Colts & Giants (In-Depth Analysis)

[CAP5]

NBA: (1-1) 0 UNITS
NCAAB: (3-0) +2.5 UNITS
NFL: (2-0) +2.5 UNITS

INDIANAPOLIS

9-5
6-8 ATS
4-2 Home
2-1 NFC
W1

21.6 PPG Overall
18.3 PPGA Overall
19.5 PPG Home
15.2 PPGA Home

NEW YORK GIANTS

8-6
7-7 ATS
4-3 Road
1-2 AFC
W2

19.0 PPG Overall
17.5 PPGA Overall
17.9 PPG Road
19.0 PPGA Road

DIG DEEPER:

Giants are 10-4 ATS last 15 when coming off win against divisional opponent.
Giants are 4-1 ATS last 5 in Dome games.
Giants are 2-7 ATS last 9 vs AFC.
Giants are 15-4 as December dogs.
Giants are 6-2 in their last road game.
Giants are 2-11 against playoff teams, including 0-4 this season against teams that would currently qualify.

Colts are 1-5 ATS last 6 at home.
Colts are 31-45 last 76 as a favorite.
Colts are 4-1 at home vs NFC.
Colts are 4-1 at home in December.
Colts are 2-5-1 off back-to-back road games.

CONCLUSION:

Trends support a play on the "G-men" today. However, Indy will clinch a playoff berth with a victory today. That might be too much for New York to overcome. The Giants must win today and next week against Philly to have any chance of making the playoffs. The Giants will play extremely hard today, but I think deep down inside they know the odds are stacked against them for making the playoffs. Revenge game next week with the Eagles. The Colts possess a great rush defense, and if they can contain Tiki Barber, too much pressure will fall on the shoulders of Kerry Collins and a depleted Giants' receiving corps. The Colts are going to the playoffs for the third time in the last five years!

PLAY = INDIANAPOLIS -4.5

 

[hogman14]

Great writeup!

Here's a brief look at the total...

The under is 5-1 when Indy is at home; last 2 Indy games have gone over. The under is 3-4 when Big Blue is away. However, the last 3 by the G-men have gone over the posted total. This looks as if the public may jump the over, and like you said, this game should stay fairly close. These numbers support a lean towards the under.



*The 90 Pt. rule comes into effect, and calls for a play on INDY Sunday. The Giants have scored 93 in the last 3 weeks.

CAP, the line has dropped the hook, so :firing: away at -4.5!

GL