FL/Mont under?

[NJO]

Though he has struggled lately, I like Vazquez as a pitcher, and I am not particularly enamored of Florida's bats.

On the other side, I would expect Burnett to respond with a big effort off of the Braves knocking him around last week, and his sub-2 ERA at home is very appealing. His pitching is a far cry from what Montreal faced this past weekend in Pittsburgh, so they should be silenced.

What scares me is Vazquez's recent poor form and generally poor road performance, and the propensity for these 2 teams to go over the total recently.

 

[TexasBC6]

Florida went over in their last 3 games against Philly. Prior to that I believe they went over in 2 out of 3 against Atlanta. Just something to consider. GL to you.

 

[NJO]

I think I've been scared off -- covers.com shows FL has gone over something like 9 of 10, and Montreal has been more over than under lately.

Those recent patterns are enough to scare me off -- if recency was more normal, I'd be all over the under.