Some pretty big games this week that will be make or break for some teams in terms of the playoff.
Cant say that I have any big plays this week but I have a lot of plays that I feel strongly about.
Duquesne -2.5 vs Saint Francis; SFU has the best scoring defense in the league but they have played a relatively soft schedule. They do have stud WR Kamron Lewis who is a weapon on offense. Duquesne is top scoring team in the conference. These teams are the 2 and 3 teams in pass offense w/ Duquesne being the most pass efficient team in the conf. Short and sweet- SFU has benefitted from +14 TO margin. Well Dukes dont turn it over much and have home field advantage. Better QB... Game could be high scoring.
Columbia +7; I like Anders Hill. I know the Lions had huge emotional win LW in OT but every win by Dartmouth has been tight and emotional. I think this is going to be a battle and I think we see a FG separate the game.
Monomouth pk; Monmouth IMHO is class of conference. Liberty cannot play in the playoffs, cannot win the conf title so not sure they have much to play for. They are just looking to move up. Monmouth better than Kennesaw.
Howard -13 and over 61; Morgan State are playing better after they have made a couple of changes on the line and at QB. Howard is led by the baby Newton. I think he goes off. We could see 47-27 type game...
Sacramento State +2.5, 1.5, pk; Think the young Hornets team are catching the UND boys at the exact moment to lay an ass whooping on them. The UND QB is hurting and DNP LW. Backups were ineffective LW vs Montana. I can break this down more if needed; Grumbling is coming out of UND abot play calling etc. Some are calling for allowing the youth to play and get them some experience since the season is lost. I like the spot.
Wofford -1; They know how to win. Wofford defense will be tested but I think Wofford offense will be able to score. Samford allowing too much ypc to stop this Wofford rush game.
Citadel -3; I have been fading UTC and feel like I have to continue. They are yet to cover except vs VMI. Copeland the young QB looked better last week but will face a different kind of defense with this Citadel team.
Youngstown State -1.5; Guys I rate UNI 7 to 10 points lower than most. The win lw at SDSU was a fluke. SDSU had Hobo days going and had a couple of early turnovers and could not overcome it. Then missed 2 FG's and left points on field in 1st half that would have tightened the game. YSU coming off b2b battles but Pellini has them ready.
Missouri State +22; Straight hunch play; Missouri State Offense figuring things out. Guys they could go out here and get straight embarrassed so this is not the one to step out on.
Austin Peay -2.5; They are playing good ball. Ball control.
UC DAvis +8.5; This line has dropped to 5.5- I think UCD could win but I liked getting more than a TD.
Southern -17; Jackson STate may be the worst team in FCS. Southern beats them by 30
Totals:
NDSU Over 52.5
JMU Under 45
EMU Under 51.5
Va Tech Over 51
UCLA Under 68.5
Utah O/57
Ohio Under 47
Charlotte Under 52
La Tech Over 55
Texas Under 65
FBS;
Baylor +9.5
Charlotte +7.5; I know UAB has been playing well but now they are a road fave. Far cry from a home dog. This smells.
Rutgers +9.5
Tulane +11; Think they catch USF flat.
Illinois +14; I think Illini could catch Gophers off b2b tough games... Illinois playing awful so lets bet them
FCS is for 3*
Totals are all 1*
FBS are all 1.65*
Moneylines on the dogs are all 25$
NBL and Lets get them
Jason
Cant say that I have any big plays this week but I have a lot of plays that I feel strongly about.
Duquesne -2.5 vs Saint Francis; SFU has the best scoring defense in the league but they have played a relatively soft schedule. They do have stud WR Kamron Lewis who is a weapon on offense. Duquesne is top scoring team in the conference. These teams are the 2 and 3 teams in pass offense w/ Duquesne being the most pass efficient team in the conf. Short and sweet- SFU has benefitted from +14 TO margin. Well Dukes dont turn it over much and have home field advantage. Better QB... Game could be high scoring.
Columbia +7; I like Anders Hill. I know the Lions had huge emotional win LW in OT but every win by Dartmouth has been tight and emotional. I think this is going to be a battle and I think we see a FG separate the game.
Monomouth pk; Monmouth IMHO is class of conference. Liberty cannot play in the playoffs, cannot win the conf title so not sure they have much to play for. They are just looking to move up. Monmouth better than Kennesaw.
Howard -13 and over 61; Morgan State are playing better after they have made a couple of changes on the line and at QB. Howard is led by the baby Newton. I think he goes off. We could see 47-27 type game...
Sacramento State +2.5, 1.5, pk; Think the young Hornets team are catching the UND boys at the exact moment to lay an ass whooping on them. The UND QB is hurting and DNP LW. Backups were ineffective LW vs Montana. I can break this down more if needed; Grumbling is coming out of UND abot play calling etc. Some are calling for allowing the youth to play and get them some experience since the season is lost. I like the spot.
Wofford -1; They know how to win. Wofford defense will be tested but I think Wofford offense will be able to score. Samford allowing too much ypc to stop this Wofford rush game.
Citadel -3; I have been fading UTC and feel like I have to continue. They are yet to cover except vs VMI. Copeland the young QB looked better last week but will face a different kind of defense with this Citadel team.
Youngstown State -1.5; Guys I rate UNI 7 to 10 points lower than most. The win lw at SDSU was a fluke. SDSU had Hobo days going and had a couple of early turnovers and could not overcome it. Then missed 2 FG's and left points on field in 1st half that would have tightened the game. YSU coming off b2b battles but Pellini has them ready.
Missouri State +22; Straight hunch play; Missouri State Offense figuring things out. Guys they could go out here and get straight embarrassed so this is not the one to step out on.
Austin Peay -2.5; They are playing good ball. Ball control.
UC DAvis +8.5; This line has dropped to 5.5- I think UCD could win but I liked getting more than a TD.
Southern -17; Jackson STate may be the worst team in FCS. Southern beats them by 30
Totals:
NDSU Over 52.5
JMU Under 45
EMU Under 51.5
Va Tech Over 51
UCLA Under 68.5
Utah O/57
Ohio Under 47
Charlotte Under 52
La Tech Over 55
Texas Under 65
FBS;
Baylor +9.5
Charlotte +7.5; I know UAB has been playing well but now they are a road fave. Far cry from a home dog. This smells.
Rutgers +9.5
Tulane +11; Think they catch USF flat.
Illinois +14; I think Illini could catch Gophers off b2b tough games... Illinois playing awful so lets bet them
FCS is for 3*
Totals are all 1*
FBS are all 1.65*
Moneylines on the dogs are all 25$
NBL and Lets get them
Jason
