dallas vs milwaukee

giantfandave

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Jan 16, 2001
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dallas -1 (thanks portland for blowing a 25 pt 3rd quarter lead to of all teams the grizzlies last night)

anyway on to tonights game. dallas is 8-3 su their last 11 games and are probably the leagues best road team with a 21-11 su/ats record and a 14-5 ats record as a road fav. they are putting up big numbers lately as they are averaging just over 109 pts a game over their last 5 and are 41-20 ats off a game where they scored 110 or more over the last 5 years. this trend fits due to the fact they scored 111 vs memphis on saturday. over the last few years dallas is 35-16 ats as a road fav, 30-14 ats as a road fav of 6 or less and 45-16 ats when the total is greater than 200 (i believe its at 210 now). dallas is also 55-28 ats in non conference games and 126-86 ats in all road games over the last 5 years.

milwaukee is on a 1-6 su/1-5-1 ats run and has lost 4 straight, and at home this year are 14-21 ats. also they are 11-22 ats with 1 days rest. the bucks are also 1-7 ats at home when the total is 200 or higher and 2-8 ats vs teams averaging more than 203 points per game.

dallas pretty much rested their starters for the whole second half against memphis saturday and are fresh for this game. while milwaukee is still banged up with injuries hampering the performance of 2 of their top players in robinson and thomas. i look for dallas to continue their dominance on the road as milwaukee is slumping and hurting

lay the point and take dallas.


was thinking of the over but due to uncertainty of the seriousness of milwaukees injurie status will lay off.
 

giantfandave

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dallas 31-16 ats after a combined score of 205 or more 2 straight games over the last 3 seasons.
dallas 57-33 ats after playing a game as home fav over last 3 years
dallas 84-48 ats after playing a game as fav over last 3 years
 

Big Daddy

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I think you are right with Dallas. Line is up to -2 at my book. Milwaukee playing just awful basketball right now. Over looks tempting also, as neither teams plays any defense at all. 213 points is a lot, but easily reachable by these teams.
 
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