Draft

[BASON]

Some interesting props up for the draft this year. Focusing on these three for now:

Alabama 1st rounders Ov4.5 -140
LSU 1st rounders Ov2.5-130
QB in the 1st round Ov3.5+160, Un-220

Focusing on these 3 since I think they are connected. If teams get desperate and start trading up or reaching for a QB it could change the CB market which is the only way I think the first two do not go over. Humphrey for Alabama and White for LSU are the only question marks in my book. Both should go in the first round but could be bumped if the QB market gets nuts.

There is a small risk that Foster or Robinson drops for Bama, but I do not think they will fall out of the first round. 2 are a lock for LSU with White the only question mark. I do think 3 QBs will likely be taken, but 4 is unlikely.

I like both the Bama and LSU overs, but I am tempted to be all three overs. While the QB one is a stretch it can help offset a loss to one of the other two.

Curious if anyone has thoughts?

 

[AR182]

Some interesting props up for the draft this year. Focusing on these three for now:

Alabama 1st rounders Ov4.5 -140
LSU 1st rounders Ov2.5-130
QB in the 1st round Ov3.5+160, Un-220

Focusing on these 3 since I think they are connected. If teams get desperate and start trading up or reaching for a QB it could change the CB market which is the only way I think the first two do not go over. Humphrey for Alabama and White for LSU are the only question marks in my book. Both should go in the first round but could be bumped if the QB market gets nuts.

There is a small risk that Foster or Robinson drops for Bama, but I do not think they will fall out of the first round. 2 are a lock for LSU with White the only question mark. I do think 3 QBs will likely be taken, but 4 is unlikely.

I like both the Bama and LSU overs, but I am tempted to be all three overs. While the QB one is a stretch it can help offset a loss to one of the other two.

Curious if anyone has thoughts?

The Bama prop is tough because think it will be between 4-5 players picked in the first round....Think Foster, Robinson, Allen, & Howard will go in the first round....with Humphrey possibly going in 1 round also....Conley's troubles will help Humphrey....

The LSU prop, imo will be a tougher play because I only see 2 going in round 1....

The QB prop is also tough imo because I can see anywhere from 2-4 QB's going in the first, but teams tend to place a higher premium on QB's than the mock experts....

Good luck....

 

[BASON]

Thanks AR.

Spent way too much time looking at this. I am playing:

SEC 1st rounders Ov 11.5 +110
Offensive players +4.5 -120 (was 5 last night but dropped)

Rather than play Bama or LSU I am going with the SEC. Still need one of them to go over but right now I project 13 for the SEC.

I think there will be more offensive players than the experts think as teams are desperate for QBs and playmakers. I have it very close to even so I will take the +4.5. That line seems to be moving down fast on many sites.

I also may play Ross draft position Ov 18.5 -130 as I think he will be the WR that drops. If you think he drops out of the first round the WR Un 2.5 +250 is tempting but East Car WR could also move up.

 

[AR182]

Thanks AR.

Spent way too much time looking at this. I am playing:

SEC 1st rounders Ov 11.5 +110
Offensive players +4.5 -120 (was 5 last night but dropped)

Rather than play Bama or LSU I am going with the SEC. Still need one of them to go over but right now I project 13 for the SEC.

I think there will be more offensive players than the experts think as teams are desperate for QBs and playmakers. I have it very close to even so I will take the +4.5. That line seems to be moving down fast on many sites.

I also may play Ross draft position Ov 18.5 -130 as I think he will be the WR that drops. If you think he drops out of the first round the WR Un 2.5 +250 is tempting but East Car WR could also move up.

Good luck....