2025 NFL reggae: lost a mid-sized used car
2025 NFL playoffs: 36-72-1 -260.28
(wild card: 21-43 -151.44)
(divisional: 15-29-1 -108.84)
Hey, I seem to be improving. Also seem to be losing less.
Week #20--Divisional--saw me hit with 3 teasers, 1 straight side, 2 side parlays, and 9 player props, the latter of which were my main focus; still too greedy on the player prop parlays. I have some remaining digits to squander on more player props, but it seems weird as I have not seen a Conference Championship Sunday without the Chiefs involved since I was a little kid, or at least since I was certainly more juvenile. According to some misguided metrics.
Need a deeper dive into the player props for this round. Went 7-5 on some "Best player props for Divisional Round," which is just hangin' on. Had some Pats, a piece of Seahawks, Bills oopsity, but Rams on moneyline as well as bought down to Rams -2.5 on a parlay; even a blind squirrel can find his own nuts every now and then, as mentioned.
patriots -5.5 +101 500/505
I wanted this one last night and I'm a little surprised that the line remains stagnant. Was 86% on the Pats side according to the Action Network, but recently dropped to 77% on Patriots; may be mostly public plays but I can't discern this stuff even when they provide the % of money, as opposed to just the % of bets (these tools want money for access to the % of money info; passola). Not only is Jarrett Stidham an unimpressive QB, but he was drafted by the Patriots and spent 2019 and 2020 with the club, so I suspect that the Patriots know something about his flaws, and some ideal ways to thwart his strengths, whatever they may be. Patriots defense has improved since mid-season, with part of that being some returning players from injury; they have looked excellent against the run, which should be a factor here. Broncos run game has deteriorated since loosing JK Dobbins, and RJHarvey appear to be less of a solution than the Texans had with Woody Marks. Stidham, for his career, is completing less than 60% of his throws. with an overall staline of 8 career TDs vs 8 career INTs. Drake Maye looked a little more settled than he did in his first playoff start--wild card vs Chargers--and the Texans D that he just survived against is probably a step up from what he'll contend with this week. Broncos D is possibly a little overrated, at this point, and since their bye week in week 12, they have allowed 26 to the Commanders (amidst Commanders troubles), 26 at home to the Packers, 34 at home to the Jaguars, and 30 at home to the Bills coming off their sketchily earned bye as top seed. The real key is contra Stidham, with a rather unimpressive run game, which they will severely need to utilize. Stidham vs Drew Lock, in the Super Bowl, is only congruent with the Twilight Zone.
I'm sold and will grab this shit early. Some player prop mayhem should follow, barring any alien abduction or other Twilight Zone mishaps. Seahawks-Rams over my head, presently, but I'll add that a recent news story claims that 'Hawks Zach Charbonnet is done for the season due to an ACL tear in their encounter with 49ers; Kenneth Walker was plenty productive, vs 49ers, but the latter season has seen the Seahawks reign in their trust of Darnold, and I think they could use the dual backs as they've been doing lately. By several metrics, Charbonnet has been the more efficient back of their two reliable's. SB rematch if Pats vs Rams or Seahawks; anything but Broncos in the finale, please and thank-you.
Just some thoughts.
Shit, I have a 7pm obligation, sorta.
Good Luck
2025 NFL playoffs: 36-72-1 -260.28
(wild card: 21-43 -151.44)
(divisional: 15-29-1 -108.84)
Hey, I seem to be improving. Also seem to be losing less.
Week #20--Divisional--saw me hit with 3 teasers, 1 straight side, 2 side parlays, and 9 player props, the latter of which were my main focus; still too greedy on the player prop parlays. I have some remaining digits to squander on more player props, but it seems weird as I have not seen a Conference Championship Sunday without the Chiefs involved since I was a little kid, or at least since I was certainly more juvenile. According to some misguided metrics.
Need a deeper dive into the player props for this round. Went 7-5 on some "Best player props for Divisional Round," which is just hangin' on. Had some Pats, a piece of Seahawks, Bills oopsity, but Rams on moneyline as well as bought down to Rams -2.5 on a parlay; even a blind squirrel can find his own nuts every now and then, as mentioned.
patriots -5.5 +101 500/505
I wanted this one last night and I'm a little surprised that the line remains stagnant. Was 86% on the Pats side according to the Action Network, but recently dropped to 77% on Patriots; may be mostly public plays but I can't discern this stuff even when they provide the % of money, as opposed to just the % of bets (these tools want money for access to the % of money info; passola). Not only is Jarrett Stidham an unimpressive QB, but he was drafted by the Patriots and spent 2019 and 2020 with the club, so I suspect that the Patriots know something about his flaws, and some ideal ways to thwart his strengths, whatever they may be. Patriots defense has improved since mid-season, with part of that being some returning players from injury; they have looked excellent against the run, which should be a factor here. Broncos run game has deteriorated since loosing JK Dobbins, and RJHarvey appear to be less of a solution than the Texans had with Woody Marks. Stidham, for his career, is completing less than 60% of his throws. with an overall staline of 8 career TDs vs 8 career INTs. Drake Maye looked a little more settled than he did in his first playoff start--wild card vs Chargers--and the Texans D that he just survived against is probably a step up from what he'll contend with this week. Broncos D is possibly a little overrated, at this point, and since their bye week in week 12, they have allowed 26 to the Commanders (amidst Commanders troubles), 26 at home to the Packers, 34 at home to the Jaguars, and 30 at home to the Bills coming off their sketchily earned bye as top seed. The real key is contra Stidham, with a rather unimpressive run game, which they will severely need to utilize. Stidham vs Drew Lock, in the Super Bowl, is only congruent with the Twilight Zone.
I'm sold and will grab this shit early. Some player prop mayhem should follow, barring any alien abduction or other Twilight Zone mishaps. Seahawks-Rams over my head, presently, but I'll add that a recent news story claims that 'Hawks Zach Charbonnet is done for the season due to an ACL tear in their encounter with 49ers; Kenneth Walker was plenty productive, vs 49ers, but the latter season has seen the Seahawks reign in their trust of Darnold, and I think they could use the dual backs as they've been doing lately. By several metrics, Charbonnet has been the more efficient back of their two reliable's. SB rematch if Pats vs Rams or Seahawks; anything but Broncos in the finale, please and thank-you.
Just some thoughts.
Shit, I have a 7pm obligation, sorta.
Good Luck
