College FB Picks (11/1-11/3), YTD 60-49, +6.85 units

BGFalcon

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Some FCS picks (write ups later):

Jacksonville +1.5 over Valpo

Maine +2 over Towson

C. Arkansas +9 over S. Dakota St.

N. Dakota St. -15 over Illinois St.
 

BGFalcon

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BGSU -6 over Akron--I wanted to wait 'til the six showed before I posted it. I figured with Charlie Frye back in the state I would need the hook:00hour . Looking for a lay down by the Zips tonight and a fired up late-arriving crowd from Howards and the Brathaus to inpire the Falcons.
 

BGFalcon

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FCS Writeups

FCS Writeups

Jacksonville +1.5 Valpo--Two bad teams going at it but I think Jacksonville might be a little more motivated. They played a good first half last week against Drake and then imploded. This one is down to PK and if it gets to Valpo +1.5 I will probably play both sides and hope for a missed XP in overtime. I had this one at Jacksonville -6 so I had to play it (but I'm not thrilled with it).

Maine +2 Towson--This line moved up to 3.5 at one point and is now at 2.5. One of the few times I've gotten the worst of the line movement. Another numbers play as I have Maine -7. They have had a tough stretch of 3 close games (losing 2) but come home for a winnable game. Neither team is stellar offensively and both have shown a tendency to turn the ball over. I'll take the home team and the points but I wish I would have gotten the 3.5.

C. Arkansas +9 over S. Dakota St.--Forget about getting this number anymore. It is down to 1.5. This game should be a shootout and C. Arkansas has shown they can score on anyone. High-scoring home dogs getting more than a TD are usually solid plays.

North Dakota St. -15 over Illinois St.--Illinois St. doesn't have the defense to keep this one close. They will score but NDSU is rolling right now. My line was 24.5 so the current line of 20.5 is marginally playable.
 

BGFalcon

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FBS Writeups

FBS Writeups

Troy +16 over UGA and under 58.5--I expect a less than top notch out of Georgia today after their big win last week. Troy is not your typical rotten Sun Belt team. They are pretty solid on defense and Haugabook can make plays. I was hoping to get 17 but the number seems to be staying put. Put two units on the under.

Purdue +8 over PSU and over 51.5--Disappointing loss for PSU last week and that will be a factor today. Purdue, while not a great team, is putting together a good season record-wise. Both teams should be able to move the ball, Purdue because of their passing game and PSU because of Purdue's suspect defense. I think both teams can get into the high 20's with Purdue getting the backdoor cover.

FIU/Arkansas St. over 52.5--Arky St. can't score against the big boys but they will run it up against FIU. FIU has gotten a little better offensively and should get a couple of scores. Throw in the usual mixture of special teams scores, pick sixes and missed tackles that highlight Sun Belt play, and this one goes over easily.

Toledo/EMU under 62.5--Toledo and under usually don't go well together but I think EMU will be able to run the ball and slow this game down. They have been under this number every game except Ohio and teams score against Ohio by accident (except Temple).

Wisconsin +16 over Ohio St.--Betting that Wisky doesn't piss their pants like Sparty did in the shoe in the first half. If Wisconsin can control the ball and not turn it over, they can keep this relatively close. But if the Buckeyes get a couple of big plays early, it could get messy.
 

BGFalcon

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Two tough beats already with Wisky and Jacksonville. Troy and UGA are also scoring like crazy. May have to tap into my son's college fund after this weekend.
 
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