3 in SEC
Tigers led 43-28 at halftime.
Loss snaps Florida’s five-game winning streak; they’re 5-2 in SEC

Vanderbilt 88, Mississippi State 56
Vandy snaps the 3-game skid which followed their 16-0 start.
Commodores shot 67.5% inside the arc.
Vandy is #10 experience team in country.
Texas A&M leads SEC at 6-1; Arkansas, Florida, Kentucky are 5-2

Big X
Texas Tech 90, Houston 86

Loss snaps Houston’s 11-game winning streak.
Houston led by 4 with 10:22 left in game.
Red Raiders won 9 of last 10 games, are 6-1 in Big X.
Tech out-rebounded the Cougars, 44-28

BYU 91, Utah 78
BYU won five in row, nine of last 10 games.
Freshman Dybantsa scored 43 points, had three assists.
Utah lost by 13, even though they shot 13-21 on the arc.

TCU 97, Baylor 90
TCU was 35-43 on foul line, Baylor 26-36. Lot of fouls.
Baylor shot 66.7% inside the arc, but fell to 1-6 in league.
First win for Horned Frogs this year in four true road games.

Arizona leads Big X at 7-0; Texas Tech is 6-1, Houston/BYU 5-1.
Mountain West
New Mexico 80, Nevada 73
Lobos’ bench outscored Nevada’s subs, 26-6.
New Mexico shot 12-28 on arc, 35.3% inside arc.
Nevada split its last six games, after an 11-3 start.

San Diego State 80, UNLV 71
Miles Byrd scored 23 points, had five assists for San Diego State
Aztecs have won eight of their last nine games.
UNLV was only 12-22 on the foul line.
San Diego State is 8-1 in conference; Utah State, New Mexico are 7-2.

Big 18
Illinois 88, Purdue 82

Illini shot 18-38 on arc, scored 1.39 ppp
Illini has won their last nine games, is 8-1 in league.
Frosh Wagler scored 46 points, made 9-11 on the arc.
He was one of five freshmen to score 30+ points Saturday.

Nebraska 76, Minnesota 57
Gophers led 36-30 at halftime.
Nebraska improves to 20-0, 9-0 in conference.
Nebraska has seven wins by less than nine points.
Minnesota lost its last five games, two of them in OT
Nebraska is 9-0 in conference; Michigan, Michigan St, Illinois are 8-1, Purdue 7-2

Upsets of the Day:
Auburn (+9.5) 76, Florida 67
Florida International (+7.5) 81, New Mexico State 78
North Carolina A&T (+7.5) 80, Towson 73
North Carolina (+6.5) 85, Virginia 80
Green Bay (+6.5) 71, Robert Morris 67
Milwaukee (+6.5) 65, Youngstown State 64
Northern Arizona (+6.5) 81, Northern Colorado 77
Ill-Chicago (+6.5) 85, Bradley 71
Georgetown (+5.5) 81, Providence 78


ACC
North Carolina 85, Virginia 80

Virginia led by 16 late in the first half.
Virginia out-rebounded Tar Heels, 44-28
In a 68-possession game, Tar Heels had only 4 turnovers (Virginia had 11)


No Clemson player scored more than 13 points.
Tigers won for 10th time in their last 11 games.
Tech is shooting 45.4% inside arc in ACC games (last)
Duke is 7-0 in ACC, Clemson 7-1; Miami, NC State, Virginia are 5-2

WCC
Gonzaga 68, San Francisco 66

Dons lose their 34th consecutive game at Gonzaga.
USF missed a 3-pointer, tip-in in last 0:05 in a near-miss.
Gonzaga has won 14 games in a row; their only loss was to Michigan.

Pacific 56, Seattle 54
Pacific never trailed, led by 16 in the first half.
Tigers won five of their last seven games.
Seattle is 3-6 in WCC, after an 11-2 pre-conference mark.

Saint Mary’s 75, Portland 69
Gaels won 10 of their last 11 games.
Gaels are 19-3, despite being #338 in country in experience.
Saint Mary’s is shooting 81.8% on foul line, best in country.
Gonzaga is 9-0 in WCC; Saint Mary’s/Santa Clara are 8-1.

