College FB Picks (9/01-9/05), YTD 0-0

[BGFalcon]

Thursday:
Buffalo/UConn under 44.5--As long as the Huskies don't score 45 by themselves, this should be safe. Buffalo will struggle to move the ball against UConn's veteran defensive line (actually they will struggle to move the ball against anyone's defensive line). UConn will play a conservative game offensively with a rookie QB in his first start. Look for UConn to take a solid halftime lead and then grind it out in the second half.

 

[BGFalcon]

Saturday:
Wisconsin -2.5 over BGSU: BG has become a public darling but that usually happens with a flashy offensive team. The problem is that they don't stop teams in big games. I don't see that changing at Wisconsin. Alvarez is going to try to control the clock and keep BG's offense off the field but knows he will need to throw deep a few times. BG's secondary will give up a couple of big plays and be forced to play catch up on the road.

 

[TimmyE]

Its funny how the Wisconsin fans here are taking BG, and the BG fans are taking wisconsin...

 

[DIRTY Diapers]

I love the UCONN/Buff. under. Will be betting a large sum on that game. GL

 

[TimmyE]

What about the BG over?

 

[soljah67]

For a BG fan why are u taking Wisconsin? just wodnering because I was thinking of taking BG, got any inside scoops? What I do know is that Wisconsin's offense wasn't too great last season and even though they are returning 6 starters including their QB, I think they may faulter as they don't have the big play potential. On defense Wisconsin only has 3 returning starters. With the loss of E. james which anchored wisconsin's stingy defense all last year I don't see them stopping BG's high powered offense. the three headed monster of QB Jacobs, WR Sharon, and TB Pope should run wild over this inexperienced defense. Only thing that sort of worries me is that its in Wisconsin. However, I don't think I've ever really known BG to be affected too much on the road. BG has been my gambling team for many years now and has made me alot of money. Only bet against them once and won, just hope that ths game is not the time to bet against them.

 

[BGFalcon]

I want to clarify that I am not a BG fan, I am a BG alum. There is a difference. When it comes to betting, you can't be a fan. As for the game, I don't think BG has the defense to stop the Badgers consistently. Their secondary will allow Stocco to throw the ball efficiently enough to move the chains, thus keeping Jacobs off the field. I didn't like this side as much when it was -3.5 but I'll take the Cheeseheads giving less than a FG at home.

 

[TimmyE]

So you're not a BG fan??? Do you not root for them to win?
I still bet against my team all the time, but that doesn't make me not a fan, I just don't think they'll cover the spread.

I pretty sure bjfintse or whatever is a Wisc fan, but he thinks BG will win.

 

[BGFalcon]

No, I would not consider myself a BG fan.

 

[BGFalcon]

Thursday:

Thursday:

Sorry for the late post but I found a number I like:

S.Carolina/C.Florida under 51

No time for a write up but I don't think Spurrier has the personnel to run it up just yet.

 

[AR182]

bg,

i'm with you on both unders.....except i got the sc game at 49........i don't understand why the total keeps rising on that game.

good luck this weekend & for the season.

 

[BGFalcon]

Thursday results: 2-0

Nothing for today, maybe one or two more on Saturday.

 

[ysg3]

Wisko a fairly large consensus favorite on the site i follow? any thoughts on that

 

[BGFalcon]

One more:

NIU/Michigan under 57: There are a few 57s out there right now but this one may go a little higher. A lot of hype has gone into Michigan's inability to stop teams over the last half of the season and most of it was justified. But, the focus today will be to begin re-establishing the Wolverine's defensive reputation. NIU is not Vince Young and Texas and that helps. Michigan's strong much improved defensive front should be able to stop the run and NIU can't throw it well enough to score more than twice. Michigan will showcase its offense (Hart, Breaston, Henne) for the first half and then in typical Lloyd Carr fashion grind the ball for the last 30 minutes. Look for some big plays from the Wolverines but some trouble in the red zone as the offensive line goes through some changes due to Jake Long's injury. The side is tempting, but Michigan as double-digit chalk is rarely a good play. I like the under in the Big House.

 

[BGFalcon]

Michigan St. -12 (1st Half) over Kent St.: I agree with gman that Kent will struggle early offensively. Sparty, on the other hand, should be a very good offensive team. The game line has crept up a little too high but I still like the first half. Sparty should roll early.

 

[BGFalcon]

Adding:

Adding:

Wyoming +24.5 over Florida: I think this is too many points for Florida to cover in an opener. Urban will definitely win and win big but, similar to Spurrier, it will take awhile for the big scores to roll up.

Notre Dame/Pitt under 10.5 (1st Qtr) : Two new coaches trying to establish defense and toughness should result in a low-scoring first quarter. Too many mistakes as the game goes on makes the game total a little too risky for me.

 

[BGFalcon]

Results: 6-1, +4.9 units

I like Syracuse -2 over WVU tomorrow and Miami -3 over FSU on Monday but not enough to bet them, yet.

 

[BGFalcon]

Miami -3 over FSU: Going to take this before the 3's are gone. I'll write it up later.

Kentucky +23.5 over Louisville: This may go up to 24 but I'll take the points now. Kentucky should be able to score enough points to keep this in-state rivalry within 3 TD's. The Wildcats' offense is much better and should be able to control the clock to keep the score manageable. Louisville will score, but not enough to cover this number.

No play on Syracuse/WVU.

 

[BGFalcon]

Thoughts on Miami/FSU

Thoughts on Miami/FSU

Miami returns 9 starters on defense which should cause problems for an inexperienced Seminole offense. Miami will come out and pressure the FSU offense and force some early mistakes. Most of the 3's are gone, but if you can still find one grab it.

 

[gman2]

well done on the weekend falcon. think miami/fsu is a total crapshoot. for the first time in awhile, neither team has a stud quarterback. this is gonna come down to which young qb makes less mistakes.