College Ball Super Regionals

Mr. Poon

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Looking for some dogs, but just don?t see them barking tomorrow. Stanford has the best shot but has a tough starter they are opposing. Really think Saturday is going to be the day for upsets.

Miss St./Fla Under 10.5 (-140) for 1 unit ? A good Gators pitching staff has kept opponents limited in the post season giving up less than 3 runs per game in the conference tourney and regionals. This is after posting a 3.32 ERA in conference play (vs. the toughest conf.). They will be throwing their ace Hudson Randall. Mississippi St. counters with Frosh Evan Mitchell who has thrust himself late in the year as one of their better pitchers. His last few outings have gone well including giving up only 2 ER?s in 5 IP in the conference tourney vs. Florida. I don?t expect him to keep a potent Florida offense completely at bay, but don?t expect to see a double-digit explosion by the Gators either.

Stanford/UNC Under 9.5 (-115) for 1 unit ? very interested in watching this regional as these two clubs are very evenly matched. Although both clubs posted a couple of big #?s in their regionals, I fully expect three close games this weekend between these two. Both team?s aces are going tomorrow. Mark Appel for Stanford who has given up no more than 3 ER?s in his last 3 starts. UNC has Patrick Johnson who hasn?t given up an ER in his last three starts (which includes a game vs. stalwart UVa).

Texas -145 (vs. ASU) for 1 unit ? not often will you get a price like this when Taylor Jungmann pitches for Texas. The all-american had an outstanding year (1.39 ERA; 0.80 WHIP; .167 OBA and 120 K?s in 129.1 IP), however did not fare well in his last outing vs. Kent St. He?s only given up 20 ER on the year and 7 came in that contest. For a guy that regularly goes out with the possibility of going the distance and limiting the opponent to only a couple of runs, I?m not going to get hung up on that performance. ASU definitely has the edge offensively on paper. However that edge is negated by Jungmann?s dominance and Texas outstanding D in the field.


gl guys
 

IE

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like texas also...good luck.



Brady Rodgers to start Game 1 for ASU against Texas


Arizona State's Brady Rodgers will go against one of the top pitchers in college baseball in Texas' Taylor Jungmann in game 1 of a best-of-3 super regional starting Friday in Austin.

Rodgers (8-4, 2.85 ERA) is coming off a career best 10 strikeouts in eight innings last week in a no-decision against New Mexico. He is from Richmond, Texas, outside Houston.

Jungmann (13-1, 1.39) is the Big 12 Pitcher of the Year and has thrown five complete games. He was selected 12th overall by Milwaukee in this week's major league draft. Jungmann threw 5.2 innings of relief to get a win over ASU at the 2009 College World Series.

In game 2 Saturday, ASU's Kramer Champlin (9-3, 2.93) will start against Texas' Cole Green (7-3, 3.09). Green started and went six innings against ASU at the 2009 CWS.

Jake Barrett remains out for ASU with an arm injury and did not make the trip.

Pitchers for game 3, if necessary Sunday, are to be announced. ASU's top choices are Mitchell Lambson (7-3, 4.41) and Kyle Ottoson (3-1, 3.40) although Lambson could be needed in relief in the first two games. Texas can go with Sam Stafford (6-2, 1.57).

==========

ASU update: Kramer Champlin (9-3, 2.93 ERA) will start Game 2. Jake Barrett remains out with an arm injury, so either Mitchell Lambson (7-3, 4.41) or Kyle Ottoson (3-1, 3.40) is likely to pitch if the series is extended. Lambson could be needed in relief in the first two games. ASU is playing in Austin for the first time since a regular-season loss in 2006 and has only played the Longhorns six times since 2000.

Texas update: 3B Erich Weiss is hitting a team high .361 with a .538 slugging percentage. SS Brandon Loy hits .344 and has 19 stolen bases. Cole Green (7-3, 3.09) is the scheduled starter for game 2 with Sam Stafford (6-2, 1.57) as likely for game 3. Corey Knebel has 17 saves go to with a 3-2 record and 1.23 ERA. Coach Augie Garrido is tops in Division I history with 1,815 wins in 43 seasons (15 at Texas).
 

Mr. Poon

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1-2 yesterday only getting the UNC Under.

starting off today with another under:

Irvine/UVa Under 9.5 (-120) for 1 unit - all about the starting pitchers in Matt Summers (Irvine) and Danny Hultzen (UVa). Both guys have sub 2 ERA's and WHIP's under 1, simply put they limit baserunners and runs.

