Below are the projections for the NCAA IA football games through
the 11-20-04 games. Games against non-IA teams are excluded.
The favorite is listed first with the projected margin of victory
(i.e., the line) in parenthesis. 'TP' represents the total number of
points expected to be scored in the game and 'Odds' represents the odds
of the favorite winning straight-up (not against-the-spread). Last week,
the computer was 37-17 (.685) straight-up, 29-24-1 (.546) against-the-spread,
and 21-12-1 (.632) over/under. For the entire season, the computer is
408-141 (.743) straight-up, 260-280-9 (.482) against-the-spread, and
142-126-6 (.529) over/under.
Thursday, November 18, 2004
Virginia Tech (-16) vs. Maryland (TP=42 Odds=.778)W
North Texas (-4.5) @ Arkansas State (TP=57 Odds=.561)W
Saturday, November 20, 2004
Oklahoma (-36.5) @ Baylor (TP=57 Odds=.918)
Utah (-31.5) vs. Brigham Young (TP=58 Odds=.874)
Auburn (-15.5) @ Alabama (TP=42 Odds=.769)
California (-24.5) vs. Stanford (TP=47 Odds=.859)
Michigan (-6) @ Ohio State (TP=46 Odds=.604)
Florida State (-17) vs. Florida (TP=48 Odds=.766)
Miami (Florida) (-23.5) vs. Wake Forest (TP=48 Odds=.843)
Iowa (-4) vs. Wisconsin (TP=38 Odds=.586)
Boise State (-28.5) vs. Louisiana Tech (TP=64 Odds=.815)
Louisiana State (-21.5) vs. Mississippi (TP=45 Odds=.839)
Purdue (-23) vs. Indiana (TP=48 Odds=.833)
Tennessee (-18) @ Vanderbilt (TP=46 Odds=.789)
Louisville (-15) @ Houston (TP=57 Odds=.698)
Boston College (-16) @ Temple (TP=48 Odds=.746)
Oregon State (-10.5) vs. Oregon (TP=49 Odds=.665)
New Mexico (-11.5) vs. Wyoming (TP=46 Odds=.686)
Texas-El Paso (-27.5) vs. Southern Methodist (TP=57 Odds=.840)
Fresno State (-22.5) vs. Nevada (TP=59 Odds=.782)
Troy State (-13.5) vs. Middle Tennessee State (TP=44 Odds=.726)
Georgia Tech (0) vs. Virginia (TP=44 Odds=.501)
Arkansas (-11) @ Mississippi State (TP=51 Odds=.668)
Michigan State (-2) @ Penn State (TP=44 Odds=.537)
Northwestern (-17.5) vs. Illinois (TP=51 Odds=.758)
North Carolina (-8) @ Duke (TP=50 Odds=.626)
Miami (Ohio) (0) @ Akron (TP=55 Odds=.503)
Clemson (-3.5) vs. South Carolina (TP=43 Odds=.568)
Washington State (-22.5) vs. Washington (TP=48 Odds=.828)
Northern Illinois (-13) @ Eastern Michigan (TP=70 Odds=.643)
Kansas State (-7) vs. Iowa State (TP=54 Odds=.603)
Missouri (-7) vs. Kansas (TP=45 Odds=.624)
Alabama-Birmingham (-14.5) @ Army (TP=61 Odds=.681)
Marshall (-30) vs. Western Michigan (TP=56 Odds=.870)
Memphis (-14.5) @ East Carolina (TP=62 Odds=.681)
Cincinnati (-14) vs. South Florida (TP=56 Odds=.689)
New Mexico State (-7.5) @ Utah State (TP=51 Odds=.614)
Navy (-11.5) vs. Rutgers (TP=46 Odds=.689)
Air Force (-5) vs. Colorado State (TP=56 Odds=.569)
San Diego State (-12) vs. Nevada-Las Vegas (TP=52 Odds=.674)
Connecticut (-22.5) vs. Buffalo (TP=51 Odds=.818)
Texas Christian (-3.5) vs. Southern Mississippi (TP=59 Odds=.547)
Louisiana-Monroe (-8) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette (TP=51 Odds=.626)
Hawaii (-14) vs. Idaho (TP=64 Odds=.668)
Tulsa (-13.5) vs. San Jose State (TP=66 Odds=.655)
Central Michigan (-10) vs. Ball State (TP=55 Odds=.644)
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the 11-20-04 games. Games against non-IA teams are excluded.
