Friday contradictions

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
Gotta kill some time.
Some thoughts on Friday.
I clearly have no clue so best to be oppositionally situated.

--Misch was pretty decent in 2 of his 4 starts last year and might help keep the score down. Kendrick, himself, has had a rough schedule with games at Colorado, Cinci and Metland; Giants easily his weakest opponent yet. 9.5 seems high.

--Germano is a joke this year and Marlins, 'til their last series, have been doing a number on righties. Pads hit lefties well last year but are putrid so far in '08.

--Dumatrait-Chico? I dunno...over probably.

--tough to go against Volquez right now. Tough to go against Hudson always. Under 8.5 with the right ump, save that either squad could kill that with a good inning against a reliever.

--Oswalt looks affordable. Been turned off of Charlie V this season. Astros O ain't half bad and a strong home team against a team that doesn't travel well. Oswalt loves pitching at home. I'll probably try this one so bank on the Brewers.

--Wainwright much better than Hill. Cubs offense better. Cards bullpen better. Cards hitting L pretty well this year but lack power numbers. Tempting.

--Francis pretty decent at Coors last year but not so hot in 2, so far, this year. Actually, take away his 2 starts vs the D'Backs and his numbers aren't so bad. Still, Rox are totally not hitting (since the World Series, it seems) and Dodgers are starting to lately. Jeff has solid numbers vs the Dodgers and just faced them, looking good, though the Rox lost, scoring only a pair (against the sensational Loaiza!:rolleyes: ). Penny, always worth consideration, is 13-2 against the Rox, just beating them back on April 26th; he's 5-1 with a 3.79 at Coors. I might try this so consider the Rockies.

--Owings has excelled but faced no one significant (Giants twice, Padres, Dodgers, and Rockies who haven't been hitting). Definitely prefer Maine. Mets a strong road club. I'll probably part with my money taking a shot here. Go D'Backs! :rolleyes: ...worked for the Jays only win this past decade...nevermind

Going to submit, bang my head against the wall (twice) and pretend to resolve the A.L.
 
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EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
--tb-Sox I don't know. Jackson is either trash or phenomenal, it seems. Same with Clay. Rays putrid on the road since their inception--beating the O's is meaningless. Same for the Sox vs Jays.

--Indians could school Hochevar--they plate another huge number today (pretty please) and will look good for tomorrow. Price is lame. Sabathia's been tame. Royals not hitting lefties so well.

--Bedard has decent numbers vs the Yanks, who are in a bit of a funk. M's not an attractive team this season. Hard to fade Wang. Under the 8.5, maybe, so expect a 5-4 final.

--Jays at home to L was rock-solid last season. Marcum will keep them in this one. I'm thinking Jays unders from here to eternity, and Buehrle has a 3.12 career era vs. I can't touch the Jays.

--Tigers look worth a shot but pricey and Baker has good numbers vs--only 2-3 in 8 but with a 3.61 era and 1.13 whip; he's been solid in 2 home starts as well. Tigers do another job on the Skankees and temptation will mount...so will the price.

--A's same price as the Tigers...explain that one to me. Opponent's hitting .327 against Padilla during his 4 road starts. This price should rise, too. Blanton 0-4 in 5 at home, but has only had 13 runs of support in those 5...seems odd, the way the A's are hitting this season. Actually, Texas with an OPS 60 points higher vs R than the A's. Texas .761 on the road and Oaktown .718 at home. Tough call...should change my username to that:rolleyes: .

--Angels home to R was gold last year. Weaver's been solid in 2 there. Not much value at price.


May the Cubs Series exemption continue.
Maybe the Jays can get Derek Lee for Marcum, Rios and a bottle of wine.
There's always hope.
Hope confronts futility.

GL
 

EXTRAPOLATER

Registered User
Forum Member
Feb 22, 2001
8,050
137
63
Toronto
I've got a nagging little voice in my head telling me to take a break.
For now, I've told it to shut up and leave me alone.

May: 2-3 -1.39
ml: 1-1 -0.76
totals: 1-2 -0.63

Friday
======

Marlins -114 0.91/0.8
Cards -108 0.54/0.5
dodgers -106 0.53/0.5
mets +108 0.6/0.65
tigers -123 1.23/1

2-teamer
--Jays ml
--A's ml
+203
0.49/1


Astros are tempting but Charlie V has looked good his last couple and Brewers outcome yesterday has me spooked off of it. Besides, pricey the way Oswalt has opened the season.

Was considering the following unders which, if I find out we've got an Eddings or Cuzzi umping, I might add later: Braves 8.5, Yanks 8.5, Bosox 9.

Early thoughts for Saturday:
pirates, Maholm over Chico, for better than -130.
D'backs, Webb over Pelfrey, at -150 or better (dream).
padres, Peavy over Nolasco, at -150 or better (same).
Indians, Laffey over Meche, at -140 or better.
tigers, Verlander over Baker, at -140 or better and a good showing Friday.
A's, Gaudin over Murray, at -160 or better and a good showing Friday.
Thinking about some totals, too, but will have to see first games and umpires.

GL
 
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