"EARLY STARTS" ~ BEST "Home Early Over/Under" Tms w/stats from Last 5 yrs!!
hi guys.... If you like to play totals, read on.
If you don't play totals.... ya might just want to keep a few of these in the back of your mind...
Astros... Cardinals.... Dbacks... Braves... go on, take a peek.
DEFINITION of "EARLY START" :
"When a team begins a homestand of 6gms or longer, this tracks how many gms it takes before they achieve their first "over" (or under)."
EDITED on Tue 4/19 7:30am... went in and fixed math a bit... should be mostly correct now lol
*if stop after 2bets = 3units lost...
*if stop after 3bets = 7 units lost...
Now.. here's a few things to understand:
*I will only try to post those tms that when taken in either a 2gm or 3gm or 4gm chase they showed a decent profit over the last 5 yrs.
*There will be some tms listed in both categories because it turns out they make $$ in both... there are some tms that don't show up at all cuz they don't make $$ in either.
*I will list the tm, results from 2010, results from L5yrs (inc 2010)
*Format as follows... (3-3-3) would mean 9 total homestands,
3 times went under in gm 1, 3 times gm 1 went over, then gm 2 under, 3 times gm 1 and 2 went over, then gm 3 under... get it?
*YOU DO the MATH however You want... for my purposes I won't count juice here...
There's lots of ways to look at these for diff tms, If you lower your amts wagered and can do a 4gm chase, some of these are GOLDEN!
*Sometimes you may just want to use this to start a chase after a tm has started a homestand going a few gms in the "wrong" direction.... up to you!
Stronger category is UNDERS... by far so here they are!!
BEST Home "EARLY UNDER" Teams
*ASTROS '10 (3-3-3) . . . L5yrs (33-6-10-1) . . 3gm chase = +42u!! / 4gm = +50units!
*StL '10 (6-2-2) . . L5yrs (31-12-2-2) . . 3gm chase = +31u / 4gm = +47units!
*PIRATES '10 (7-1-1-1) . . L5yrs (29-20-7-2-0-1). . 3gm chase = +35u
*A's '10 (6-3-1) . . . . L5ys (24-8-22-2-1) . . 3gm chase = +33u / 4gm = +41units!
*TB RAYS '10 (9-2-1) . . . . L5yrs (29-15-7-2-1) . . 3gm ch = +30u / 4gm = +38u
*TWINS '10 (4-2-3) . . . . L5yrs (21-14-8-2) . . 3gm chase = +29u / 4gm = +45units!
*INDIANS '10 (6-1-1-0-1) . . . . L5yrs (25-14-7-0-2) . . 3gm chase = +32u
*Note: Twins just completed 1st season in new outdoor stadium, prev 4yrs in metrodome
Next Best "Early UNDER" Teams (Home)
*Nats '10 (4-3-2-2) . . . . L5yrs (25-9-10-2-1-1) . . 3gm ch= +16units
*Padres '10 (5-2-1-1-1) . . . . L5yrs (26-9-2-2-1-1) . . 2gm chase = +17u
*Angels '10 (5-5) . . L5yrs (25-19-4-2-2-L). . 2gm chase = +14units
*Rangers '10 (6-3-1-1) . . L5yrs (25-18-3-2-1-1) . . 2gm chase = +22 units!
*Royals '10 (6-3-1-0-0-1) . . L5yrs (27-12-8-2-1-2) 3gm chase = +12units
*Reds '10 (5-2-3-0-1) . . L5yrs (26-12-7-2-1-2) 3gm chase = +10units
*Brewers '10 (4-3-1-1-0-1) . . L5yrs (22-17-5-3-1-1) 3gm = +9u / 4gm = +17units
*Rockies '10 (7-3-0-1) . . L5yrs (25-15-4-4-2) 2gm= +10u/ 3gm= +2u /4gm=+18u
BEST "EARLY OVER" Teams (Home)
*DBACKS '10 (4-5-2). . L5yrs (32-14-6-1-0-1) . . 3gm chase = +38 units!! wow!
*BRAVES '10 (6-1-3-1) . . L5yrs (26-15-16-3-0-1) . . 3gm = +29u /4gm = +45units!
*METS '10 ((8-2-2) . . L5yrs ((31-8-10-4-0-1) 3gm = +14u / 4gm = +38units!
*ORIOLES '10 (4-4-2) . . L5yrs (25-12-9-2-1) 3gm = 25u / 4gm = +33units
*REDS '10 (6-2-3) . . L5yrs (23-14-10-3-1) 3gm = +19u / 4gm = +35units
*TIGERS '10 (4-2-3-0-1) . . L5yrs (26-15-5-3-1) 3gm = +18u / 4gm = +34units
*MARLINS '10 (5-3-0-2) . . L5yrs (31-9-6-3-1) 3gm = +18u / 4gm = +34units
Next Best "Early OVER" Teams (Home)
*CHISX '10(6-4-0-1-1).. L5yrs (29-14-3-3-1-0-1) 2gm=+19u/3gm=+11 /4gm=+19u
*ANGELS '10 (5-3-1-0-1) L5yrs (29-16-4-3-1-2L)2g=+15u/3gm=+7u/4gm=+7u
*DODGERS '10 (6-2-0-1-1) L5yrs (30-14-1-2-3-1) 2gm = +23units
*YANKEES '10 (8-2) . . L5yrs (32-7-6-2-1-1-1) 1gm=+14u/2gm=+6u/3gm=+10u
*CUBS '10 (5-1-1-2-1) . . L5yrs (27-11-9-4-1-L) 2gm = +8/3gm=+5u/4gm=+21u
And that's all of 'em worth knowing about!!
take a look at these and see if it fits in anything you like to use.