Looking at the other games now.

Gl guys
 
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Mr. Poon

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Others for Saturday:

Stanford/UNC Under 10.5 (-135) for 1 unit ? both team?s #2 guys have pitched real well in recent outings. Expect a similar game to yesterday.

A&M +165 (vs. FSU) for 1 unit ? these two clubs are pretty evenly matched across the board in my mind. Aggies are sending Ross Stripling to the mound, who was their #3 guy for most of the year. Normally that would worry me, but his stats show he?s more than that (2.30 ERA; 0.85 WHIP; .198 OBA and 99K?s in 109.2 IP). Aggie?s ace is out for the year and their #2 guy pitched twice in the regionals so they are giving him extra rest. FSU goes with their #1 Sean Gilmartin (1.83 ERA; 0.94 OBA; .208 OBA and 122 K?s in 113.1 IP). Both offenses strike out frequently so I expect a lot of ring ups for the two starting pitchers. Gilmartin hasn?t been as sharp in recent outings, so I believe Aggies can?t get to him and steal a game here.

UConn +2.5 (-105) @ S. Carolina for 2 units ? Huskies were hyped to start the year, got off to a bad start and then kind of went unnoticed the rest of the way due to the conference they play in. This is a very good team that I think has a decent shot of making it to Omaha despite having to go through the defending champs on the road. They are a very well rounded team with the exception of their defense in the field. Huskies are lead by two first round picks in OF George Springer and starting pitchers Matt Barnes. May be tough for Huskies to get a win against the Gamecocks ace Michael Roth, but I expect a close game so taking the multiple run line at this price is a good idea. Will wait to take UConn straight up in the other games of the series as I feel they have a better pitching edge in those games.

Gl guys
 

Mr. Poon

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2-2 yesterday getting the UVa Under and A&M play, but missing the others.

Updated Record: 63-52 for +16.95 units
 

Mr. Poon

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For Sunday:

A&M +165 (vs FSU) for 1 unit - Like their chances to end it today with a win as they have the far better starting pitcher today in Michael Wacha.

UConn +380 (vs. S. Carolina) for ? unit ? Huskies started well but couldn?t fully capitalize in the early innings on some prime opportunities. It?s not going to be easy, but as I said yesterday, they stand a better chance for a pure upset with Michael Roth out of the way for the Gamecocks.

UVa/Irvine Under 8.5 (-120) for 1 unit ? Plenty of pitching still available for both sides. UVa sends Will Roberts to the mound who has had a great year in Danny Hultzen?s shadow. As shown yesterday, Irvine will try to play small ball to win, so expect at most a handful of runs again.

Florida -2.5 (-120) vs. Miss St. for 1 unit ? Now that the Gators got brought back to earth with yesterday?s stunner, I expect one of their onslaughts to come out today.

gl guys
 

Cie

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I like the aggies today. The line seems very generous. I was thinking almost too generous given the pitching advantage on paper.

Good luck. Going to look into UVA uci next.
 

Mr. Poon

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Completely forgetable day going the 0-fer. Both Virginia and A&M go with pitchers I wasn't expecting.

Updated Record: 63-56 for +13.05 units

will take a couple more hacks today:

A&M +200 (@ FSU) for 1 unit - Wacha on the mound today in a similar situation he was in a week ago vs. Zona in the regional deciding game.

UVa -260 (vs. Irvine) for 2 units - Will Roberts saved to be used for today. Cav's bullpen had an uncharcteristic melt down yesterday, but still doesn't have anyone overused that couldn't go today.

gl guys
 

Mr. Poon

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2-0 with a +200 dog that cruises and a huge fav that needs a miraculous comeback in the 9th. Man, my heart is still beating a bit quicker from that UVa game.

Updated Record: 65-56 for +17.05 units

In all home field really proved to be an advantage more than past like I stated last week. 6 of the 8 national seeds advance. Really like UVa's chances to go all the way, or at least win their bracket, with the defending champs being the biggest obstacle. They have the pitching and bats to match USC though in my mind. The other side of the bracket has 4 national seeds. Fla and Vandy would be the favorites on that side, but their counterparts in Texas and UNC have enough top-line pitching to perhaps not be the first teams eliminated.
 
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