Day for takin Revenge

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
Lookin for revenge today boys. Lets roll the dice and play a little monopoly as Gordon Gecko said.

1. Cubs @ St. Louis
Taking Cards at the excellent price of -130

I think the price is a bargain right now and Wood is being over-rated. Lookin at entire team this price is good on the Cards.

Cubs have the worst battin % in the majors
In all game record is 42-58 while in day games they are paltry 20-36
In games played on a grass field they are 40-55 and in July games are 9-11
In road games they are 20-29 and are 22-30 Vs Division Opponents.
Cubs are 32-45 against right handed starters and are 4-9 when playing on Saturday.

St. Louis has a home fav of -125 to -150 is 12-6 and are 15-7 when playing at home and total is set betn 8 and 8.5
Overall their record is 57-43 and are 22-17 in day games.
In games played on grass field they are 55-42 and in home games are 31-18
In July games Cubs are 14-7
Cubs are 28-23 against division opponents
Cubs are 45-33 against right handed starters
when playing on Saturday they are 9-6

Run scoring :

Cubs are averaging 4.2 runs overall. On road games this stays at 4.2 but drops to 4 for right handed starters overall.
The bull pen has an overall ERA of 4.85 which increases to 5.21 when pitchin on the road.


St. Louis are averaging 4.7 runs in all games and same number for home games and against RH starters .. consistent ..
Their bull pen has an ERA of 3.32 and at home it drop to 2.94

Coming to the pitchers:

Kerry Wood has an overall ERA of 3.98 with a win loss record of 8-5
His team record in his 19 starts is 10-9
On the road his ERA is 3.69 with a whip of 1.167

Simontacchi has an overall ERA of 2.78 and at home it drop to 2.47 with a whip of 1.050
His overall record is 7-1 and his team record in his 13 starts is 9-4
At home he is perfect 5-0 in 6 games started and his team is 5-1

WOOD is 4-2 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 3.48 and a WHIP of 1.362.
His team's record is 5-4 in these starts

SIMONTACCHI is 0-1 when starting against CHICAGO CUBS with an ERA of 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.250.
His team's record is 0-1 in these starts

But key here is Simontacchi is pitchin very well at home and Cubs are awful on the road.


In last 10 games Cubs are batting 0.223 against RHP
In last 10 games Cards are batting 0.313 against RHP


In Game 2 of a Series
Overall Cubs are 11-22
AW theya re 5-11
in the AL they are 6-11

Overall Cards are 22-11
AW 13-6
AL 9-5

Cubs have not lost 4 in a row while Cards have won 3 0f their last 4.

Head to Head :
Cards are 42-31 in all games against Cubs
Cards are 22-16 in all games against Cubs in last 3 seasons.

At games Played in St. Louis
Cards are 27-7 against Cubs since 1997
Cards are 15-2 against Cubs over last 3 seasons at home



Cheers and good luck !!!
Spock
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
As per my decision to play one good game a day have already bet on the Cards Game. Have found another good game but whether I play it or not depends on the outcome of the Cards game. Will still post the info as someone may like to play it as I think its a good value.

2. Yankees @ Tampa Bay
Over 10 @ -107

In July games this Year Yankee's are 14-5 Over/Under. This can mean 3 things.
a. Either their offence is clicking
b Their pitching is horrible OR
c. BOTH

Hopefully it is both.

TB has been puttin up some runs lately. Against Toronto, Boston and in the first game against the Yanks they have show ability to score runs which bodes well for the Over.

Vs. RH starters in Yanks game the Over is 28-28
Vs RH starts in TB games the Over is 44-35

TB in July games is 10-11 Over/Under

WEAVER is 2-5 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.12 and a WHIP of 1.621.
His team's record is 2-6 in these starts. The UNDER is 5-3.


TRAVIS HARPER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HARPER is 0-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 9.81 and a WHIP of 1.362.
His team's record is 0-1 in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1.


Points to note are :

Yanks offence is clickin finally ..
Weaver just pitchin horrible and has recieved a lot of run support from the Yanks to get the win
TB will score off Weaver and give up runs also

This points to a good Over.

The Ump at home plate is Brian Runge who is 11-8 Over/Under for the year ..In last 5 games he is 4-1 Over/Under and averaging 9 runs per game
along with 7.2 walks per game.


Last 4 meetings betn these two teams has gone OVER.

I think TB has a good chance in this one ..

In last 3 games Weaver has an ERA of 8.10 and all 4 of his games have gone OVER the total.

In last 3 games Harper has an ERA of 4.30 and he has 1-2 Over/Under record.

In last 10 games Yankees are 8-2 Over / Under
In last 10 games TB is 7 - 3 Over / Under
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
I am finding a few other games which hold value.

Leans are :

LA is a good play.

I like the Boston Over also. But Baltimore may be better dog to bet on .. The Ump is in favor of home team though but he is good for the OVER.

