First year bowl coaches

[grandpa]

Several theories as to why this happens, but whatever the reason, let it be noted that first-year bowl coaches ( first year with the team)
are 39-67-2 ATS since 1990.

Several instances this season to apply to.

Do with as you may, fare thee well, have a safe and happy holiday season ( and some extra profit would be nice too!) .

 

[grandpa]

Of course this thread, like most of mine, gets no response, except from myself.

For all who backed UCLA and Fresno St, look no further. There are still some golden opportunities left.

 

[dcgoz]

does/would you include instances where the coach left the team for another gig? like with Cincy? curious... the percentage definitely played out with the WKU game..

 

[grandpa]

I didn't compile the stat, but I'm almost certain it considers interim coaches as first time coaches

 

[LonghornMM]

I didn't compile the stat, but I'm almost certain it considers interim coaches as first time coaches

There is no pattern to interim coaches/first year coaches. Just flip a coin. No one wins betting on sports any way.:142smilie

 

[grandpa]

Arizona St is a newbie

 

[grandpa]

There is no pattern to interim coaches/first year coaches. Just flip a coin. No one wins betting on sports any way.:142smilie

39-67 isn't a pattern. It's a goddammned trend

 

[LonghornMM]

39-67 isn't a pattern. It's a goddammned trend

How much are you up betting on this trend?

 

[green2240]

I like your thought
I don't think it works for az st because graham has coached a bowl unlike deruyter and mora

 

[grandpa]

The theory, as explained by professional handicapper RJ Bell, is that new coaches are brought in to revive programs. After the success of getting the team into a bowl game, and the honeymoon period, with the 4-6 week break between end of season and the bowl game, causes a letdown of sorts.
It is not the end-all trend that determines which side of the game is the right side, but is one more factor to consider.
I point this out 4 games into the bowl season. You can do whatever you like with it.

 

[capping-guru]

I have been hitting this trend. I posted an article on this back on Dec. 17th......only seeing your post now as I wasnt online much Christmas Eve and Day. I agree with your take and that its very profitable!

 

[grandpa]

0-5 so far this season, now 39-72-2.