The favorite is listed first with the projected margin of victory
(i.e., the line) in parenthesis. 'TP' represents the total number of
points expected to be scored in the game and 'Odds' represents the odds
of the favorite winning straight-up (not against-the-spread). Last week,
the computer was 37-17 (.685) straight-up, 29-24-1 (.546) against-the-spread,
and 21-12-1 (.632) over/under. For the entire season, the computer is
408-141 (.743) straight-up, 260-280-9 (.482) against-the-spread, and
142-126-6 (.529) over/under.
Thursday, November 18, 2004
Virginia Tech (-16) vs. Maryland (TP=42 Odds=.778)W
North Texas (-4.5) @ Arkansas State (TP=57 Odds=.561)W
Saturday, November 20, 2004
Oklahoma (-36.5) @ Baylor (TP=57 Odds=.918)
Utah (-31.5) vs. Brigham Young (TP=58 Odds=.874)
Auburn (-15.5) @ Alabama (TP=42 Odds=.769)
California (-24.5) vs. Stanford (TP=47 Odds=.859)
Michigan (-6) @ Ohio State (TP=46 Odds=.604)
Florida State (-17) vs. Florida (TP=48 Odds=.766)
Miami (Florida) (-23.5) vs. Wake Forest (TP=48 Odds=.843)
Iowa (-4) vs. Wisconsin (TP=38 Odds=.586)
Boise State (-28.5) vs. Louisiana Tech (TP=64 Odds=.815)
Louisiana State (-21.5) vs. Mississippi (TP=45 Odds=.839)
Purdue (-23) vs. Indiana (TP=48 Odds=.833)
Tennessee (-18) @ Vanderbilt (TP=46 Odds=.789)
Louisville (-15) @ Houston (TP=57 Odds=.698)
Boston College (-16) @ Temple (TP=48 Odds=.746)
Oregon State (-10.5) vs. Oregon (TP=49 Odds=.665)
New Mexico (-11.5) vs. Wyoming (TP=46 Odds=.686)
Texas-El Paso (-27.5) vs. Southern Methodist (TP=57 Odds=.840)
Fresno State (-22.5) vs. Nevada (TP=59 Odds=.782)
Troy State (-13.5) vs. Middle Tennessee State (TP=44 Odds=.726)
Georgia Tech (0) vs. Virginia (TP=44 Odds=.501)
Arkansas (-11) @ Mississippi State (TP=51 Odds=.668)
Michigan State (-2) @ Penn State (TP=44 Odds=.537)
Northwestern (-17.5) vs. Illinois (TP=51 Odds=.758)
North Carolina (-8) @ Duke (TP=50 Odds=.626)
Miami (Ohio) (0) @ Akron (TP=55 Odds=.503)
Clemson (-3.5) vs. South Carolina (TP=43 Odds=.568)
Washington State (-22.5) vs. Washington (TP=48 Odds=.828)
Northern Illinois (-13) @ Eastern Michigan (TP=70 Odds=.643)
Kansas State (-7) vs. Iowa State (TP=54 Odds=.603)
Missouri (-7) vs. Kansas (TP=45 Odds=.624)
Alabama-Birmingham (-14.5) @ Army (TP=61 Odds=.681)
Marshall (-30) vs. Western Michigan (TP=56 Odds=.870)
Memphis (-14.5) @ East Carolina (TP=62 Odds=.681)
Cincinnati (-14) vs. South Florida (TP=56 Odds=.689)
New Mexico State (-7.5) @ Utah State (TP=51 Odds=.614)
Navy (-11.5) vs. Rutgers (TP=46 Odds=.689)
Air Force (-5) vs. Colorado State (TP=56 Odds=.569)
San Diego State (-12) vs. Nevada-Las Vegas (TP=52 Odds=.674)
Connecticut (-22.5) vs. Buffalo (TP=51 Odds=.818)
Texas Christian (-3.5) vs. Southern Mississippi (TP=59 Odds=.547)
Louisiana-Monroe (-8) vs. Louisiana-Lafayette (TP=51 Odds=.626)
Hawaii (-14) vs. Idaho (TP=64 Odds=.668)
Tulsa (-13.5) vs. San Jose State (TP=66 Odds=.655)
Central Michigan (-10) vs. Ball State (TP=55 Odds=.644)
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