The degenerate in me comes out this afternoon... this is the only game starting at 4:00, so I want to bet it.
I'm looking over stats/trends and whatnot, and when these teams met earlier this year, Evansville (at home) won by a fairly big margin. They were -3, and easily covered the spread.
Today, with the game at Drake, Evansville are 7 point underdogs--a 10 point line movement from their previous matchup, which Evansville won! :shrug:
It should be noted that Evansville is horrendous on the road SU (1-5)... 3-3 ATS. They also have an abysmal 3PT% on the road, but that's really the only major flaw I can find.
These are obviously two teams I don't know that well, so I'm skeptical any way I look at it, but this line just looks fishy to me. :scared
Any MVC followers? Stats guys that see something I'm missing? Box?? :SIB
I'm looking over stats/trends and whatnot, and when these teams met earlier this year, Evansville (at home) won by a fairly big margin. They were -3, and easily covered the spread.
Today, with the game at Drake, Evansville are 7 point underdogs--a 10 point line movement from their previous matchup, which Evansville won! :shrug:
It should be noted that Evansville is horrendous on the road SU (1-5)... 3-3 ATS. They also have an abysmal 3PT% on the road, but that's really the only major flaw I can find.
These are obviously two teams I don't know that well, so I'm skeptical any way I look at it, but this line just looks fishy to me. :scared
Any MVC followers? Stats guys that see something I'm missing? Box?? :SIB
