extra game helps in 2nd week

bej0101

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i am not sure what the % is but it seems that a team that already played a game has a HUGE winning/covering % over a team that is playing its first preseason game..i believe this is an angle to exploit..good luck
 

Hooks

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bej, hate to burst your bubble, but this used to be a way to make money. However as in all situations, this angle has been used up.
It hasn't worked the last couple of years. It seems once a good winning situation arises, it doesn't take too long for the books to see what we're doing. There are lots of situations that have worked well over the years only to be discovered by the books and somehow they always put a stop to them in their own ways.It's amazing :shrug: Who knows, maybe it bounces back this year.
 

bej0101

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thanks for the heads up hooks, however i will still give it a run this week with a dime on each..good luck!!!!!!!
 

Nolan Dalla

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Over the last nine seasons, this angle is 25-24-1. It was a big moneymaker in the 1980s, but lines have now been corrected and there appears to be no value in betting this angle. I'm interested to see the college football numbers, which might be more positive with regard to this trend.

-- Nolan Dalla
 

Sixth Sense

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What you want to look for are teams laying less than four points in this situation. Over the same last nine years, those teams are a more respectable 17-12-4 and 40-18-8 since 1983.

As for college. No real advantage there. These teams are just 92-86-3 since 1988. I thought I used to look at something that actually played against these teams but I would have to look for it. I don't think the situation was that great, however.
 

Skanoochies

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Sixth, are you saying teams playing their second games against another teams opener are good bets if laying three or less? Would that not make T.B. a great bet in your opinion, as they are getting the points?

Appreciate your opinion.

Thanks, Skanoochies.:) :shrug: :)
 

Kdogg21

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I was thinking Miami would have the advantage no matter what

even though fiedler is out, TB just played in Japan. their schedule has got to be screwed up a little
 

Sixth Sense

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Skan - Anything at -3.5 or less. Teams favored by -4 are 1-1 but it gets worse after that. I would still look at who each team will be starting, etc. but I would not play against these teams.

Kdogg - It would seem that way but teams who played overseas and now have a 2-1 game advantage are actually 19-9-2 ats so that advantage is apparently not an advantage at all. Home teams have performed better than road teams but this isn't much of a trip for TB in this game.

Good luck guys.
 
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