Coming Off Bye Week!!!

[playsccr]

KINDA NEW TO CAPPING BUT WHERE THERE ANY THOUGHTS ON

TAKING THE TEAM COMING OFF THE BYE..SOME INTERESTING

TEAMS ESPECIALLY TTHIS WEEK IN SF, ATL, WASH, IND ALL SEEM


TO HAVE VALUE

 

[GM]

Since the start of the '01 season:
Teams off a bye: 17-14 SU, 16-15 ATS

However on 2 occasions teams off a bye played vs each other, so taking out those games, it's: 15-12 SU, 14-13 ATS

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Since the start of the '98 season:
(Corrected stats taking out off-a-bye vs off-a-bye games): 52-43 SU, 42-49-4 ATS.

That's surprising!

 

[GM]

Carrying that a bit further...

*Since '98
*Excluding off-a-bye vs off-a-bye
*Team off a bye is playing at HOME this week

32-27 SU, 25-32-2 ATS (32.5% ATS)

*Since '01
*Excluding off-a-bye vs off-a-bye
*Team off a bye is playing at HOME this week

9-6 SU, 8-7 ATS (53.3% ATS)

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*Since '98
*Excluding off-a-bye vs off-a-bye
*Team off a bye is playing AWAY this week

20-16 SU, 17-17-2 ATS (50% ATS)

*Since '01
*Excluding off-a-bye vs off-a-bye
*Team off a bye is playing AWAY this week

6-6 SU, 6-6 ATS (50% ATS)

 

[Senor Capper]

Overall, the bye week has little influence over point spread results.
Teams off a bye have covered a near-normal
48 % of the time.

However, teams off a bye that are HF
have been poor plays 28-44 (39%)

Coming off a bye the underdog (off a loss) is a respectable 34-24 (59%)

From this we can formulate 2 postulates for wagering purposes:

Play against HF off a bye & play an underdog off a loss and bye.

Betting against HFs produced a 19-14 (58%) recoed, while backing all underdogs off a loss was 21-14 (60%)

LY laying against HF off a bye yielded a 6-3 record. While underdogs off a loss & bye were 4-4.