Montreal Under

Mets Under

Seattle Under

* Please note that I am not playin these games. Just find them to be good plays.
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
I forgot to mention the REVENGE factor.

Simontacchi's only career loss was against the Cubs in Chicago the day after Darryl Kile's death. Look for the Cards and Jason to avenge that loss. That game they were in no frame of mind to play .. let along win and I think they wanna get this one back.

Good luck
Spock
 

TLove

Registered User
Forum Member
Jul 11, 2002
940
0
0
Spock,

I agree with you on St Louis. It's my BEST BET today.

Good Luck
:D
 

Pujo21

Registered
Forum Member
May 14, 2002
2,772
2
0
HOW ABOUT THE UNDER IN THIS GAME

HOW ABOUT THE UNDER IN THIS GAME

I see Wood has given up 5 earned runs in 23 innings ( 3 games) this season. He has managed to go late in all 3 starts vs. The Cards.
Combined with the info that Spock has pointed out, I'm gonna make a play on The UNDER 8 too.

Good Luck Guys

;) :bigun: :firing:
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
Pujo

Mets Under is worth lookin @ .

Leiter different pitcher at home and pitches much better. These two teams match up for an Under in NY. The Ump also is an Under Ump. Fernandez againt Mets has allowed 9 ER in 18 innings with 18 hits.

Good luck
Spock

# I like the Under in the Cards game also but hate playin totals where Cubs are involved. They always seem to fcuk me.
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
The Yankee's OVER has moved from -107 to -115 . looks like lot of BIG MONEY goin on the Over ..


After careful consideration am takin a small play on the

METS UNDER.

I dont see more than 5 runs scored in this one.

Cheers !!!
Spock
 

cisco

Registered
Forum Member
Dec 1, 2000
6,360
18
0
usa/mexico
St.Louis is my POD also.

The home team is 9-1 this year with St.Louis winning the 1 at Chicago.

Good luck to us today. dance2
 

prestidig

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 15, 2002
352
0
0
55
Buffalo
Spock,

Great info and I like your picks.

St Louis is my POD too. I got them last night at (-140), thinking that the line would get more expensive. I was disappointed when I saw that I could have gotten a better price this morning, but now it's (-135)...so the money is flowin'...

I think the NYY/Tam is a great play for the over. Weaver gives up alot of homeruns and the Yankee PB has struggled. Could be a wild game.


Any thoughts on Det/Cle over? I think there could be alot of runs in this game.
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
Detroit Cleveland Over looks good but i think better plays out there.

These 2 teams just 2 unpredictable. Score in bunches or dont score at all.

I like the over in LA game also . look for Hernandez to get his sox knocked off ..

Will check out the Detroit game and post further info ..

Cheers !!!
Spock
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
Both teams swingin bat well ..

Out of last 10 games betn these 2 clubs Under is 7 - 3 ..
but Cleveland has got rid of Colon who must have figured in some of the Unders there.

The wind is around 10-11 mph which is favorable for the Under
When wind is betn 10-20 mph the Over is 11-8

Detroit in last 10 is battin 0.282 against LHP
Cleveland in last 10 is batting 0.295 against RHP

In last 3 games Sabathia has an ERA of 7.13 while Sparks has an ERA of 4.67

Overall Sparks is 12-5 Over/Under
Sabathia is 12-8 Over / Under

In 10 games started against Detroit Over is 6-5
Sabathia in 4 starts against Detroit Over is 2-2


The Ump is 8-12 Over / Under for the year.

I think the Over looks good.
Line on Cleveland is way overvalued and Detroit looks like a good dog here against another mediocre team Cleveland.

Cheers !!!
Spock
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
For all those takin Alanta -1.5 be careful.

Atlanta offence just not existent.

I am passin on the game bcoz there is some bad karma right not betn me and Atlanta ..

The Under looks inviting but total little bit too low
(Ump and Maddux but no one knows how the kid will throw)
 

prestidig

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 15, 2002
352
0
0
55
Buffalo
Thanks for the info, Spock. I agree the Yanks over is a better play then Det/Cle.

I am hoping Atlanta's bats will come alive today. Atlanta had plenty of chances as Philly's bullpen began to crumble. Today, Philly is starting a reliever, and I am banking on Atlanta to exploit Phillies weakness, and run up the score like they did in Florida a few days ago (10-0)
 

Theboundbook

Registered User
Forum Member
Jan 16, 2002
32,998
25
0
55
Salt Lake City, Utah
Spock,

I think St. Louis is only my 3rd ever 10 unit play. I did lose a 7* yesterday, but I feel alot more confident on this one. Good luck on your plays. I too like that over on NYY.
 

Spock

Vulcan Visitor
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2001
7,577
0
0
66
Canada
bound .. cisco

Cubs just play horrible in the daytime .. I am prayin they sux today also.

no all .. good luck with ur parlays ..
( u have not posted them yet but am sure there will be some :D )

prestidig .. good luck bro

Cheers !!!
Spock
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top