Early leans

[TheShrimp]

I like a couple games quite a bit this week:

OAK -3
ZONA +3

I liked MIA at 4.5. Still do at 4, but not a play yet. I havent' seen the ML on ZONA, but if its +140 or better, I'm there.

Also looking at Minny, Chi, Buff.

ZONA was +3 at +100, so I bit already. Waiting on some of the doggie prices to go up. Don't love the Minny game, but I like it. Don't they seem tailor-made to have the TB defense score on them?

 

[BobbyBlueChip]

Oakland's a good team that is still putting up strong stats offensively. Third-Down conversion has been their problem and is very fixable. Defensively, Holding KC to the numbers that they did is impressive regardless of field conditions. Like the Oakland play alot.

 

[TheShrimp]

Thanks. I should have listened to you about J-ville.

SF failed to cover against den & nyg. they dominated stl. They were losing late, giving points against SEA, only covered by a couple against wash, and covered by 1.5 against zona with 3 interceptions and 1 fumble recovery. And ZONA was in FG range when plummer threw that last one.

It's hard for me to convince others because they keep winning and covering, but, IMO, SF is not as good as some think. They'll probably be a 6-7 pt fave against KC next week, and that's probably a good fade, too. After that they have SD, then PHI. They could lose 3 of their next 4.

 

[gardenweasel]

shrimp

shrimp

i jumped your 2 plays when they came out(oakland-3 and zona+4-i bought the half).....i felt initially that these would be strong public plays,but,after perusing several forums,i may be very wrong(hopefully)..nice looks....mucho boxing to be analyzed in the next month or so...g.l.

 

[TheShrimp]

STL is almost never against the public. OAK is funny. With SF winning a few here, and OAK losing their last few, I think you see people taking SF as a dog. FAVES are usually the public way to go though so I don't know how that one will turn out. Probably more 50/50.

I do like the occasional fave when I don't think its enough points.

:topic:

I already posted a barrera pick in OTW. got morales-ayala coming up too, and Ward-Gatti. Can't you just see two bloody swollen faces in that one? How can that NOT be a 10-round blood bath. I don't dislike too many guys, but I really can't stand Gatti. What a pug. More fight talk in off the wall.

 

[TheShrimp]

Playing:

ZONA +3 (2 -> 2)
ZONA +150 (.5 -> .75)
OAK -3 (1.05 -> 1)
NE +2.5 (1.05 -> 1)
MINN +7 (1.1 -> 1)


I also like CIN right now, but they're +3 (-120) and only +125 on the ML.

Also like PITT -3, but that's -125.

NE would be a nice ML if it got to 120 or so. Currently at +110 is a no play.

I'm sick of this -120 on some lines. I'm going to re-up at Carib soon to get some of that -102 love on Tuesdays. Best deal in capping.

TheShrimp

Current record: 30-24-1 +5.8

 

[TheShrimp]

BOMB.

Coming back to earth. GL.

This week: 1-4 -3.65
year: 31-28-1 +2.15

GL.