Florida Vs Alabama - 3 of a Kind - KOD

THE KOD

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PLAY


Football - Saturday, October 02, 2010

Florida Spread +14 (-260)

(5 Point Buy) Game

1502/577


PLAY


................................................................

PLAY

Football - Saturday, October 02, 2010

Oregon Spread -5 (-150)

(2 Point Buy) Game Buy Points

777/517

PLAY
 
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THE KOD

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I have been looking at this game now since Alabama's come from behind win over Arkansas.

Let me tell you this much. If someone said to me :

Hey KOD , I will give you Alabama + 14 this week at home vs Florida. I would say oh hell yes.

I am saying the same thing about this game with Florida getting bought to the + 14.

This is a rival game very important to both teams.

No way either team puts a bitch slap on the other.
Just remember the way Tennesee played Alabama at home last year.

With that being said, Alabama at home is in a much better situation than last week with pass happy Arkansas. Even though Brantley is not as good a passer as Mullet , the Alabama secondary is going to be tested big time.

The problem I see for Alabama is the Florida defense. They lead the SEC with 12 picks. That dont bode well for Mac after his two picks in the first half of the Arkansas game.

Florida is also capable of stuffing the run on Alabamas two big backs.

There is not a question about the two teams having the offensive wherewithall to win this game outright, but I see a hard fought close game to the end.

Should be a great game to watch.

Going to make 2 plays this week. I just finished looking at this one.

Two more to come.
 
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THE KOD

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talktous.jpg



psssst ...KOD says .......3 of a Kind ! !
 
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THE KOD

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uesc_09_img0509.jpg




Listen Rainman - OK we are doing good.
Now think about this hard because there is alot riding on this you hear me ?

Florida Gators Vs Alabama Crimson Tide

What do you see happening with Florida +14 ?

Rainman - Swamp fever.

Its time for Judge Wopner , Judge Wopner
Its three thirty, time for Judge Wopner

Are you sure about the Swamp fever ?

Rainman - yeh , Alligator , Aligator








Oh shit this is in the bag !
 

THE KOD

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Florida Gators (4-0)

The Gators sputtered on offense with a quarterback better suited for a pro-style scheme than for Coach Urban Meyer's spread option. Then Florida found a freshman backup quarterback who can run like a bull, giving the Gators the between-the-tackles running threat they needed to open up the rest of the offense. Any of this sound familiar? Let's not project the career of Tim Tebow onto Trey Burton after one great game. After all, while Burton is officially Florida's backup quarterback, he also plays fullback, tight end and receiver. Burton ran to a six-touchdown breakout against Kentucky in The Swamp this past weekend. Still, if Burton's emergence helps the Gators' offense diversify to complement a playmaking defense, Florida may not have as much trouble reloading as we thought it would in the post-Tebow era.
Last game: Beat Kentucky, 48-14

Next game: Saturday at Alabama

...............................................................

:00hour :00hour
 

THE KOD

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PLAY

Football - Saturday, October 02, 2010

Oregon Spread -5 (-150)

(2 Point Buy) Game Buy Points

777/517

PLAY

................................................................
 

THE KOD

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Stanford's passing game needs work
By Jon Wilner

Updated: 09/28/2010 10:44:46 PM PDT


Stanford is fourth in the nation in scoring (48 points per game) and leads the Pac-10 in several categories, including third down conversions and red zone scoring.

But all is not well on that side of the ball, especially as it pertains to the passing game.

"We want it to be better," coach Jim Harbaugh said Tuesday, as the No. 9 Cardinal prepared for Saturday's showdown at No. 4 Oregon.

"But that's everything -- in every phase of the game, we want to get better."

Quarterback Andrew Luck leads the Pac-10 in passing, but his statistics are built on stellar performances against second-rate competition:

He completed 74 percent of his passes, with eight touchdowns and no interceptions, against Sacramento State, a Football Championship Subdivision team, and Wake Forest, which ranks 117th in the nation in pass defense.

Against the reasonably competent defenses of UCLA and Notre Dame, Luck has completed just 53.5 percent of his passes, with two touchdowns and two interceptions.

"I left some plays out there," Luck said, referring to Notre Dame -- the first two-interception game of his career. "I have a lot of improving to do.''

The short-circuiting could be the result of opposing defenses paying more attention to the aerial attack in the wake of running back Toby Gerhart's departure.

Or maybe injuries to receivers Chris Owusu, who missed the first two games, and Ryan Whalen, who's currently hurt, have disrupted the timing.

Luck placed the blame at his own feet, literally: He's throwing too many passes off his back foot, resulting in wobblers and misfires.

"Oregon will make us pay for plays like that," he said.

