I know there is an inherent bias here against "scamdicappers", not without justification, but I got the following very well thought out (and better yet, accurate) call on the memphis/phoenix game from William Foote via a free email. Anyone that gives me good leans is my friend. I've been following him for a while and he's a pretty bright guy. The thought behind it is the interesting part. The outcome could have been different and I would still think this was well thought out. I was so impressed I'm posting it here in it's entirety:
(BTW the final score was Memphis: 108 Phoenix: 97, line was Memphis + 8, Final was Memphis +19 ATS)
"Everyone will make a big deal how the return of Steve Nash has set the Suns back on track, highlighted by their latest four easy road wins (3-0-1 ATS) at New York, Milwaukee, Boston and Toronto during their current six game road trip. Certainly, the importance of Nash?s presence was on display when his team went 0-5 both SU and ATS in his absence. And yes, it?s impossible to not notice that his team is scoring 124 PPG and is 5-1 SU since his return. And sure, we are well aware that they boast the highest scoring offense and best record in the NBA (tied with San Antonio).
But let?s not overreact too much to their latest four ?W?s? against a quartet of Eastern Conference foes. We will concede that the Suns have burned the bookies all season as a road favorite (14-6 ATS in this role). But their latest opponents are a paltry punching bag compared to the one they will be facing tonight.
The Grizzlies are in fact coming off their best month in franchise history, going 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS in January. Going back further, Memphis is a sweet 16-5 both SU and ATS their last twenty-one games. We should further add that the Grizz are a ferocious 9-2 ATS vs. Pacific Division opponents and 13-6 ATS when priced as an underdog. This includes a 2-0 ATS mark as a home pup and that extends to 23-11 ATS their last forty-four when grabbing points in Graceland.
Of course, Phoenix backers might want to point out that Memphis is ravaged with key injuries to Gasol (out), Posey (out), Miller (questionable), and Wells (questionable). But this team goes deep with a 9-man rotation and injuries have not played a role in the past with them. Simply put, the Grizzlies are too hot and too talented to be receiving this many points at home to anyone right now, Phoenix included. Play Memphis.
Good luck with your bets today!"
(BTW the final score was Memphis: 108 Phoenix: 97, line was Memphis + 8, Final was Memphis +19 ATS)
"Everyone will make a big deal how the return of Steve Nash has set the Suns back on track, highlighted by their latest four easy road wins (3-0-1 ATS) at New York, Milwaukee, Boston and Toronto during their current six game road trip. Certainly, the importance of Nash?s presence was on display when his team went 0-5 both SU and ATS in his absence. And yes, it?s impossible to not notice that his team is scoring 124 PPG and is 5-1 SU since his return. And sure, we are well aware that they boast the highest scoring offense and best record in the NBA (tied with San Antonio).
But let?s not overreact too much to their latest four ?W?s? against a quartet of Eastern Conference foes. We will concede that the Suns have burned the bookies all season as a road favorite (14-6 ATS in this role). But their latest opponents are a paltry punching bag compared to the one they will be facing tonight.
The Grizzlies are in fact coming off their best month in franchise history, going 12-3 SU and 11-4 ATS in January. Going back further, Memphis is a sweet 16-5 both SU and ATS their last twenty-one games. We should further add that the Grizz are a ferocious 9-2 ATS vs. Pacific Division opponents and 13-6 ATS when priced as an underdog. This includes a 2-0 ATS mark as a home pup and that extends to 23-11 ATS their last forty-four when grabbing points in Graceland.
Of course, Phoenix backers might want to point out that Memphis is ravaged with key injuries to Gasol (out), Posey (out), Miller (questionable), and Wells (questionable). But this team goes deep with a 9-man rotation and injuries have not played a role in the past with them. Simply put, the Grizzlies are too hot and too talented to be receiving this many points at home to anyone right now, Phoenix included. Play Memphis.
Good luck with your bets today!"
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