RJ Bell and the Wise Guys From ******** analysis of Colin Cowherd's Blazing Five:
Titans +3, Slight AGREEMENT
Saints -3, Big DISAGREEMENT
Bucs - 2.5, Slight AGREEMENT
SD +3, DISAGREEMENT
Bal -1, AGREEMENT
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I'll toss in some SHARP plays....
St. Louis -3.5 ? It's not often that a favored team is considered sharp, but that's what the case is here in St. Louis. The Rams remember, were considered to be one of the up and coming teams in the league this year until quarterback Sam Bradford tore his ACL. The oddsmakers adjusted from the Rams being favored by five to favored by just 3.5 in this one, and that's proof that perhaps there isn't that much of a drop off from Bradford to QB Shaun Hill in the oddsmakers' eyes. St. Louis is a lot more than just a one-man offense, and this defense is the real deal. We see no reason why the Rams shouldn't be laying more than just standard home field advantage in this game.
Opening Line: St. Louis -5
Current Line: St. Louis -3.5
Public Betting Percentage: 67% on Minnesota
Jacksonville +10 ? The sharpest play on the board. Most figure that head coach Chip Kelly is going to be able to keep QB Nick Foles playing at a ridiculously high rate in 2014, and we just don't know if it is going to happen. The Jaguars closed out the season on a strong note last year, and we have a feeling that they are going to be one of the better surprise teams in 2014. They aren't going to win this game, but just the fact that the spread has come down from 11.5 at the open to 10 at the present (with some 10.5 numbers still being shown up there) is proof enough to us that the "Wise Guys" agree with our assessment. This is a whole heck of a lot of points for a team to be getting in Week 1; especially with many of the belief that Philly is the surefire bet to repeat as NFC East champions.
Opening Line: Jacksonville +11.5
Current Line: Jacksonville +10
Public Betting Percentage: 69% on Philadelphia
Tennessee +3.5 ? The Titans and Chiefs were really nowhere near each other last year, but the oddsmakers think that these clubs are virtually even heading into 2014. It's tough to fathom that, but Tennessee should be at least a relatively average team. This is a bet though, that goes against the public perception that says Kansas City is a good squad. In fact, we don't see how this team finishes .500 this year. QB Alex Smith is the quintessential game manager, and if RB Jamaal Charles is even remotely slowed down and DE Justin Houston can't get off of the edge in a hurry, we don't see how the Chiefs are winning games on either side of the ball.
Opening Line: Tennessee +5.5
Current Line: Tennessee +3.5
Public Betting Percentage: 73% on Kansas City
