Well here's another one of those games that looks so evenly matched that I should pass. That's what I said yesterday and then I got lucky. This morning I got up and was sure (before I started looking at the game) I was going with Schilling and only had to figure out the total. Here's what I found.
Atl +130
u 7'
Batter'pitcher match-ups fav Atl, just barely but whether I like it or not, it's there. We have another of the great equalizers behind the plate with Hernandez and his almost as big as last night's strike zone. This should help Burkett more than Schilling. A narrow strike zone and Schilling has a lock on 8 innings. Have you noticed that all the umps in the play-offs so far have had big to bigger strike zones? I am looking for 6 innings from Burkett but the pitching goes up instead of down when the bp comes in. They have given up 3 runs in 5 games and 2 were given up by Reed who I don't expect to see unless Atl is way ahead or out of it. Last night I said that the first mistake loses but I don't see that today. This game could easily be settled in the ninth. I'm looking for another pitchers games but if Atl does get into the Ari bp, their very small adv becomes much larger. The last game I took the under but said these teams were due for an over and the 5 runs in the eighth took care of me there. Now we can get back to normal and I am glad to see that Vegas left the line at 7'. I see a lot of people jumping on the over because of the last game. The under in the play-offs is 17-6-1, in the games that these teams have been in it is 9-2. Because of the wide strike zone making good pitchers even better and Ari lack of hitting, I go under. Also feel that for Ari to win the game has to stay under which gives me a safty net on my Atl play. If you feel you can't play under then at least be smart and don't play against the per centages.
Good luck everyone
Atl +130
u 7'
Batter'pitcher match-ups fav Atl, just barely but whether I like it or not, it's there. We have another of the great equalizers behind the plate with Hernandez and his almost as big as last night's strike zone. This should help Burkett more than Schilling. A narrow strike zone and Schilling has a lock on 8 innings. Have you noticed that all the umps in the play-offs so far have had big to bigger strike zones? I am looking for 6 innings from Burkett but the pitching goes up instead of down when the bp comes in. They have given up 3 runs in 5 games and 2 were given up by Reed who I don't expect to see unless Atl is way ahead or out of it. Last night I said that the first mistake loses but I don't see that today. This game could easily be settled in the ninth. I'm looking for another pitchers games but if Atl does get into the Ari bp, their very small adv becomes much larger. The last game I took the under but said these teams were due for an over and the 5 runs in the eighth took care of me there. Now we can get back to normal and I am glad to see that Vegas left the line at 7'. I see a lot of people jumping on the over because of the last game. The under in the play-offs is 17-6-1, in the games that these teams have been in it is 9-2. Because of the wide strike zone making good pitchers even better and Ari lack of hitting, I go under. Also feel that for Ari to win the game has to stay under which gives me a safty net on my Atl play. If you feel you can't play under then at least be smart and don't play against the per centages.
Good luck everyone
