Championship series record
Lucky guesses 7
Dumb ass plays 1
Total 7 - 1
Game 3 is tough to cap. Both teams now know what they have to do to win and how the other team intends to play. Adjustments have been made. I don't see anyone changing their game-plan. Sac intends to foul anyone trying to go inside including Shack. Webber has to keep driving to the basket. A few no-calls and he becomes a jumpshooter and you can put a fork in Sac because they will be done. In game one the refs favored LA. Game two went the way I thought and Sac got the calls and no-calls. LA was saddled with 6 more fouls that resulted in 13 more foul shots for Sac. Webber's 28 % foul shooting kept it from getting ugly. LA knew the refs were helping Sac but that's just part of it (did you see R Horry interview after the game). It's great when they are on your side. Tonight, I exspect them to be a little more for LA. I'll probably not play a side tonight because LA might only win by 6. Remember last year they roared through the play-offs beating the pointspread almost every game. This year they are 3-7 ats, the worst of all the remaining teams by far but have the best winning per centage 8 -2. This makes me very leary of playing them tonight. That 1/2 point might be the difference. I do believe they will win.
Now, let's look at the total. I find this interesting. For the first game the line was 193 and went over by 12. Vegas made a serious adjustment. They added a whole point and the game went under by 8. Now this calls for another serious move and, as expected, they have lowered the total by a full 1/2 point. Friends, this is what I call "fine tuning". It would'nt surprise me if the 1/2 point cost some people some money. Now let's get a little more serious about this. We need 8 more points from somewhere to go over tonight. Shack shot almost 60% and the team as a whole could only muster 40% for the night. Leaves a lot of room for improvement. I don't espect 38 points from the foul line tonight but I do think it will be a rough played game and both teams will shoot fouls better. If you see 85% foul shooters missing 2 in a row in the 1st or 3rd qt you will know we are in deep do do. Now here's why I really think the over is the way to go. Keep in mind, this game only missed going over by 8. LA put up 19 threes and hit only 3. That's 15%. They won't shoot as many tonight but will hit more. Remember, one reason they shot as many as they did was because they were behind. Foul shooting will be better by both teams. Let's hope they can get over 30 at the foul line. Sac had the big lead and was slowing the ball down all through the 4th. Adelman had to keep riding them to speed the game up and play their tempo. They almost let LA back in it. I don't see LA doing anything different other than playing better offense. Sac would be crazy to change their game plan but if they get a big lead late they will keep pushing the ball. It's reasonable to think that Sac gets 94+ in a losing effort or over 100 if they win. Let's hope LA don't have a 12 to 15 point lead in the fourth because they will slow the ball down.
Playing
LA o 193'
Good luck everyone
Lucky guesses 7
Dumb ass plays 1
Total 7 - 1
Game 3 is tough to cap. Both teams now know what they have to do to win and how the other team intends to play. Adjustments have been made. I don't see anyone changing their game-plan. Sac intends to foul anyone trying to go inside including Shack. Webber has to keep driving to the basket. A few no-calls and he becomes a jumpshooter and you can put a fork in Sac because they will be done. In game one the refs favored LA. Game two went the way I thought and Sac got the calls and no-calls. LA was saddled with 6 more fouls that resulted in 13 more foul shots for Sac. Webber's 28 % foul shooting kept it from getting ugly. LA knew the refs were helping Sac but that's just part of it (did you see R Horry interview after the game). It's great when they are on your side. Tonight, I exspect them to be a little more for LA. I'll probably not play a side tonight because LA might only win by 6. Remember last year they roared through the play-offs beating the pointspread almost every game. This year they are 3-7 ats, the worst of all the remaining teams by far but have the best winning per centage 8 -2. This makes me very leary of playing them tonight. That 1/2 point might be the difference. I do believe they will win.
Now, let's look at the total. I find this interesting. For the first game the line was 193 and went over by 12. Vegas made a serious adjustment. They added a whole point and the game went under by 8. Now this calls for another serious move and, as expected, they have lowered the total by a full 1/2 point. Friends, this is what I call "fine tuning". It would'nt surprise me if the 1/2 point cost some people some money. Now let's get a little more serious about this. We need 8 more points from somewhere to go over tonight. Shack shot almost 60% and the team as a whole could only muster 40% for the night. Leaves a lot of room for improvement. I don't espect 38 points from the foul line tonight but I do think it will be a rough played game and both teams will shoot fouls better. If you see 85% foul shooters missing 2 in a row in the 1st or 3rd qt you will know we are in deep do do. Now here's why I really think the over is the way to go. Keep in mind, this game only missed going over by 8. LA put up 19 threes and hit only 3. That's 15%. They won't shoot as many tonight but will hit more. Remember, one reason they shot as many as they did was because they were behind. Foul shooting will be better by both teams. Let's hope they can get over 30 at the foul line. Sac had the big lead and was slowing the ball down all through the 4th. Adelman had to keep riding them to speed the game up and play their tempo. They almost let LA back in it. I don't see LA doing anything different other than playing better offense. Sac would be crazy to change their game plan but if they get a big lead late they will keep pushing the ball. It's reasonable to think that Sac gets 94+ in a losing effort or over 100 if they win. Let's hope LA don't have a 12 to 15 point lead in the fourth because they will slow the ball down.
Playing
LA o 193'
Good luck everyone
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