Luck ranks fifth (albeit a distant fifth) in espn.com's latest Heisman Trophy poll, behind Michigan's Denard Robinson, Boise State's Kellen Moore, Ohio State's Terrelle Pryor and Alabama's Mark Ingram.

Saturday's game has been billed as a clash of opposites (Stanford's power against Oregon's speed). But Oregon Coach Chip Kelly disagrees.

"Both teams strive to run the football," he said. "They use more tight ends, but it's still (two) tough, hard-nosed styles."

In keeping with his season-long policy, Harbaugh declined to talk specifics about Stanford's injured players -- a growing list that includes tailbacks Jeremy Stewart (ankle) and Tyler Gaffney (undisclosed), receiver Ryan Whalen (dislocated elbow) and safety Michael Thomas (leg).:scared
....................................................................

Won the game last week when Adrew Luck took down Notre Dame at their place.
But when I watched that game I saw some things I did not like about Stanford. Things that will hurt them in this game vs the Oregon Ducks.

Oregon has 9 players that have carried the ball for at least a 5 yd gain. The QB is very good and underated as a passer with his 10 TDs so far.

Oregon has the special teams and defense to really score in bunchs . The thing I really like about Oregon is when I watched them play Tenn early this year, once they got going they put the hammer down. They tried every which way to run the score up. That matters to me when I am laying any points at all.

Oregon at home field advantage. This is too much for Stanford who hasnt beaten a top 10 team in forever.

This could get ugly.
 

Trampled Underfoot

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Scott,
I'm not trying to give you a hard time but what is with all the point buying? Let alone buying all the way down to 5? You know this is a long term losing proposition.
 

THE KOD

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Scott,
I'm not trying to give you a hard time but what is with all the point buying? Let alone buying all the way down to 5? You know this is a long term losing proposition.
................................................................

Let me pull up a thread from last year and let you have a look see.

check back with me
 

Trampled Underfoot

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................................................................

Let me pull up a thread from last year and let you have a look see.

check back with me

Its a mathematical fact. Your short term results are not a large enough sample to support this activity. I don't want to fight about it. I just don't see how you can keep doing this. I'll leave you be though. Good luck.
 

THE KOD

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1. Get on the right side

2. Reduce your risk

3. Don't be a homer

4. Reduce the plays you make

5. I smell money and it smells green.

6. No woman, No children

7. Cash the ticket.


THE KOD
 

THE KOD

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Its a mathematical fact. Your short term results are not a large enough sample to support this activity. I don't want to fight about it. I just don't see how you can keep doing this. I'll leave you be though. Good luck.
..............................................................

Its ok TU it gets asked of me all the time.

First of all I have a large enough bankroll from last year to support playing this way.

Show me any other capper at madjacks that has recorded 80 % wins during a year . I have done it more than once over the years.

Of course you cant be playing candyass with your record.

I may not win this year but I like my chances.
 

BuddyWright

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Its a mathematical fact. Your short term results are not a large enough sample to support this activity. I don't want to fight about it. I just don't see how you can keep doing this. I'll leave you be though. Good luck.




I cant tell you what mathematical fact I have to support this next statement and I don't have any statistical probability theories to back anything I am about to say up but I can after doing this kind of work for over 30 years tell you ,you will lose more than you win if you don't BUY yourself into a best case scenario on a particular event.

wait Buddy that doesn't make any f**king sense because looking at the long term over all risk to gain you will be risking more than you win and will eventually lose more than you gain... oh s**t another math dude that has figured out the sport of gaming. Well if you lose more than you win then yes that will be the out come but the purpose of buying off an ATS line is to be on a side taking a better line than THE MAN has dealt ergo take some of his advantage away and put yourself in a better position to win THIS PARTICULAR EVENT. The key is to BUY OFF or ON events that increase your chances of winning of of course winning.

You seem like a Math dude so look at your last years bet sheet and look at your loses and count how many loses you have that if you had bought off or on say .5 a point of a key Spread Number you would have won. If you don't have at least 10 then you arent playing key spread Number lines. Hell you should have 10 events last year that buying either side would make you a winner regardless of the side you were on.

The key to buying points is to be on events where you have a high probability of a tight game ATS and of course having the ability to recognize those games will determine if you will be a winner over all.

Too me personally the AM game tonight falls in that category and Stanford-Oregon certainly falls into the same situation. If I'm going to have Action there in Stanford I'm damn sure going to buy Off or on the 7 and put myself in a better situation ATS.

