Hit my only play yesterday in FOOTS and I see a lot that I like today. First off, with so few games on the schedule, I'm making a lot of plays, but not without reasoning. Here's what I'm playing and why:
6.5 PT TEASERS
NEB +4 & Under 54.5 * Single Play *
ARK +10 & Under 54.5 ** DOULBLE PLAY **
ARIZONA +20.5 & Under 54.5 * Single Play *
TEXAS -4 & OVER 50 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
ARK Under 54.5 & TX OV 50 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
Also made these straight plays:
ARK Under 48 *** TRIPLE PLAY ***
ARIZ Under 48 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
TEX OVER 56.5 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
NEB needs a win today to be BOWL BOUND, and I think CALLAHAN finds a way to get that done to improve his recruiting. The biggest reason I like the Under in a teaser is because I think both teams will be trying to run the ball early, but with little success. NEB DEF only yields 3.8 YPP overall, and a very stingy 2.0 YPR at home!
COLO is not a great passing team, so I can't see them doing much thru the air either. I see this game being decided by special teams and turnovers so I'll lean with the home team to pull out a low scoring game.
Here's a scary stat, ARK is 17-0 when playing in LITTLE ROCK since 1998! :scared This is the first game in LR this year, and they need to win to gain a bowl bid. LSU has been a disappointment this year, and yes 9-2 is still good, buy a far cry from the so called #1 ranking of last year. Here's some interesting stats on this game. LSU is 0-3 to the Under this year after 2 consecutive wins, and 3-13 in this situation the last 3. LSU is also 1-4 O/U this year on games on grass, 7-18 the last 3 years. Meanwhile, ARK is 0-4 O/U at home this year, 2-11 O/U the last 3. Add in LSU's 16 ppg average on the road with ARK DEF average of 14.7 at home, and you can start to see my logic. ARK only gave up 20 pts once this year at home, and that was to GA, while LSU only managed to hit 20 once on the road while visiting FLA. Granted, LSU has played some tough DEF on the road (AUB, GA, FLA) but ARK's defense isn't too far behind when at home. Add in the fact that both teams would rather run than pass, and rely on strong DEF to win, I have to side with RAZORBACKS here and take the Under.
ARIZ ST has dominated this series lately, but ZONA has STOOPS as Coach now, so that should start to change, just not today. Of course, this is Mike STOOPS, not BOB, but he still emphasizes DEFENSE and that's what I think you'll see today. ZONA struggles on offense averaging only 14 per game, while ARIZ ST averages only 16 per on the road. Granted, two of those road games were CAL & USC where they were dominated and only managed 7 pts total. BUT, how good can this 8-2 team be if they were beaten 73-7 by CAL/USC?? :shrug: Those are two great teams, but ARIZ ST is supposedly right behind them... :142lmao: Yeah right... I'm expecting STOOPS to try and keep this game as close as possible and control the clock. If he can do that, ZONA will have a chance. I just don't see this one turning into one of those old fashioned shootouts like these two used to have. Hopefully I'm right...
TEXAS needs to win to keep their BCS hopes alive and Mack Brown is not one to let up, especially against A&M. TEX has beaten them by 30 & 31 the last two years, and the LONGHORNS are currently averaging 45 ppg at home! A&M is playing well, but are giving up pts by the bushelful. Except for the slipup in BAYLOR where they lost by one, they've managed to beat everyone except the 2 UNDEFEATED teams they played in UTAH & OKLA. A&M gave the SOONERS fits until losing 35-42, while TEXAS's only loss is to the same SOONERS, 12-0. A&M has no chance to win this game other than OUTSCORING the LONGHORNS, and obviously I mean a high scoring game, not making a pun there, so the OVER should come in by the end of 3. TEXAS has proven they can come back from anywhere ( just ask the COWBOYS of OK ST ) so they know they are never out of it. I feel TEXAS puts on a show tomorrow and wins this game handily, but just in case, I'll tease it down to Under a TD.
