obviously a small number of games to choose from. but the few games that stand out:
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latech at home vs fresno should get it done. bulldogs couldnt get it done vs boise and hawaii- which leads me to believe that latech should have success throwing the ball on fsu. line is actually a little surprising. even though ltu is not an elite mid-major team, still thought theyd open as a 1 or 2 point chalk. long travel for fresno this late in the season. ltu should get it done.
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marshall almost seems like an obligatory play. pruett in championship games is freakin amazing. and now marshall plays toledo in a rare championship-revenger. rockets almost got run off the field last year vs marshall as the herd jumped out to a 17-0 lead i believe. but the toledo upperclassmen carried them back to pull off win. bolden and taylor were terrific. but i just cant see any reason to back toledo here. marshall with revenge on a field where they dominate, against a young toledo team that has to now get up for their 4th straight big game. toledo faced an inspired wmich team 4 weeks ago, then traveled to dekalb for their huge game vs northern illinois, then back home to face their biggest rival and now travel to huntington to face the herd for the mac marbles. thats not easy, especially after toledo needed a 2h rally to handle bowling green last saturday in a game which ultimately resulted in toledo winning going away. current line is 4.5 for this one. toledo is well-coached and a good football team, but theyre outclassed here, especially with marshall looking to reclaim the mac on their homefield. and it aint like toledo is gonna get a lot of calls either. rockets defense gonna have to toughen up if they expect to be respectable here.
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san diego state/ hawaii is an interesting game, both spread and total wise. i think this game has all the making of an over. the aztec defense should be the perfect elixir for hawaii after facing a suffocating alabama defense. hawaii was completely out of sync for basically the entire 60:00 vs bama, even though they hit a few big plays. sdsu is basically playin out the string, hawaii is locked into their bowl game, and i think both coaches will throw caution to the wind and be aggressive on offense. hawaii also has a tendency to play some really high scoring gms late in the season (reference miami/hawaii last year at this time) and not to mention the fact that hawaii has been grounded a little the last 2 weeks with low scoring gms vs cincy and bama. number value should be there for an over.
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big 12 and sec title games are toss-ups spread wise. georgia was pretty damn impressive vs tech last week and arkansas was lame vs lsu - but i think you can throw both those performances out the window. its tough to blow out anyone at a neutral site championship gm, but georgia is rollin right now. okie really screwed up the bcs with their loss to osu. colorado is much more solid than i originally believed- but its hard to buck stoops team off a loss. points are tempting, but when okie has laid an inordinate amount of pts this year- theyve covered more often than not. but its tough to not give colorado a look as well. bottom line is both the power conference title games are damn sharp and tough to cap. ill pass on both for now
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im done tryin to figure out miami. this team turns it on and off way too much. they almost seem like the lakers last year in a sense. just goin through the motions and waiting for the playoffs. mix in a few clunkers. mix in some blowouts. i really dont know what to expect saturday. tech is capable of winning outright, but hokies seem to be a public dog. but i cant see miami covering that game. i figured the number to be 13.5/14. 18.5 is surprising. regardless of their head to head outcome- i think vtech is far superior to pittsburgh, and line is essentially the same in both cases. yet another tough game.
thats just the way i see it. unless some of these #'s move, the only gms that stand out are marshall, hawaii over, and latech. the big games might just be better to watch than to cap.
gl this weekend guys
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latech at home vs fresno should get it done. bulldogs couldnt get it done vs boise and hawaii- which leads me to believe that latech should have success throwing the ball on fsu. line is actually a little surprising. even though ltu is not an elite mid-major team, still thought theyd open as a 1 or 2 point chalk. long travel for fresno this late in the season. ltu should get it done.
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marshall almost seems like an obligatory play. pruett in championship games is freakin amazing. and now marshall plays toledo in a rare championship-revenger. rockets almost got run off the field last year vs marshall as the herd jumped out to a 17-0 lead i believe. but the toledo upperclassmen carried them back to pull off win. bolden and taylor were terrific. but i just cant see any reason to back toledo here. marshall with revenge on a field where they dominate, against a young toledo team that has to now get up for their 4th straight big game. toledo faced an inspired wmich team 4 weeks ago, then traveled to dekalb for their huge game vs northern illinois, then back home to face their biggest rival and now travel to huntington to face the herd for the mac marbles. thats not easy, especially after toledo needed a 2h rally to handle bowling green last saturday in a game which ultimately resulted in toledo winning going away. current line is 4.5 for this one. toledo is well-coached and a good football team, but theyre outclassed here, especially with marshall looking to reclaim the mac on their homefield. and it aint like toledo is gonna get a lot of calls either. rockets defense gonna have to toughen up if they expect to be respectable here.
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san diego state/ hawaii is an interesting game, both spread and total wise. i think this game has all the making of an over. the aztec defense should be the perfect elixir for hawaii after facing a suffocating alabama defense. hawaii was completely out of sync for basically the entire 60:00 vs bama, even though they hit a few big plays. sdsu is basically playin out the string, hawaii is locked into their bowl game, and i think both coaches will throw caution to the wind and be aggressive on offense. hawaii also has a tendency to play some really high scoring gms late in the season (reference miami/hawaii last year at this time) and not to mention the fact that hawaii has been grounded a little the last 2 weeks with low scoring gms vs cincy and bama. number value should be there for an over.
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big 12 and sec title games are toss-ups spread wise. georgia was pretty damn impressive vs tech last week and arkansas was lame vs lsu - but i think you can throw both those performances out the window. its tough to blow out anyone at a neutral site championship gm, but georgia is rollin right now. okie really screwed up the bcs with their loss to osu. colorado is much more solid than i originally believed- but its hard to buck stoops team off a loss. points are tempting, but when okie has laid an inordinate amount of pts this year- theyve covered more often than not. but its tough to not give colorado a look as well. bottom line is both the power conference title games are damn sharp and tough to cap. ill pass on both for now
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im done tryin to figure out miami. this team turns it on and off way too much. they almost seem like the lakers last year in a sense. just goin through the motions and waiting for the playoffs. mix in a few clunkers. mix in some blowouts. i really dont know what to expect saturday. tech is capable of winning outright, but hokies seem to be a public dog. but i cant see miami covering that game. i figured the number to be 13.5/14. 18.5 is surprising. regardless of their head to head outcome- i think vtech is far superior to pittsburgh, and line is essentially the same in both cases. yet another tough game.
thats just the way i see it. unless some of these #'s move, the only gms that stand out are marshall, hawaii over, and latech. the big games might just be better to watch than to cap.
gl this weekend guys
