FINAL FOUR BREAKDOWN............

Franky Wright

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Heaven, oh!!, this isn't it?!
Ohio State vs Georgetown.......

#1 Big Ten vs. #1 Big East; with Oden vs. Hibbert

Florida vs. UCLA
#1 SEC vs #1 Pac Ten; and Last years Winner vs. LY?s Runner Up

:00hour

My take is this;
Ohio State has finally come into form, after a couple of lackluster game?s, they got their shit together and put a beat-down on Memphis. Georgetown 'seems' to have hit their stride in overtime, but free throw trouble and silly fouls will bring them down. I also think Coach Matta has more tricks in his bag than Thompson, at least from what I have seen. Was surprised by the line movement in this game, but it shouldn?t matter. All of Georgetown?s high screens will not work against the Buckeyes lightning quick guards. If Ohio St gets lazy, some back door stuff can open up against them, but Matta will sit those players if it happens, and he has enough of them waiting to play. If Oden gets in foul trouble, then Ohio St will play an up tempo sort of game, that wears down teams, a game that Conley J.R. (think Kobe one on one) excels at. Seems like most are on Georgetown, and I?m Ok with that. Should be a good game, but I see the Buckeyes pulling away down the stretch by 4-6 points. Say????78-73!

This just in; Oden Interview Headlines :com:
Greg Oden On Final Four Appearance: 'I'm Happier Than I've Been In 30 Years'
Source ?The Onion?, my local, LMAO???.:mj07:

As much as I have liked Ohio State this weekend, my preference for UCLA has grown even more that I have looked into this game. Lee Humphrey is a great shooter, but he is a horrible defender, and with Collison running the point now for UCLA, he will be able to blow past Humphrey and open things up for the Bruins. I want to know who Donovan will make Humphrey guard? I believe now that Afflalo has found his touch, this one-two punch is the mismatch that Ben Howland will exploit. Howland just seems to have a knack for making the adjustments that Donovan does not. I was not big on UCLA throughout the season, but they made me a believer shortly before the tourney. Mbah a Moute and Aboya are not your typical freshman anymore, and seem to have gelled nicely down low. If they neutralize the paint vs. Florida?s tag team, then Affalo can go out a get at Humphrey. Shipp is the Ace in the hole if you will, and I find it interesting that nobody seems to talk about him(maybe I missed it?). The Gators were behind both Purdue and Butler deep into their games before coming back to win. I just don?t see the same hunger as last year from them? I do see another good game, close, with many lead changes in this one, but show UCLA advancing. Taking this one on the money line and with the points, lets do a 65-62, Bruins on top?..

But what the hell do I know? :shrug:

All responses and banter welcome, LOL???.:bigun:

:toast:

Franky
 

STOP & POP

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Interesting take Franky. Lot of good points here.

I happen to like Florida and G Town myself but haven't pulled the trigger on my plays.

Here are my thoughts:

In the Ohio St - G Town game, I give the advantage to Ohio St at the guard play, but I think G Town is going to get the better of Ohio St in the post. Oden is not a smart player. He will foul out in this game. I went to the Memphis - Ohio St game and thought there could have been several more fouls on him than were called. He can be called for a foul each time he tries to post up. Throws elbows, etc. I expect him to play less than 25 minutes in this game. Hibbert is improving. Post moves have expanded as the season has progressed. He will probably foul out also though. They should basically nuetralize each other. I think the key to this game is Green. I have watched him all year and think he is under rated. You always hear about Hibbert becuase he is 7' 2" and Patrick Ewing Jr becasue he is Patrick's son but you don't hear enough about Green. He is absolulely the heart and soul of that team. He can score fron the outside. He has a mid range jumper and is the best post player that will be on the court that day. This kid will play in the NBA imo and be a decent player. He has a wide body but is fairly adgile for his size. G Town is going to try to slow the game down and take advatage of their superior post play. If he has a good game G Town will win it. If the pace is quick the Ohio St guards will give G Town's guards fits and they may blow G Town out.

Having said all that Ohio St will probably win the game becasue the refs will help them. Just like the intentional foul that was never called against Oden two games ago for shoving that kid in the back right in front of the ref with seconds left on the clock. The whole country saw it and everyone know it was a foul but the ref swallowed his wistle and the rest is history. Refs are huge in college basketball as we all know and I think the refs will help Ohio St get it done. An overlooked call here, or a bad call there can completly change the tone and complexity of a game. It can crush a teams momentum and motivate another.

I may be a bit cynical here but I think the media wants an Ohio St - Florida final like they had in College Football so they can hype it up.

If Ohio St wins the first game you can be sure I am going to bet Florida to win the second.
 

Morris

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A lot of good points here. The thing I keep saying is that Ohio St just keeps finding a way to win. They should have been eliminated in 2 games this tournament but they come back and win. I may not take a side here because I'm leaning to GT but just a small lean. I may try over and hope it gets a little up tempo. GL.
 

rusty

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The thing thats scares me the most about Ohio st/ GT is this the line movement.Its telling you to go against the public and take ohio st as the line has moved in ohio st favor and even thou its slight every time i bet against the public i seem to loss thats my take on it .right now im leaning GT,but undecided
 

Craiger

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Very nice writeup Franky and Stop . cudos Morrs andRusty with the soul searching gut pick .... The thing that bothers me is now that "showtime" is nigh> the money will fly. both sides .. hell peeps put dimes on GT and as i speak are buying it back !@:mj07:
It's just one game! . IMO am going GT (how could you not) they geat Vandy! NC!Vilani/BC/ND in big blockbuster D games((. ohio yeah ok southern belt Wisky/Poodoo/Mich/Xav memphis etc.. So Love Geo in this matchup by strength of sched alone .. but both teams have guts and the books are just hoping for even money> If i had a ton to drop would do on GT but not enough in the bank to load the chamber>>

Everyone please play Money MGmt@ and enjoy this game:SIB In this moment in time tomorrow eve ANYTHING can happen IMO ~but a wallet buster play is a no go *
 

Franky Wright

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Heaven, oh!!, this isn't it?!
Good replies guys, always enjoy the insight from others. Couple of other things as I hit these just now.....

This is each teams bench numbers for all four teams last game.

The Ohio State = 22 pts & 11 rebounds
Georgetown = 7 pts & 4 rebounds

UCLA = 11 pts & 8 rebounds
FLorida = 7 pts & 7 rebounds

:00hour


7* OHIO ST +1; will win by 7-8 pts
7* UCLA +3 ; will win by 3-4 pts
2* UCLA ML +150

GL ALL,

Franky ;)
 

Franky Wright

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Heaven, oh!!, this isn't it?!
I will only take credit for the loser :com:

I should not have followed another's ideas on UCLA and it cost me?:142smilie I have been known to be stupid in that regard :shrug: Sorry but I thought it had decent value, but with Affalo handcuffed on the bench, the Bruins could not stay close..............

Anyway, ride the Buckeye's to the NC, and take em on the ML also......:com:

Feel very confident about this, back with why later:mj06:

Cheers.......

Franky
 
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