Anybody have the numbers so far as to they breakdown of dogs winning versus favorites (and dogs winning outright.)?
Thanks
Congrats to all the GB backers!
Thanks
Congrats to all the GB backers!
Dogs v. Favorites
- Thread starter Phenom
- Start date
Phenom - i had a post earlier w/ stats through week 4 - will bump it up for you to look at...glad the Pack came through tonight! GL!
My figures...others numbers may differ slightly
My figures...others numbers may differ slightly
(Note: the line moved around a lot, but for my records I am counting this weekend's SF/Minn game as a Pick 'Em)
Week - Favs - Dogs - Pushes - Pick Ems
Week 1 : 8 - 6 - 1 - 1
Week 2 : 10 - 5 - 1 - 0
Week 3 : 9 - 5 - 0 - 0
Week 4 : 5 - 8 - 0 - 1
Totals : 32 - 24 - 2 - 2
SU vs ATS breakdown:
Week 1 : 5 of 6 dogs that covered won outright
Week 2 : 4 of 5 dogs won outright
Week 3 : 4 of 5 dogs won outright
Week 4 : 5 of 8 dogs won outright
So the spread has decided the ATS winner 6 times out of 24 dog-covers (25%), or 6 times out of 60 games total (10%). The historical average for the latter figure is about 16%.
Home Favs ATS : 19 - 21 - 2
Road Favs ATS : 13 - 3 - 0
Over/Unders : 24 - 35 - 1
(Over/Unders past 2 weeks have gone 9 - 19)
Avg pts per game:
Week 1 : 40.3
Week 2 : 45.2
Week 3 : 37.4
Week 4 : 42.9
Avg PPG for the season : 41.5
Hope that helps!
My figures...others numbers may differ slightly
(Note: the line moved around a lot, but for my records I am counting this weekend's SF/Minn game as a Pick 'Em)
Week - Favs - Dogs - Pushes - Pick Ems
Week 1 : 8 - 6 - 1 - 1
Week 2 : 10 - 5 - 1 - 0
Week 3 : 9 - 5 - 0 - 0
Week 4 : 5 - 8 - 0 - 1
Totals : 32 - 24 - 2 - 2
SU vs ATS breakdown:
Week 1 : 5 of 6 dogs that covered won outright
Week 2 : 4 of 5 dogs won outright
Week 3 : 4 of 5 dogs won outright
Week 4 : 5 of 8 dogs won outright
So the spread has decided the ATS winner 6 times out of 24 dog-covers (25%), or 6 times out of 60 games total (10%). The historical average for the latter figure is about 16%.
Home Favs ATS : 19 - 21 - 2
Road Favs ATS : 13 - 3 - 0
Over/Unders : 24 - 35 - 1
(Over/Unders past 2 weeks have gone 9 - 19)
Avg pts per game:
Week 1 : 40.3
Week 2 : 45.2
Week 3 : 37.4
Week 4 : 42.9
Avg PPG for the season : 41.5
Hope that helps!
Last edited:
Thanks Fletcher. 
Road favs huh...? I dunno. Can't see that holding. Actually, I'd be surprised if they are even over .500 at season's end. In five years of tracking it, they've never topped .500 for a season.
Road favs huh...? I dunno. Can't see that holding. Actually, I'd be surprised if they are even over .500 at season's end. In five years of tracking it, they've never topped .500 for a season.
they won't i was joking around the books will start getting real tight here with the numbers to many covering things will even out always does. dogs are going to have a week here soon where the book will rake it in on a sunday it has to , no way can it keep up like it has.
thanks and good luck
Eric
thanks and good luck
Eric