You should probly make a copy of this and keep it for a resource... or not
Good Nite!
LoB
hi guys.... If you like to play totals, read on.
If you don't play totals.... ya might just want to keep a few of these in the back of your mind...
Astros... Cardinals.... Dbacks... Braves... go on, take a peek.
DEFINITION of "EARLY START" :
"When a team begins a homestand of 6gms or longer, this tracks how many gms it takes before they achieve their first "over" (or under)."
EDITED on Tue 4/19 7:30am... went in and fixed math a bit... should be mostly correct now lol
*if stop after 2bets = 3units lost...
*if stop after 3bets = 7 units lost...
Now.. here's a few things to understand:
*I will only try to post those tms that when taken in either a 2gm or 3gm or 4gm chase they showed a decent profit over the last 5 yrs.
*There will be some tms listed in both categories because it turns out they make $$ in both... there are some tms that don't show up at all cuz they don't make $$ in either.
*I will list the tm, results from 2010, results from L5yrs (inc 2010)
*Format as follows... (3-3-3) would mean 9 total homestands,
3 times went under in gm 1, 3 times gm 1 went over, then gm 2 under, 3 times gm 1 and 2 went over, then gm 3 under... get it?
*YOU DO the MATH however You want... for my purposes I won't count juice here...
There's lots of ways to look at these for diff tms, If you lower your amts wagered and can do a 4gm chase, some of these are GOLDEN!
*Sometimes you may just want to use this to start a chase after a tm has started a homestand going a few gms in the "wrong" direction.... up to you!
Stronger category is UNDERS... by far so here they are!!
BEST Home "EARLY UNDER" Teams
*ASTROS '10 (3-3-3) . . . L5yrs (33-6-10-1) . . 3gm chase = +42u!! / 4gm = +50units!
*StL '10 (6-2-2) . . L5yrs (31-12-2-2) . . 3gm chase = +31u / 4gm = +47units!
*PIRATES '10 (7-1-1-1) . . L5yrs (29-20-7-2-0-1). . 3gm chase = +35u
*A's '10 (6-3-1) . . . . L5ys (24-8-22-2-1) . . 3gm chase = +33u / 4gm = +41units!
*TB RAYS '10 (9-2-1) . . . . L5yrs (29-15-7-2-1) . . 3gm ch = +30u / 4gm = +38u
*TWINS '10 (4-2-3) . . . . L5yrs (21-14-8-2) . . 3gm chase = +29u / 4gm = +45units!
*INDIANS '10 (6-1-1-0-1) . . . . L5yrs (25-14-7-0-2) . . 3gm chase = +32u
*Note: Twins just completed 1st season in new outdoor stadium, prev 4yrs in metrodome
Next Best "Early UNDER" Teams (Home)
*Nats '10 (4-3-2-2) . . . . L5yrs (25-9-10-2-1-1) . . 3gm ch= +16units
*Padres '10 (5-2-1-1-1) . . . . L5yrs (26-9-2-2-1-1) . . 2gm chase = +17u
*Angels '10 (5-5) . . L5yrs (25-19-4-2-2-L). . 2gm chase = +14units
*Rangers '10 (6-3-1-1) . . L5yrs (25-18-3-2-1-1) . . 2gm chase = +22 units!
*Royals '10 (6-3-1-0-0-1) . . L5yrs (27-12-8-2-1-2) 3gm chase = +12units
*Reds '10 (5-2-3-0-1) . . L5yrs (26-12-7-2-1-2) 3gm chase = +10units
*Brewers '10 (4-3-1-1-0-1) . . L5yrs (22-17-5-3-1-1) 3gm = +9u / 4gm = +17units
*Rockies '10 (7-3-0-1) . . L5yrs (25-15-4-4-2) 2gm= +10u/ 3gm= +2u /4gm=+18u
BEST "EARLY OVER" Teams (Home)
*DBACKS '10 (4-5-2). . L5yrs (32-14-6-1-0-1) . . 3gm chase = +38 units!! wow!
*BRAVES '10 (6-1-3-1) . . L5yrs (26-15-16-3-0-1) . . 3gm = +29u /4gm = +45units!
*METS '10 ((8-2-2) . . L5yrs ((31-8-10-4-0-1) 3gm = +14u / 4gm = +38units!
*ORIOLES '10 (4-4-2) . . L5yrs (25-12-9-2-1) 3gm = 25u / 4gm = +33units
*REDS '10 (6-2-3) . . L5yrs (23-14-10-3-1) 3gm = +19u / 4gm = +35units
*TIGERS '10 (4-2-3-0-1) . . L5yrs (26-15-5-3-1) 3gm = +18u / 4gm = +34units
*MARLINS '10 (5-3-0-2) . . L5yrs (31-9-6-3-1) 3gm = +18u / 4gm = +34units
Next Best "Early OVER" Teams (Home)
*CHISX '10(6-4-0-1-1).. L5yrs (29-14-3-3-1-0-1) 2gm=+19u/3gm=+11 /4gm=+19u
*ANGELS '10 (5-3-1-0-1) L5yrs (29-16-4-3-1-2L)2g=+15u/3gm=+7u/4gm=+7u
*DODGERS '10 (6-2-0-1-1) L5yrs (30-14-1-2-3-1) 2gm = +23units
*YANKEES '10 (8-2) . . L5yrs (32-7-6-2-1-1-1) 1gm=+14u/2gm=+6u/3gm=+10u
*CUBS '10 (5-1-1-2-1) . . L5yrs (27-11-9-4-1-L) 2gm = +8/3gm=+5u/4gm=+21u
And that's all of 'em worth knowing about!!
take a look at these and see if it fits in anything you like to use.
You should probly make a copy of this and keep it for a resource... or not
Good Nite!
LoB
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