Missouri Valley
Ill-Chicago 85, Bradley 70

Flames have won six in a row, after starting season 5-10.
Ill-Chicago shot 12-24 on the arc.
Flames are forcing most turnovers in MVC games.

Northern Iowa 81, Murray State 76
6-4 senior Campbell scored 27 points, had five assists.
Panthers snap a five-game losing streak.
2nd loss in a row for Murray State, after 12-game win streak.
Belmont/Murray State are both 8-2. Bradley is 7-4.
MVC has been a one-bid league the last four years.

Famous birthdays, January 25th:
Carl Eller, 84
Byron Beck, 81
Mark Duper, 67
Tim Kempton, 62
Mark Schlereth, 60
Chris Mills, 56
Scott Milanovich, 53
Patrick Willis, 41

Atlantic 14
Rhode Island 74, George Mason 65

Loss snaps George Mason’s nine-game win streak.
George Mason is only team in country that has played a game this year where they didn’t commit any turnovers, New Year’s Eve they won 80-75 at LaSalle.

VCU 75, Davidson 69
Rams shot 65.7% inside the arc.
VCU has won three in row, eight of last ten games.
VCU is one of three A-14 teams (URI, Fordham) whose mascot is a Ram.
Saint Louis is 7-0, George Mason 6-1, VCU/Dayton 5-2
A-14 has been a one-bid league two of last three years; VCU could get an at-large TY.

Sun Belt
Troy 83, Georgia Southern 78

Troy outscored Eagles 12-4 over the final 2:22 of game.
Trojans have won five in row, nine of last 10 games.
Troy is 3-2 in OT games; 1-0 in one OT, 2-1 in double OT, lost in triple OT at USC

Georgia State 82, Arkansas State 81
Panthers won their fourth straight game, making 12-27 on arc.
Arkansas State led 20-5 right off the bat.
Arkansas State out-rebounded the Panthers, 38-21
Troy is 8-1 in Sun Belt; Georgia State is 6-3, Marshall, South Alabama are 5-3.
Sun Belt has been a one-bid league the last 12 years.

Big West
Cal-Santa Barbara 74, Long Beach State 71

Gauchos win their fourth game in a row.
UCSB led 44-29 at halftime, hung on for the win.
Gauchos are shooting 41.1% on arc in Big West games.

Cal-Irvine 61, Cal-San Diego 59
Irvine outscored Tritons 2-0 over final 3:30 of game.
Anteaters are 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
Brickfest; teams combined to shoot 13-49 on the arc.
Cal-Irvine is 7-2 in Big West; Hawai’i is 6-2, pending their late game Saturday. Santa Barbara is 6-3

Southland
Stephen F Austin 88, Lamar 81

Lumberjacks have won five in a row, 10 of last 11 games.
Stephen F Austin shot 13-27 from arc, scored 1.31 ppp
6-1 senior Thompson scored 26 points, had 5 assists.

McNeese State 82, New Orleans 63
6-4 freshman Johnson scored 26 points, had five assists.
Cowboys won 10 of last 12 games; they have win at Rhode Island this year.
McNeese forces turnovers on 24.6% of possessions, most in country.
Stephen F Austin is 10-1, McNeese State 9-2; McNeese won first meeting, 66-64

Horizon
Oakland 95, Detroit 87

Oakland shot 65% inside arc, scored 1.38 ppp.
5-11 senior Robinson played all 40:00, had 24 points, 10 assists
Grizzlies won six of their last eight games.

Green Bay 71, Robert Morris 67
Green Bay shot 60.6% inside the arc.
For season, Green Bay is shooting 59.1% inside arc in Horizon games.
Doug Gottlieb’s Phoenix has won six of its last eight games.
Wright State is 8-2, Oakland 8-3, Fort Wayne 7-3. Horizon has been a one-bid league every year since 2010.
 

