Eastern Washington vs North Dakota State & Appalachian State vs Villanova Card

Irish

Green&Orange
Forum Member
Jan 8, 2004
3,850
16
0
48
OH
Eastern Washington (-5.5) over ND St
ND st D.J. McNorton 14th in FCS in rushing yards per game (110.4) and 18th in all-purpose rushing (143.2) AGAINST EW Taiwan Jones ranked fourth in FCS in rushing yards (137.5) and second in all-purpose yards (196.6). So both teams can run the ball and both teams have lines that can open holes. ND st has a better defense ranked seventh in the nation in scoring defense, allowing just 16.7 points per game. They are also sixth in turnover margin (+1.0 per game) and 16th in passing efficiency defense (106.4). Now just like Boise the Eastern Washington field holds some problems for folks. They play on a red field. North Dakota State has a 3-3 record on the road this season. BUT The Bison have won five of their last eight road games. Seven of Eastern's 10 wins this year have come by an average of just under seven points per game, including five decided by seven points or less. So we have two solid rushing teams, ND st has the edge in defense Eastern Washington shows a bit more balence on offense and the home field advantage. Should be a good game but I think the Easten Washington run game is stronger, They can pass the ball and the o-line is very strong. Looking for a cold game but both can play in that weather, I still think ND st might have spent it all last week and Eastern comes in with the want to muscle past the bison. Eastern Washington is perfect 6-0 on the new red Sprinturf surface at the ?Inferno". Couplke that with an unreal fan base (they are about set the season record for attandence) and it is a very nice home field advantage.

App St (-3) over Nova
Well nova are the defensing champs and they have started to play better as the season has gone along. Nova has two straight games against teams ranked in the top three in the nation. Now thats impressive but I am wondering if they have enough in the tank for this game. They needed an overtime win against Delaware to even get into these playoffs.The emotional level after coming back from 14 down aginst Stephen Austin would be dificult enough if it was not right after the Delaware win and not before going into App St. App st has seventh-ranked scoring offense (35.2 ppg) the Wildcats? eighth-ranked scoring defense (17.0 ppg). App St has a tremendous amount of talent on defense but Villanova has an EXTREMELY good QB in Whitney. Now I normally give a lot of stock in these games to the QB but both teams come in with great players under center. Pressley is in my opinion more dangerous because of his running ability. He is a running back that can throw and I am not sure the Nova defense will be able to contain him. Now both run the spread, App St average 35 points per game and Nova about 30 per contest. Total yards allowed per game these teams are 3rd and 4th overall in conference but App St tends to give up more rushing yards. App state avergaes about 50 more yards per game because they tend to have the ball with more oppertunities as they have very big play potential. Appalachian is 30-2 in its last 32 home games (.938) in November and December. Appalachian is 15-1 all-time when playing on ESPN, ESPN2 or ESPNU, including a 2-1 record on the Worldwide Leader in Sports? flagship network, which is airing this week?s game. So you have a VERY good team at home on national TV after they were humbled before the playoffs begain. Simple game plan which is limit Szczur and you cut out a big potion of the Nova offense. Now I like both teams on offense but I think App state is the better over all team with more consistancy ASU ranks seventh nationally with 227.2 (5.5 per rush) rushing yards per game this season and big play potential. In all, the Mountaineers have faced five of the nation?s top 25 rushing attacks (No. 1 Wofford, No. 3 Georgia Southern, No. 17 The Citadel and No. 21 Jacksonville, No. 23 Western Illinois) and held all four below their season averages on the ground. Today they try to force Nova to play more pass then run and Nova cannot keep up trying to do it.


Cheers
Irish
 
Last edited:

Irish

Green&Orange
Forum Member
Jan 8, 2004
3,850
16
0
48
OH
Reuse this thread.....

Reuse this thread.....

Since I spent a lot of time reviewing these two teams last week I am going to post tonights game here and if you care please read the above for info about the teams and below for reasons behind my play.

Eastern Washington (+10) over Villanova
Well not much to say here because the opening line appeared to be eastern -7 then the tv gets hurt and they ate getting ten. That's a seventeen point swing for those playing at home. This still is the higher seed and they still have a very good team even without their big runner. At what point in time do you think Nova struggles? Could it be this ther fourth straight road game against top rated teams. I mean honestly this is the fourth game where the cats have to go on the road and play a tough team. Getting their running all purpose RB/WR in the nix has given nova an edge of late. I think they are the team they were last year but last year they had the option of a few home games. I don't know of many schools on a four game road trip that can lay it on a tough team but nova does it week in and out. Still I am taking a shot on the home dog because I think the value here is with Washington who is being undersold because of the running back injury and nova being oversold because of their play of late. This is more than likely my last play in this Playoffs because bowl time is upon us.

Cheers
Irish
 

Irish

Green&Orange
Forum Member
Jan 8, 2004
3,850
16
0
48
OH
According to a sponsored site from here it showed at EWU -7 but not sure if that was at open but it showed up on weds morning but was unplayable until today. Trust me I tried to hammer it once I saw nova getting a td. So not sure what it officially opened at but on this site it popped up like that.

Cheers
Irish
 

Spalding

Registered User
Forum Member
Oct 24, 2002
1,122
7
38
Nodak
If that was true then I would have bet everything they let me on it.

Seriously though Sunday night it came out as Nova -6.5 at 5dimes and they are always first.
 

Irish

Green&Orange
Forum Member
Jan 8, 2004
3,850
16
0
48
OH
Gotcha... Some reason sportsbook came in with what I said at unplayable. But I still like a live home dog.

Cheers
Irish
 
Bet on MyBookie
Top