Using technique learned from Jr miller who credited l.Banker,it uses the last four games,drops the high and low and averages the middle two for an offensive and defensive rating for each team.team a s offensive rating is adjusted up or down by the amount the opponents defense is below or above the national average.then you do the same for team B.This late in the tourney it is usually very reliable.Here is what it sayes about tonights game.....CONN 60 and a half,Butler 58.I am able to buy a point with my local and am playing conn minus 2 and Butler plus 4 and a half.gl
forecasted score using Bankers method
- Thread starter edludes
- Start date
re the under
re the under
The under looks good but the threat of overtime looms with the score as close as it is. It had uconn beating kentucky by one on Saturday and it had vcu beating butler by 8,but that was based on some unreal,somewhat over their heads play by VCU so I ended up attempting a middle on the Butler VCU game and hitting under 134 and under 141.5.I really think this is a tight line and has a decent chance to middle on the numbers 2,3 or 4.I am risking 30 percent juice for the play. I've been watching Uconn since the big east tourney and Butler hasn't failed to cover in the ncaa for two years now,we have ended up with two teams on the longest ATS streaks possible(Arizona/uconn opened at the 2 it ended up on so I count that as a push,I grade vs the opening line,not where its contorted to by the bettor.)
re the under
The under looks good but the threat of overtime looms with the score as close as it is. It had uconn beating kentucky by one on Saturday and it had vcu beating butler by 8,but that was based on some unreal,somewhat over their heads play by VCU so I ended up attempting a middle on the Butler VCU game and hitting under 134 and under 141.5.I really think this is a tight line and has a decent chance to middle on the numbers 2,3 or 4.I am risking 30 percent juice for the play. I've been watching Uconn since the big east tourney and Butler hasn't failed to cover in the ncaa for two years now,we have ended up with two teams on the longest ATS streaks possible(Arizona/uconn opened at the 2 it ended up on so I count that as a push,I grade vs the opening line,not where its contorted to by the bettor.)
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butler didnt cover versus murray state last year
cant let an overtime scare you on an under, at best it's like a 5% chance of happening
cant let an overtime scare you on an under, at best it's like a 5% chance of happening
Its happened to me 4 times so far in this post season and I was playing unders in three of the four,it happened to me on two in one day,the most notable being St JoessGWash under 126-.It was tied at 49 at the end of 40 and then averaged 6 points a minute for the 5 of ot to beat me by a basket.soo I'm waaaaay over the 5%.gl on the under if you play it basketball nut !!
murray state had to be their first game that year,so Butler has still covered ten straight ncaa games,which unless you are ucla in the 60's or 70's is about as long as it gets.
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