College FB Picks (10/20-10/22), YTD: 42-31, +9.8 units

BGFalcon

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Troy/Florida International under 47.5 and Troy -7 (-125) : Neither team has been playing high-scoring games once they got into conference play. This trend should continue in this game as Troy should be able to run the ball against the Flint defense and slow the game down. Even after the disappointing loss to ULM last week, they still are in the hunt for the Sun Belt. Mainly because everyone is so bad that no one will go undefeated. Grab the 7 now because it will be long gone by gametime.
 

BGFalcon

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Division I-AA

Division I-AA

E. Washington -14 over Weber St.: I'll keep riding this hoss for a while. EWU is rolling offensively and should cover this number at home. Weber St. has benefited this year by getting a lot of turnovers but it won't happen this game. They will slow EWU down a little but won't be able to score enough to keep pace.

Fordham +9.5 over Georgetown: Neither team can score so I'll take the points. Fordham is finally playing a team they can compete with so I'm expecting a good effort. They probably won't get the win but they should keep it close.

Jacksonville -6.5 over Austin Peay: Jacksonville is not good but Austin Peay is rotten. The only reason they are not considered the worst team in Division 1-AA is because of Butler. Jacksonville runs the ball fairly well and AP can't stop anybody. Only the fact this game is on the road keeps it from being a two unit play.

SE Louisiana +15 over McNeese St.: I have this game lined at 3 so 15 is nice to have. I think McNeese will have a little letdown after last week and will struggle a little bit on the road. I don't think McNeese St. is good enough defensively to be laying over two TDs on the road.
 

BGFalcon

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Three home dogs

Three home dogs

Indiana +16 over Ohio St.: Hoeppner's got this program heading in the right direction but it is going to take time. He will have the Hoosiers sky high for this game and the Buckeyes are coming off two draining games. OSU is not very good on offense and IU will play hard to the end, making a backdoor cover a real possibility. This is simply too big of a number for a mediocre offensive team to cover on the road.

Eastern Michigan +11 over Miami (OH): Miami has been disappointing this year with their inconsistency. They scored 21 points in about 90 seconds last week to cover. The game was much closer than the score indicated. EMU has also been disappointing this year (surprise!), especially on offense. But, I don't think Miami can cover double digits in what should be a high-scoring affair. Betts should be good for a stupid decision or two that will set up scores for EMU. I'll take the home dog for one unit.

Kent +10.5 over NIU: Another situation where NIU's defense is not strong enough to cover double digits on the road. The Huskies are banged up and just want to get the win. (They can rest up next week since they have a bye ...errr they play Ball St.,...never mind.) Anyway, Kent will throw the ball (since they can't run) and exploit a questionable NIU secondary.
 

BGFalcon

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BGSU -6.5 (1st Qtr) over Western Michigan: With or without Pope, I think BG comes out of the gate smoking. WMU hasn't been a real fast starter this year (down 21-7 to Ball St., for example) and BG really puts the wood to teams at home. Two unit play.
 

BGFalcon

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One more...

One more...

Northwestern +14 over Michigan St.: I've been waiting for this one to get to 14. Sparty must still be hurting from last week's debacle where they blew a game in Columbus. John L. Smith lives up to his middle initial again in a big game as MSU has screwed up games vs. the Buckeyes and Ohio St. I don't see them bouncing back to cover two TD's against Northwestern. The Wildcats are cruising along scoring points and will love going against the sieve-like Sparty D. They've got a rough string of games ahead of them but they get Michigan and Iowa at home. I won't be surprised with the straight up win and I'll be shocked if they don't cover the 14. Two unit play.
 
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