Does Texas find a way to get in?

whodey

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Anyone think Texas has a chance to sneak in the playoffs? I just cant see a committee not voting them in... at least I think they will try their hardest to get Arch Manning in there somehow... am I crazy? lol
 

whodey

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i see vandy 1 spot behind texas in the cfb playoff rankings... also dont they vote one last time? And I get it how can Texas jump any of the teams ahead of them currently (Okla, Bama, Miami, BYU, ND.. can even add vandy to this as well... would even argue that I would take their schedule over ORE and Ole Miss) without playing, but I feel like their schedule compared to any of these teams its hard not to give them the nod... And the books still have Texas on the board for futures.. I dunno I just feel like they still have a decent shot of getting in after all the smoke clears.. I cant see a committee of 12 people coming together and leaving them off the list of the top 12 teams in the country. I mean that is the whole point, for the 7 at-large bids, to be the BEST 7 teams that didn't win their conference. Can you honestly leave them out of that group?
 
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whodey

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So if they can't get in, why are they still on the board? I feel like there is still a chance, and the only thing that makes sense to me is a scenario where all the following happens...
1. OSU beats IU by 7+ firmly making them the country's #1 and making that first week loss in a close game look as best as it can.
2. UGA beats BAMA by 14+ , now I know you aren't supposed to be punished for playing in a championship game, but if it's not competitive it will have some weight during the voting IMO, this also makes OKLA potentially drop a bit in the eyes of the committee bc their big win is against BAMA..
3. TT beats BYU by 14+, same thing pretty much about BAMA, eliminates BYU..

This leaves:
OSU (autobid)
TT (autobid)
UGA (autobid)
ACC champ (autobid)
American champ (autobid)

Now 7 at large bids:
IU
TAM
ORE
OLE MISS
ND (i cant believe they get such a free pass into this with that shit resume, but odds say they do)

This leaves 2 spots for the following 3 teams...
OKLA, MIAMI, TEXAS....

I think OKLA could potentially drop a bit in the eyes of the committee if their big win against BAMA doesn't seem as glamorous after Saturday... Has lost to OLE MISS, and lost AT HOME to TEXAS!! OKLA odds to win it are insanely high for a team that is "a lock to make the playoffs" right? Leaving the last two spots to:
MIAMI
TEXAS

Am I crazy? or is there a bit of a point here I'm rambling about? lol
 

Smitty

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devil's advocate...

oklahoma's win over alabama was AT alabama, so i would think that carries extra weight unless alabama is COMPLETELY blown out.

and their loss to texas was in the state of texas. and mateer was clearly hampered by his injury, throwing 3 INTs in his first game back.

texas hasn't beaten a ranked team on the road. oklahoma, meanwhile, won at tennessee and alabama in back-to-back games.
 

whodey

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I definitely can see the argument for oklahoma, just curious as to why their odds are so high and texas is still on the board.. but also keep in mind the win at tennessee drops a little luster bc they fall out of the rankings too.. I thought that was at home, either way texas got em on the heads up too going for them.. I just gotta think there's a way for them to make it considering they are still on the board too lol
 
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Smitty

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both of my books have odds for 18 teams to win the NC. neither lists Texas as one of the teams.

the more i look at texas' schedule, the more convinced i am that they should not make the playoff. they only won 2 road games this year. at kentucky at mississippi state. and they needed OT in both of those games.

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