Cocktails

TheShrimp

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Jan 15, 2002
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Recap: Well, all the dogs I played fared a lot better last Thursday than last Friday. I was on two faves on Friday that covered, though, and one (MD) that didn't. It was a fun couple of days, though. I ended up about 3 games under .500, and down about 4 units after the vig (you can see it add up when you get 16 wins). I missed all of my ML plays (Valpo, Pepp, Hawaii) and I stayed off the ML on Tulsa, even though I liked it.

UA-OU: Tonight, I have Zona +3.5, mainly because I have a 1 unit play on OK at 50-1 which I'm going to start fading (picked and posted in January). That doesn't mean I think ZONA +3.5 is necessarily a great play.

Duke-Indy: I see precious little value in that Duke game, though SIA has the line at 14, which I like a lot more than 12. However, I have 1 unit on Indiana +650 (@ Carib). It's about time for a big ole upset. I've been looking at that Duke team all year saying, "they're going to get to the tournament and tank". Well, I'm hoping tonight is the night. It will really help me get value out of that OK pick too, because if Duke loses OU is probably favored no matter who they play until they reach the final. Maybe its a "hope" bet, but that's a lot of 'hope' in my wallet if it hits. 1 unit on Indy +14, too. The foul shooting of Duke, if they have a 8-10 point lead, late keeps this game within the number.

PITT-KSU: My gut is screaming PITT while my head is screaming "ITS A TRAP". That game is PK at Carib, if you're shopping, but +2 at SIA, so if you like middles... I'm on Pitt (PK) for 2 units, and KSU +2 for 1 unit.

UCLA-Mizzu: I'm on UCLA. (-1.5). I just think it's time for Kent and Mizzu to wake up and say, "What am i doing here?" That OSU team that Mizzu beat wasn't much of a team, and Miami probably woluld have finished below Mizzu if they had been in the Big XII this year. I'm not trying to take anything away from either of them, but I think they're both finally outclassed.

There's one guy here that had the sig "Only bet on it if you think the line is wrong". That takes a lot of fun out of gambling, but its right in some ways. If I followed it, I'd probably have one play tonight: Indy +650. I think these lines are really tough right now, but I'm still making these plays.

GLTA.

TheShrimp
 

taoist

The Sage
Forum Member
Re: Cocktails

TheShrimp said:
Duke-Indy: I have 1 unit on Indiana +650 (@ Carib). It's about time for a big ole upset. I've been looking at that Duke team all year saying, "they're going to get to the tournament and tank". Well, I'm hoping tonight is the night.

There's one guy here that had the sig "Only bet on it if you think the line is wrong". That takes a lot of fun out of gambling, but its right in some ways. If I followed it, I'd probably have one play tonight: Indy +650. I think these lines are really tough right now, but I'm still making these plays.

...remembered this thread from earlier in the day and spent 15 min lookin' for it. (...i know your other plays didn't pan out, but that was a nice hit on the ML, huh? :D ) ...that was some kind of premonition you had there about that being the only game you shouldda played. :eek: ...good luck to ya and congrats on the big upset ML tonight!!! (...i guess it made up for the other games.) :cool:
 

TheShrimp

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Thanks for the BUMP, Taoist

Thanks for the BUMP, Taoist

That ML, indeed, made up for everything else. By the time, I made the bet, it was only +550 though, so my lollygagging cost me a unit.

I lost the ZONA game, BUT like I said that was a hedge play because I have OU at 50-1 to win it all. Now that Duke is out, OU should be favored in every game between now and the final, which is HUGE for hedging.

I was way off in thinking it was time for Mizzu and Kent State to come back to earth. I played 2 units on Pitt -1 and 1 unit on KSU +2.5, so if Pitt made a hoop at the end of regulation, it would have been a huge night for me. :shrug:

Right now, I only like Maryland -6 tonight. Kentucky got 41 from Tayshaun Prince in their last game and still only won by 5. Maryland is too deep, too talented, and too consistent not to run away with this. It would probably have to be 10 for me to bet on Kentucky.

And I'll tell ya, a MD-KU matchup in the Final Four would just be beautiful. Baxter and Wilcox versus Collison and Gooden, not to mention some very interesting matchups in the guard positions.

GLTA

TheShrimp
 
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