Do lines really get tighter later in the year?

[rrc]

This past week there were 58 lined games....

Games that fell within 6 1/2 points of spread.....12

Games that fell between 7 and 14 points of spread.....20

Games that fell 14 1/2 and 20 1/2.....13

Games that fell 21 points or more.....13

Basically 45% of all games fell more than two touchdowns away, also the median difference was 12 points.

The week before produced results that were very much the same.

Just some food for thought.

GL to all.

 

[Full court press]

This past week there were 58 lined games....

Games that fell within 6 1/2 points of spread.....12

Games that fell between 7 and 14 points of spread.....20

Games that fell 14 1/2 and 20 1/2.....13

Games that fell 21 points or more.....13

Basically 45% of all games fell more than two touchdowns away, also the median difference was 12 points.

The week before produced results that were very much the same.

Just some food for thought.

GL to all.

Thats a good point. When it's all said and done you just can't predict some events that happen in a football game. Things like an in game injury to a key player,a crippling holding call, a knuckle headed personal foul, a missed short field goal etc...etc..etc

 

[Jord20]

This past week there were 58 lined games....

Games that fell within 6 1/2 points of spread.....12

Games that fell between 7 and 14 points of spread.....20

Games that fell 14 1/2 and 20 1/2.....13

Games that fell 21 points or more.....13

Basically 45% of all games fell more than two touchdowns away, also the median difference was 12 points.

The week before produced results that were very much the same.

Just some food for thought.

GL to all.

Great compilation there. I always LOL at people that talk about the "lines getting tighter." My favorite is when a team wins by 4 and the line was 4, and people are like, "man, the books are good" LOL. I always thoretically say to myself what you just spelled out... people only focus on the games that did in fact come close to the number. Those are the ones that stick in your mind, much like the bad beats, so it gives people a false sense of perception. I could probably write a thesis about this phenomenon, but really I just wanted to chime in and laugh, and say thanks for that post.

:toast: