Recap: Well, all the dogs I played fared a lot better last Thursday than last Friday. I was on two faves on Friday that covered, though, and one (MD) that didn't. It was a fun couple of days, though. I ended up about 3 games under .500, and down about 4 units after the vig (you can see it add up when you get 16 wins). I missed all of my ML plays (Valpo, Pepp, Hawaii) and I stayed off the ML on Tulsa, even though I liked it.
UA-OU: Tonight, I have Zona +3.5, mainly because I have a 1 unit play on OK at 50-1 which I'm going to start fading (picked and posted in January). That doesn't mean I think ZONA +3.5 is necessarily a great play.
Duke-Indy: I see precious little value in that Duke game, though SIA has the line at 14, which I like a lot more than 12. However, I have 1 unit on Indiana +650 (@ Carib). It's about time for a big ole upset. I've been looking at that Duke team all year saying, "they're going to get to the tournament and tank". Well, I'm hoping tonight is the night. It will really help me get value out of that OK pick too, because if Duke loses OU is probably favored no matter who they play until they reach the final. Maybe its a "hope" bet, but that's a lot of 'hope' in my wallet if it hits. 1 unit on Indy +14, too. The foul shooting of Duke, if they have a 8-10 point lead, late keeps this game within the number.
PITT-KSU: My gut is screaming PITT while my head is screaming "ITS A TRAP". That game is PK at Carib, if you're shopping, but +2 at SIA, so if you like middles... I'm on Pitt (PK) for 2 units, and KSU +2 for 1 unit.
UCLA-Mizzu: I'm on UCLA. (-1.5). I just think it's time for Kent and Mizzu to wake up and say, "What am i doing here?" That OSU team that Mizzu beat wasn't much of a team, and Miami probably woluld have finished below Mizzu if they had been in the Big XII this year. I'm not trying to take anything away from either of them, but I think they're both finally outclassed.
There's one guy here that had the sig "Only bet on it if you think the line is wrong". That takes a lot of fun out of gambling, but its right in some ways. If I followed it, I'd probably have one play tonight: Indy +650. I think these lines are really tough right now, but I'm still making these plays.
GLTA.
TheShrimp
UA-OU: Tonight, I have Zona +3.5, mainly because I have a 1 unit play on OK at 50-1 which I'm going to start fading (picked and posted in January). That doesn't mean I think ZONA +3.5 is necessarily a great play.
Duke-Indy: I see precious little value in that Duke game, though SIA has the line at 14, which I like a lot more than 12. However, I have 1 unit on Indiana +650 (@ Carib). It's about time for a big ole upset. I've been looking at that Duke team all year saying, "they're going to get to the tournament and tank". Well, I'm hoping tonight is the night. It will really help me get value out of that OK pick too, because if Duke loses OU is probably favored no matter who they play until they reach the final. Maybe its a "hope" bet, but that's a lot of 'hope' in my wallet if it hits. 1 unit on Indy +14, too. The foul shooting of Duke, if they have a 8-10 point lead, late keeps this game within the number.
PITT-KSU: My gut is screaming PITT while my head is screaming "ITS A TRAP". That game is PK at Carib, if you're shopping, but +2 at SIA, so if you like middles... I'm on Pitt (PK) for 2 units, and KSU +2 for 1 unit.
UCLA-Mizzu: I'm on UCLA. (-1.5). I just think it's time for Kent and Mizzu to wake up and say, "What am i doing here?" That OSU team that Mizzu beat wasn't much of a team, and Miami probably woluld have finished below Mizzu if they had been in the Big XII this year. I'm not trying to take anything away from either of them, but I think they're both finally outclassed.
There's one guy here that had the sig "Only bet on it if you think the line is wrong". That takes a lot of fun out of gambling, but its right in some ways. If I followed it, I'd probably have one play tonight: Indy +650. I think these lines are really tough right now, but I'm still making these plays.
GLTA.
TheShrimp