Udog

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Weather Report

Sunday, January 25


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NFL
Armadillo's Write-up

Conference Championships

Sunday’s games
Patriots (-4.5) @ Broncos
Patriots (16-3)
Patriots are 15-1 SU/13-3 ATS in their last 16 games.
Last four games, New England allowed 10-10-3-16 points.
Last three games, Patriots have 13 sacks.
QB Maye is 19-12 as an NFL starter (2-0 in playoffs).

Vrabel is 72-51 as an NFL head coach (4-3 in playoffs, 2-1 on road).
Patriots are 10-3 ATS as a favorite this year.
NE is 3-1 ATS this year as a road favorite.
Opponents’ team total: under 15-2 last 17 games
Over is 10-3 in their last thirteen games.
Patriots are trying to get to their 12th Super Bowl.

Broncos (14-3)
Backup QB Stidham hasn’t thrown a pass this season.
Stidham is 1-3 as an NFL starter (last start/NFL pass in 2023)
Stidham was a backup for the Patriots in 2019/2020.
Broncos won 14 of their last 15 games overall.
Payton is 194-117 as an NFL head coach, 33-20 with Denver.
Payton is 10-9 in playoff games, won Super Bowl 16 years ago.

Denver is 4-1 ATS as an underdog this season.
Underdogs covered eight of their last ten games.
In their losses, Denver allowed 29-23-34 points.
Over is 5-2 in their last seven games.
Denver is 12-2 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Denver is 10-3 in last 13 home playoff games.
Denver is 9-1 when they score more than 20 points.

Teams split last six series games.
Teams also split last six meetings in Denver.
This first time since 2017 a road team is favored in conference title game.
Over is 6-2 in last eight series games.
Last six years, favorites are 7-4-1 ATS in this round.

Rams @ Seahawks (-2.5)
Rams (14-5)
Rams scored 34+ points in five of their last seven games.
Rams are 9-5 ATS in their last fourteen games.
This year, Rams are 9-0 when they allow less than 26 points.
QB Stafford is 53-30 as the Rams’ starter (7-2 in playoffs).
McVay is 102-62 as an NFL head coach (10-5 in playoffs).

Rams won last two weeks, by 3-3 points.
Rams are 1-1 ATS as an underdog this year.
This year, Rams are minus-5 in turnovers in losses, +20 in wins.
Over is 7-1 in Rams’ last eight games.
Rams went over team total in 13 of last 18 games.
Seven of Rams’ last eleven wins were by 14+ points.

Seahawks (15-3)
Seahawks are 8-0 SU/5-3 ATS in their last eight games.
Last three games, Seahawks allowed 10-3-6 points.
Seahawks won 11 of their last 12 home playoff games.
Darnold is 50-42 as an NFL starter (1-1 in playoffs)
MacDonald is 25-10 as a head coach (1-0 in playoffs).

Seattle’s losses this year were by 4-3-2 points.
Seattle is 5-3 ATS as a home favorite this year.
Seattle is 6-3 in games decided by 8 or fewer points.
Seahawks went over their team total 12 of last 17 games.
Opponents’ team total: under 12-5-1.

Teams split couple of close games this year.
Rams won 21-19 at home, lost 38-37 at Seattle.
Teams split last eight meetings in Seattle.
Under is 8-3 in last 11 meetings.
Last six years, favorites are 7-4-1 ATS in this round.





NFL
Dunkel

Conference Championships


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NFL

Conference Championships
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Trend Report
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New England VS Denver
New England is 5-0 ATS in its last 5 games.
The total has gone OVER in 6 of New England's last 7 games.
New England is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games.
New England is 8-4 ATS in its last 12 games against Denver.
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Denver's last 7 games.
Denver is 14-1 SU in its last 15 games.
The total has gone OVER in 8 of Denver's last 12 games against New England.
Denver is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home.

Los Angeles VS Seattle
LA Rams is 13-7 ATS in its last 20 games.
The total has gone OVER in 7 of LA Rams' last 8 games.
LA Rams is 11-3 SU in its last 14 games.
LA Rams is 9-2 ATS in its last 11 games against Seattle.
Seattle is 10-3 ATS in its last 13 games.
Seattle is 8-0 SU in its last 8 games.
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Seattle's last 14 games against LA Rams.
Seattle is 6-0 SU in its last 6 games at home.


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