Div. Games

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
2-1 (+0.74)

Somehow survived 2 of the overs last week in an under teaser...
...although the Ochocinco under was never in doubt.
Looking forward to see who Revis shuts down this week. :0corn

SD v. Jets under 42.5 and Indi v. Balt under 45

Forgive me for stating the obvious straight up, but neither the Jets nor Ravens will score 34 again this week! :mj07:
...and history tends to agree.

League: 0-11 under (Av. total 45.0...av. score 35.6) road Conf. dog, total 40.5+, off a 7+ ats win as any road dog with 32+ TOP. [Jets]

Big win last week, but they are now big dogs for a reason...they struggle to score.
Averages are ok on the season, but their schedule has been extremely soft. (Discount the last 2 reg. gtames too, playing non-starting defenses.)
They've played just 4 games (3 teams) in the top 15 for scores against!! :scared
NE (5th) x2, Carolina (9th) and Atl (14th)...av'd 13.5 ppg.
SD are 11th.
Good match-up defensively for the Jets tho...SD don't run the ball well (dead last @ 3.3 ypc!) and the Jets have the best pass D in the NFL by a long way.
Amazingly, SD have played only 5 teams in the top 15 for scoring allowed too...
...24-17 at a stretch. :shrug:

League: 0-6 under (Av. total 38.5...av. score 27.7!!) any road dog, off a 21+ ats win as a 3+ dog, if they lost last meeting SU with 30+ TOP. [Balt]

...teams also 0-6 ats...av'ing only 6.2 pgg!! :scared

Makes sense...Raven had 24 points on the board before anyone even knew what happened last week...18 plays!!
Indi very good defensively, gave up just 18 ppg at home (not counting the last Jets game, who had 3 @ HT)...and although on paper their run D looks poor (126 @ 4.3), those numbers have been skewed big time by the last 2 games Indi played...
...they had given up just 5 runs of 20+ yards in the first 14 weeks, best in the NFL.
Same deal as last game exactly...Balt will try to keep Manning off the field with run, tick, run...
...Indi won't give up the big play...
...Balt D does what it can.
The 2 teams have played 7 times in the last 8 years with 6 of those games going 'under' (and under this number.)...
...a Play-off game @ Indi in '07 finsih 15-6 (41), and this is the 2nd highest posted total in those 8 games! :eek:


May be a prop or two later on.

Good Luck all. :cool:
 

THUNDER

Registered User
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Nov 1, 2000
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STAT AND TRND KING COULD YOU POST THE TRENDS FOR DIVISIONAL GAMES -3 AND UNDER LINES FOR HOME TEAMS -3.5 TO 7 AND OVER 7 -PLEASE LETS SAY SINCE 95 AND THEN THE LAST 6 YEARS - IF ITS TO MUCH WORL LET ME KNOW BUT IT WOULD SAVE ME ALOT OF WORK -I THINK SOME PEOPLE HERE WOULD BE VERY SUPRISED AT THE NUMBERS

ALSO IF YOU COULD POST A TEM THAT IS ON THERE 3RD STRAIGHT ROAD GAME GOING INTO THE DIVISIONAL GAME-
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
Hey THUNDER...

...I can't results from specifically play-off games, but you've got me interested now, so I'll have a good dig around over the next day or two, see what I can find. :SIB

I can't go back more than 1 week at a time either...

...but I've seen that AR is having the same problem.

Of course NYG won 4 straight road playoffs (as ever increasing 'dogs)...but yeah, as you know played wk. 17 at home...

...hmmmm, back to AR's thread. ;)

kurby
 

THUNDER

Registered User
Forum Member
Nov 1, 2000
31,199
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Hey THUNDER...

...I can't results from specifically play-off games, but you've got me interested now, so I'll have a good dig around over the next day or two, see what I can find. :SIB

I can't go back more than 1 week at a time either...

...but I've seen that AR is having the same problem.

Of course NYG won 4 straight road playoffs (as ever increasing 'dogs)...but yeah, as you know played wk. 17 at home...

...hmmmm, back to AR's thread. ;)

kurby

THANX BALT IS IN A VERY TOUGH POSITION THIS WEEK -4 TH STRAIGHT ROADIE ONE OF THEM CROSS COUNTRY OFF A VERY PHYSICAL GAME -
 

Old School

OVR
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Mar 19, 2006
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try scores and odds

will not go back as far as you want but may help.

these numbers will surprise a lot of folks..


12 GAMES IN THIS 3 YEAR SPAN [2008--2007--2006 seasons DIV. PLAYOFFS


7- ROAD DOGS OUTRIGHT WINS
3 ADDITIONAL DOGS COVER


2-FAVS COVER

OVER-5
UNDERS-7
 

MrChristo

The Zapper
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Nov 11, 2001
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Sexlexia...
Brees OVER 305.5

Brees has lit it up at home. He's topped this number 5 times, thrown for less v. the number 1 rated Jet D, TB just 258 late in the season (who are 10th v. the pass anyway)...
...and 298 v. Dallas, which is a decent comparison, but he was without Shockey in that game.
'Zona defense sucks pretty bad, but they do have their solid days against the run...not that it will matter.
NO offense will be throwing often and early after watching last week.
 
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