Early THoughts ---for Tuesday games!!!!!!

Innavation

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Baseball total(10-6)
Baseball side(3-1)
NFL side(3-1)
NFL total(7-4)
College FOotball(6-7-1)
NBA --(6-10)
OVerall--35-29

Here are my early thoughts!!!

ORlando---San Antonio-------Last year these 2 teams played twice and both times they both scored in the 100's-----However the total this year is only 193.5----THis draws a Question?? SHouldn't it be at least 200.. Especially the way Orlando has been scoring and the way San Antonio has been shooting from 3... Well I always have thought San Antonio plays great "D" with the twin towers in there to Alter some shots!! And since Orlando went to 2 O.T.--This might just be a half-court game!!! My early lean is towards the under--especiall if i can get it at 196---Being a T>V game---both teams might come out a little tight and cold---this causing the game to go under!!!! THere will be many Double-teams in this game--The question is can they knock down the open-look---I also am leaning towards Orlando +7--THis is way too many pts. to an Orlando team that features top 5 players in NBa--(Mcgrady)--and Grant Hill's ankle seems to be okay!!!

2nd game---Houston--Denver----I believe that Houston matches up real well with Denver and traditionally---Denver does not play well on the road!! My early lean is that HOuston might run away with this one!!! THis may be my strongest play of the Day!!!

3rd game---Indiana--Philly--this is a game in which you have Philly on one hand playing pretty bad(struggling to score pts...)--and on the other you have Indiana(playing great)--and having a lot of success shooting the ball!!! My early lean is towards Philly +4 but it will be real hard to pull the trigger on them since Pacers look good and are playing as a team!!! However, Brown knows that for his team to have a chance--they want to slow this game down and limit Indiana's shot's to keep them from getting warmed up!! This game features 2 prescence's in the middle with O"neal and Mutumbo------THe under might be a solid-play---
4th game---Phoenix-Memphis game over203.5---the bottom line in this game is that both teams like to run and shoot the Ball!!! Battier is no stranger to running(playing with Duke)--Jason Williams--we all no he is a street-ball player... Phoenix personell brings some street-ball open court players also--with Penny--Marion--Marbury--THis game has many mismatches--so i expect to see a lot of scoring and FOuling---and many 3's being jacked up!!!

5th game--------Everyone loves Portland--ANd WHy not!! THey have a lot of Talent--and sooner or later they are going to start to gel and put some complete games together!!!!!!! These are my early looks... BUt i will feel out these games by watching the lines move and i'm going to 5 locals to see what the General Consensus is around here!!! I like to go opposite of the public--BUt some games LIke Portland---might have to stick with
 

Anders

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Nice call on the Atl/LAC total
wink.gif
 

RobertBIrish

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Well I think you really need to look at Orlandos game last night I watched the game and it was VERY physical, double OT the players were totally exhausted after the game I watched the post game interviws and they were just flat out wornout and then have to get on a plane go to Texas and play a SA team that is rested and off a loss adn all of this is within 24 hours as they tip off at 8 EST tonight I would be very careful betting Orlando as I really think they will be flat and not up to the challenge . I would agree with you most times but it is hard enough losing a close game at home then going on the road but being off of an extremely physical game and now facing the Spurs I think will be to much! Just My Opinion!
 

Innavation

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Okay considering the comments of freeze-British--along with my obsevervation of the local "books" i visited--I've come up with my conclusion--and i really believe tonight is a good night and that i am on the right side~!!! Here we go>>

Game #1--Spurs-Magic-----This line jumped 1.5 and could be higher by game time--I know they played 2 O.T. last night and probaly will not be as fresh as they normally are---THere legs should be tired and should affect their shooting % just a bit--San Antonio--a good rebounding-and defensive team will limit ORlando to just 1 shot--and proceed to beat them in the half-court game--I believe San Antonio will make them play "D"--I was leaning towards Orlando--because they are young and i belive they can play back to back nights but i feel i have other plays that provide more value!!! COnsidering all this i believe good Defense and a few missed free-throws(Duncan--Not the best)--and somewhat fatiqued legs by Orlando causes some Orlando players to shoot bad--aiding the under--Final play----Orlando-Magic game under--195

2nd game--Houston--Denver--Although Freeze provides a interesting case for Denver-and many other people seem to be on them as well--I just think Denver inconsistent play on the road is an important factor--and i really believe Houston will pose match-up problems for Denver--May see some Denver players in FOul-Trouble--THis is a game in which the line being at 7.5(especially since Denver has been playing well this year)--seems high to the public--but i will trust the book in this one!!!Final play--Denver-7.5---Strongest play of the day--

3rd game--Although i would like to pull the trigger on Philly at home ---i just can not do it.. Indiana has been playing to well--and this is a game in which i just gotta stay away from--Kind of liked the under but too many guys on INdiana that can get hot--and somebody on Philly is due to put up a big game!! Perhaps-philly on a teaser+9.Final play-------NO Play

4th game---Phoenix--Memphis--these teams are quite similiar and like to play the same way.. BUt i just feel that Phoenix is better than Memphis--and with Memphis trying to play like Phoenix--It will only benifit Phoenix!!!--ANd Phoenix will win big--Maybe like 112---97---Final play---Phoenix-9.5

5th game--Portland--Utah---This is a game in which everyone is on portland--and yes fellas i have to get on too.. Portland has far too much talent and i really like their match-ups... I really believe that Portaland "D" will be the difference--Final play------Portaland 1.5-------Even bigger---Portland--Utah game under 185.5

Recap----Houston -7.5(pod)
Portland-Jazz game under 185.5(2nd best--absoultely love it)
Porland -1.5
Phoenix-9.5
Orlando-Spurs game under 195--------good luck and thanks for the feedback!!!
 

dr. freeze

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good pick on Houston Inna......my grandma in her wheelchair is getting open and has 3 threes against the Denver defense......
 
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