excellent article about money management. not just for newbies, for everyone.

tig3rs

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i try to read as much as i can about everything and i thought this article was great from a certain website for sports gambling with lots of stats. :SIB


The Key to Success

We feel this is one of the most important concepts when wagering on sports and recommend you establish a money management system best suited for your bankroll. More often than not, a winning season has as much to do with money management as it does picking winners. You show us a player with 60% winners and on the plus side at the end of the season and we?ll show you 10 guys with the same games (60% winners) but down money when the season ends.

The reason for this drastic difference is simply one word, DISCIPLINE. To prevent this from happening, we?d advise a unit system based on your purse or bankroll. Your starting purse should be the maximum dollar amount you can afford to lose for the season. You must set this amount aside and stick to it. You should never wager any amount that would change your lifestyle, win or lose.

Let?s give you an example to show you what we mean. We?ll set up a hypothetical purse of $6,000 for the upcoming season. First of all, do not exceed $600, or 10% of your purse, on the opening weekend. In fact, you should never wager more than 10% of your total purse on any given weekend.

Second, you must establish a unit or star system for the games you will wager on. We will do that for you if you decide to follow my betting advice. This part of handicapping is crucial as rating the games correctly could mean the difference between a winning and losing season.

Now back to the wagering. Let's say for example we have a 3*, 4*, and 5* play for you in College Football on opening weekend. Your opening purse is $6,000 so you do not want to wager more than $600 for the weekend. We have a total of 12* adding the three selections. You will divide the $600 by 12 to get the amount you should wager per star. In this case it comes to $50 per star. Now let?s say we win our two higher rated plays and lose our 3* selection. You will win $250 on the 5* selection, $200 on the 4*, and lose $165 on the 3* (10% juice figured into the loss). Your profit for the weekend will be $285, which is now added to the $6000 purse.

The following weekend you will use the same formula but with a total purse of $6285. This means you will be able to wager $628 for the second weekend (10% of total purse). It is imperative to use discipline and never exceed 10% of your purse. This system allows you to play more when you win and less when things aren?t going as well. If you?re the type of person who likes to double and triple up after a win or loss, you will find it?s just a matter of time before your purse is gone.

Again, we can?t stress enough the importance of a sound money management system. At the end of the season when we?re plus units and happy with the results, we don?t want you to be asking yourself, ?where are my profits??


i've seen a few people come on this site and say "all my bets are for 1 unit" but i strongly believe that is a faulty way of betting. as anyone who has seen my posts or followed my picks or has been successful in the least knows that adjusting bet amounts based on the strength of a play is key. i am well above (75%+) my overall average (60.5%) with my strongest, largest bets ($6+) and playing like that can make a 2-2 night profitable when a system based on equal units for every play is a loser to the juice with a 2-2 night.

just thought i'd share. good luck everyone! [/B] :toast:
 
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big papi

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I strongly disagree as all bets should be the same. Now lets say you bet 1000 on one game and 100 on the other. All games have an equal chance of covering. Many times you will lose that 1000 bet and win the 100 bet.

You are playing with fire my friend!
 

tig3rs

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well that's an extreme difference. not saying 1-10... i play an average play as $3, huge play at $9, "iffy" plays less than $3. not a 1000% difference. the thing is learning how to adjust them. it's all about capping the game yourself, setting a line and playing to that. the more advantage you think you have over the line, the more you bet. but yes... i NEVER go over a 4x play.
 

Morris

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Above the Clouds....
I personally don't think all bets should be the same amount. Stronger plays should be weighted higher. The article is interesting. Thanks Tig!
 

IX_Bender

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This is faulty.


The whole dont risk more than 10% of your bankroll on any given day is asinine. When youve been doing this long enough to trust your plays then its counter productive to limit yourself because there are a lot of good plays on the same day.

Going by the numbers, say you have the $600 daily BR and there are three plays all for 2*. You would wager $200 a piece or $100 per *. You win one, lose one and push the other. Hypothetically you have the same amount the next day.

Its a big card and you have a 5*, two 4*s, a 3* and two 2*s.

Thats a total of six plays for 20*s. That means today you have $600/20 = $30 per star.

So the "big play" 5* is in action for $150. Three-fourth the amount of yesterdays two star. Yeah. Meanwhile, the same rated plays as yesterdays are bet for $60 instead of $200. Why.... because there are more/better betting opportunities today. Ridiculous.


It gets worse when you go 3-3 over that weekend winning the 4* and both 2*s. So instead of losing juice you're ending up 8-12 ( dont forget the extra 1.2 so its really a 8 - 13.2 day)

If you think that you can allocate your *s or whatever by the week/weekend, then youre fooling yourself even further. How can I plan on Friday how many *s I'll be betting on the NFC playoff game Sunday night? Theres still so much information to go over that its impossible. For a system thats trying to limit risk, its seems much more of a gamble to me.

Any clown who has a 500* play and a 10* play is using pink fives and yellow tens. Dont get me started on the GOY bullshit either. There are a few good general points in the article concerning the starting bankroll and using discipline but following that system isnt one of them.

I'd wish you good luck, but you wouldn't know what to do with it if you got it. And to answer your question, pal: why am I here? I came here because Mitch and Murray asked me to, they asked me for a favor. I said the real favor, follow my advice and fire your ass, because a loser is a loser.
 

tig3rs

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yeah, i'm not sure about the 10% deal and the * system he wrote about... my point was just about the fluctuating of bets based on strength. that's where my winning comes from, being able to handicap the strength of each play as well as the game itself.

settling for 1 unit per play is conceding that vegas makes all lines equal which is just WRONG. they make some lines a lot softer than others, that's why we play this game, otherwise vegas would just go 50% and rake in the juice.

"There are a few good general points in the article concerning the starting bankroll and using discipline but following that system isnt one of them." <---- good summary Bender.
 

Tman

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tig3rs I respect your capping and your methods and always check your plays. That said, I disagree with rating your plays. Now I dont know how long you have been sports betting but for me its been 16 years. The first 5 I only used * rated plays, needless to say I won 2 out of the 5 years, maybe that was just bad cappin by me though :shrug: I have won a nice profit 11 years in a row now with equal bets. With the low juice webites out there its much easier then it was with the -110 vig back in the day. IMO it is extremely important to play at these books, it saves a lot of coin throughout the year especially if you bet every sport. On any given year lets say you have 700 wagers and hit 55% that would make you 385-315. Lets say you wager $300/game with -110 juice you would profit $11,550. With -105 juice you would profit $16,275, almost a 5K difference. My point is nowadays moreso then ever its almost an even playing field with the books if you are smart about it. Therefore you CAN beat the books steadily betting equal amounts. Again, this is just my opinion. GL SIR!
 

Keyser Soze

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Just going from the piece that was posted, the guy spoke of "His rated plays, and of any given weekend"...........To me it sounds like a service tout attempting to be the good guy and helping his sheep-like followers maintain some kind of bankroll as to be able to continue to pay him for his wonderful services. IN addition as he says "opening weekend", I have to think him to be pushing football. That said, there will be close to a consistent number of plays each weekend in order to draw from, unlike any other sport playing around the week. Everything sounds great on paper, but putting it into practice on a regular basis is the true test, especially when that game that you just absolutely LOVE comes around. I personally don't use a * or number system, but I sure won't knock somebody that wishes to do so.

Good luck in all your wagers, no matter how many *'s they are!
 

drdontpass

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great replies....all of them.......money management gets so little written about it..but is soooooooooo very important......excellent posts by all of you....thanks
 
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