Telling someone who buys points that they will eventually lose their Bankroll by risking higher juice might seem like a profound statement but the reality is buying points and LOSING the ACTION will cost you your Bankroll over time would be a more accurate statement in my personal opinion but hell I didn't win 80% of my games last year I only won 64% of my College over all and 77% of my Plays of the Day so what the f**k do I know bro. If KOD boy won 80% of his games then he is doing something right and buying points on the right games would be one of them.

Just my opinion and you guys know what opinions are like. GL on your plays this week.

GoodLuck
 

THE KOD

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The key to buying points is to be on events where you have a high probability of a tight game ATS and of course having the ability to recognize those games will determine if you will be a winner over all.

but hell I didn't win 80% of my games last year I only won 64% of my College over all and 77% of my Plays of the Day so what the f**k do I know bro. If KOD boy won 80% of his games then he is doing something right and buying points on the right games would be one of them.

Just my opinion and you guys know what opinions are like. GL on your plays this week.

GoodLuck
...................................................................

BINGO !


your exactly on my way of thinking about this and few around here are able to grasp it.

thanks for posting
 

THE KOD

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Florida Spread +14

Where did you get this line? :shrug:

Looks like +7 to me.
.................................................................

Slink

I bought + 5 points from + 9 when it first came out

I think cb said it was + 10 at some books.

Reduce your risk.

I like my chances with the +14
 

sds222

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GL, those should both be good games. You gotta love alternative run lines, allot of books won't even offer them.
 

Trampled Underfoot

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I cant tell you what mathematical fact I have to support this next statement and I don't have any statistical probability theories to back anything I am about to say up but I can after doing this kind of work for over 30 years tell you ,you will lose more than you win if you don't BUY yourself into a best case scenario on a particular event.

wait Buddy that doesn't make any f**king sense because looking at the long term over all risk to gain you will be risking more than you win and will eventually lose more than you gain... oh s**t another math dude that has figured out the sport of gaming. Well if you lose more than you win then yes that will be the out come but the purpose of buying off an ATS line is to be on a side taking a better line than THE MAN has dealt ergo take some of his advantage away and put yourself in a better position to win THIS PARTICULAR EVENT. The key is to BUY OFF or ON events that increase your chances of winning of of course winning.

You seem like a Math dude so look at your last years bet sheet and look at your loses and count how many loses you have that if you had bought off or on say .5 a point of a key Spread Number you would have won. If you don't have at least 10 then you arent playing key spread Number lines. Hell you should have 10 events last year that buying either side would make you a winner regardless of the side you were on.

The key to buying points is to be on events where you have a high probability of a tight game ATS and of course having the ability to recognize those games will determine if you will be a winner over all.

Too me personally the AM game tonight falls in that category and Stanford-Oregon certainly falls into the same situation. If I'm going to have Action there in Stanford I'm damn sure going to buy Off or on the 7 and put myself in a better situation ATS.

Telling someone who buys points that they will eventually lose their Bankroll by risking higher juice might seem like a profound statement but the reality is buying points and LOSING the ACTION will cost you your Bankroll over time would be a more accurate statement in my personal opinion but hell I didn't win 80% of my games last year I only won 64% of my College over all and 77% of my Plays of the Day so what the f**k do I know bro. If KOD boy won 80% of his games then he is doing something right and buying points on the right games would be one of them.

Just my opinion and you guys know what opinions are like. GL on your plays this week.

GoodLuck

In college it is only profitable to buy on or off the 3 or 7 for 10 cents. Never buy points on the over/under. Sure short term results will vary but over thousands of wagers you will lose money if you deviate from this. That doesn't mean you wouldn't be successful. You just would have been more successful.
 

Trampled Underfoot

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Too me personally the AM game tonight falls in that category and Stanford-Oregon certainly falls into the same situation. If I'm going to have Action there in Stanford I'm damn sure going to buy Off or on the 7 and put myself in a better situation ATS.

Nothing wrong with buying off the 7. However, buying it down to 5 does not make sense. By buying down to 5, you lowered your break even point on the wager from 52.38% to 60%. When you do this 1000 times, you are going to lose money.
 

BuddyWright

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...................................................................

BINGO !


your exactly on my way of thinking about this and few around here are able to grasp it.

thanks for posting

LOL There isnt much that these old Boys at Madjacks arent able to grasp especially when it come to gaming Scott.

You are laying 260 in one game and 150 in another so you are laying an average of 2-1 so laying 2-1 you need to be on f**king winners bro laying that kind of odds.

if you are willing to lay 2-1 you can play a Two team 9 point teaser at 5 dimes buying 9 points and laying 190 with a tie a winner. you would get a hell of a lot better line of oregon+2 and Fla+16.5
but the disadvantage is you would have to win both games so going 1-1 wont decrease you loss figure.GL on your plays this week.

GoodLuck
 
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