Early Bird

JT Sneaks

Sneaks
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Nov 14, 2000
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Kind of quiet early for a lsate that has two early games....

anyway,

Yesterday's Recap:
3-1, +1.90

Overall:
42-34, +18.39

Back with some early reasoning...

JT
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JT Sneaks

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Baltimore @ Texas -145

NOTE: Whenever I place a wager on a double header I am always weary of the lineup card (more than usual) you never know who will rest or who will play both games. With that in mind I do have a selection in this game, but I will not decide to play it until the lineups are out. I will post what I like now and will re-post to confirm my selection once the lineup is out, however there could be a time crunch so use your own judgement.

Not backing a total in this one as umpire assignments will be announced until just before first pitch.

Side
Baltimore took two out of three from Texas already this year in Baltimore, but did not face helling in any of those games. Both teams are playing dismal of late as Texas has lost three out of four and the O's have dropped six out of seven.

Helling has pitched well of late and the rangers have won the last eight out of ten games he has pitched, however his numbers are horrible on the road, (1-6) dueing the day (1-7) and overall against baltimore (4-5, 6.12)

For the O's Douglass will make his major league debut as he was recalled by the O's to try to get them out of the current slump.
He was 6-7 with a 3.92 ERA in 18 starts. In 103 1/3 innings, he has recorded 101 strikeouts and issued 40 walks.

The reason the O's have lost 11 out of 14 and are just 1-5 since the break is due to hitting. The O's are hitting a wretched .215 against right handers in the last ten vs. righties, and they are averaging just 2.37 runs a game.

PLAY Texas -140
This play is more against the O's than it is for the rangers, but you get a couple of things going for you here. First off the hotter pitcher, and you also go against the colder team...

PLAY Texas -1.5
I spilled this out in long form at one time or another around here, but in a nutshell.....
When the rangers do win they win by a couple of runs, they have 38 wins on the year and out of those 38 wins 30 have been by double digits.

NOTE: Lineups are in and these plays are firm.

JT
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JT Sneaks

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Waiting for the line now but last report I got was clemens was going today, still think Detroit will win one of these two games.

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JT Sneaks

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Whenever I begin the day capping games, a few questions always come up, and so when I handicap I go out of my way to try and answer these questions... I'll give you a couple of examples....

The twins are in first and have their Ace on the hill, yet they are dogs?

The twins look like a bargain at plus money in their own backyard, but the bottom line is the A's are hot....
8-2 in the last ten overall,6-2 in the last eight on the road, and 8-2 in hudson's last ten starts...
The twins have lost four out of the last five to include a late game due to the weather in St. Louis..
Hudson and Radke both excellent pitchers, have almost identical records when it comes to night, and home/away numbers. There are a few differences...
Last three: Nod goes to hudson as is whip is an outstanding .83, with an era of 1.96
Last ten: Again the nod goes to the A's as they have won eight of his last ten to include four straight. The Twins have lost 4 out of his last 6 starts.
Vs. Opp.: Hudson again gets the nod, as the twins have only won four out of his last ten starts. The A's have won four out of his last six to include four in a row, and three of those were at the metradome.

Finally the X-factor: Although the twins are the hotter hitting club right now the A's hit radke better than the twins hit hudson, and the best part of this selection is the A's hit Hawkins very well.

okay I'm rambling...
PLAY A's -115

back with more....

JT
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snoozing

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Feb 14, 2001
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JT, with two excellent pitchers going in the A's game what do you think about under 8.5.
I do not like the -125.

Thanks,
Bill
 

JT Sneaks

Sneaks
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Nov 14, 2000
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hoopstown
hey snoozing I was looking for your post...

I don't like to play totals without the umpire. It usually is available 5 mins before gametime so if I press I can usually get the info. With these two going the under is a nice investment, but I'll pass for now.

Go get 'em.....

Sneaks
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snoozing

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Feb 14, 2001
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Wish I had taken your advice and stayed away from STL/Hou over 10.5 It looked great with the pitchers but so far there have been 28 runs scored and they are still in the 7th inning?? What happened to Oswalt and Matthews?

JT, if you would at some point share your views about the importance of the umpire it would be appreciated.

thanks,
Bill
 
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