Early Avenger 400 Play

kegray1

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I think the odds crash on this by race day.

TO WIN:
GREG BIFFLE(14-1) for 200-- Won last 2 races @Darlington.Qualifies great @ Darlington and has looked solid of late.

I think he will be 6 or 7 to 1 come raceday.
Hard to bet against Hendrick and I think they will all be there at the end.Going outside of them seems to lead me to Biffle this week.
GOOD LUCK

Adding a qualify matchup.
BIFFLE(+110) over Newman for 100WINNER---Both qualify well here.Really a tossup.Taking odds.
 
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Intimidator

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QUOTE=kegray1;1731828]I think the odds crash on this by race day.

TO WIN:
GREG BIFFLE(14-1) for 200-- Won last 2 races @Darlington.Qualifies great @ Darlington and has looked solid of late.


I normally do not comment much on Nascar posting. Such as I make a large amount of my income from Nascar and do not like to see line moves. But you have a couple of huge flaws in your handicapping. This is a COT race prior to this year it was not. Biffle has not run well at nor has Roush racing...There is no chance of a win here.


I think he will be 6 or 7 to 1 come raceday.
Hard to bet against Hendrick and I think they will all be there at the end.Going outside of them seems to lead me to Biffle this week.
GOOD LUCK

Adding a qualify matchup.
BIFFLE(+110) over Newman for 100---Both qualify well here.Really a tossup.Taking odds.

Many places are alot better than +1.10. If you like Biffle THe Greek has it at +135 .

This is even a more curious play. Biffle Qualifies well here?

Last 6 quals for Biffle here 9,3,19,3,17,9
ok but nothing earth shatering .

Newman Last 7 quals here...2,2,7,6,2,1,3


Not even close to a comparison all things being equal Newman should be -2.00 at minimum on this matchup. The equalizer here is the COT neither Newman nor Biffle have done well with this car. My money is heavy on Newman not even close to a toss up. Newman wins this 9 out of 10 times.
 
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kegray1

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Taking the odds.
Newman has qualified 22,30,24 in COT races.
Biffle not any better though(11,32,34).

I am not a Newman fan.Will probably get burned on qualify.
 

kegray1

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Nov 4, 2004
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Newman hts the wall and doesnt post a good qualify time.Biffle is last to go today.
Biffle should take him down.
 

kegray1

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Biffle at 14-1 seems like a steal right now.
Won last 2 @Darlington and starts 2nd.
The #16 will be 5-1 tomorrow.
 

Looselugs

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May 5, 2005
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Intimidator,

It took you two years to make a post and you come on here and pitch against the man that kicking azz here every week,constantly every week!!

Do me a favor, climb back in the hole your ARSE came out of !!!
 

kegray1

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Nov 4, 2004
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Intimidator,

It took you two years to make a post and you come on here and pitch against the man that kicking azz here every week,constantly every week!!

Do me a favor, climb back in the hole your ARSE came out of !!!

It's ok.
I enjoy everyones input as long as we keep it friendly.
I was making the play on the qualify based more on COT performances than past Darlington outings.
It paid off and would have no matter what #12 did since the #16 was 2nd overall.

Anyone else on the #16 tomorrow?
Also like the #24,but who doesn't. Great at Darlington and has been awesome in the COT.
 
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