Good luck!
Hope I gave you enough action for the day! :SIB
6.5 PT TEASERS
NEB +4 & Under 54.5 * Single Play *
ARK +10 & Under 54.5 ** DOULBLE PLAY **
ARIZONA +20.5 & Under 54.5 * Single Play *
TEXAS -4 & OVER 50 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
ARK Under 54.5 & TX OV 50 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
Also made these straight plays:
ARK Under 48 *** TRIPLE PLAY ***
ARIZ Under 48 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
TEX OVER 56.5 ** DOUBLE PLAY **
NEB needs a win today to be BOWL BOUND, and I think CALLAHAN finds a way to get that done to improve his recruiting. The biggest reason I like the Under in a teaser is because I think both teams will be trying to run the ball early, but with little success. NEB DEF only yields 3.8 YPP overall, and a very stingy 2.0 YPR at home!
COLO is not a great passing team, so I can't see them doing much thru the air either. I see this game being decided by special teams and turnovers so I'll lean with the home team to pull out a low scoring game.Here's a scary stat, ARK is 17-0 when playing in LITTLE ROCK since 1998! :scared This is the first game in LR this year, and they need to win to gain a bowl bid. LSU has been a disappointment this year, and yes 9-2 is still good, buy a far cry from the so called #1 ranking of last year. Here's some interesting stats on this game. LSU is 0-3 to the Under this year after 2 consecutive wins, and 3-13 in this situation the last 3. LSU is also 1-4 O/U this year on games on grass, 7-18 the last 3 years. Meanwhile, ARK is 0-4 O/U at home this year, 2-11 O/U the last 3. Add in LSU's 16 ppg average on the road with ARK DEF average of 14.7 at home, and you can start to see my logic. ARK only gave up 20 pts once this year at home, and that was to GA, while LSU only managed to hit 20 once on the road while visiting FLA. Granted, LSU has played some tough DEF on the road (AUB, GA, FLA) but ARK's defense isn't too far behind when at home. Add in the fact that both teams would rather run than pass, and rely on strong DEF to win, I have to side with RAZORBACKS here and take the Under.
ARIZ ST has dominated this series lately, but ZONA has STOOPS as Coach now, so that should start to change, just not today. Of course, this is Mike STOOPS, not BOB, but he still emphasizes DEFENSE and that's what I think you'll see today. ZONA struggles on offense averaging only 14 per game, while ARIZ ST averages only 16 per on the road. Granted, two of those road games were CAL & USC where they were dominated and only managed 7 pts total. BUT, how good can this 8-2 team be if they were beaten 73-7 by CAL/USC?? :shrug: Those are two great teams, but ARIZ ST is supposedly right behind them... :142lmao: Yeah right... I'm expecting STOOPS to try and keep this game as close as possible and control the clock. If he can do that, ZONA will have a chance. I just don't see this one turning into one of those old fashioned shootouts like these two used to have. Hopefully I'm right...
TEXAS needs to win to keep their BCS hopes alive and Mack Brown is not one to let up, especially against A&M. TEX has beaten them by 30 & 31 the last two years, and the LONGHORNS are currently averaging 45 ppg at home!
A&M is playing well, but are giving up pts by the bushelful. Except for the slipup in BAYLOR where they lost by one, they've managed to beat everyone except the 2 UNDEFEATED teams they played in UTAH & OKLA. A&M gave the SOONERS fits until losing 35-42, while TEXAS's only loss is to the same SOONERS, 12-0. A&M has no chance to win this game other than OUTSCORING the LONGHORNS, and obviously I mean a high scoring game, not making a pun there, so the OVER should come in by the end of 3. TEXAS has proven they can come back from anywhere ( just ask the COWBOYS of OK ST ) so they know they are never out of it. I feel TEXAS puts on a show tomorrow and wins this game handily, but just in case, I'll tease it down to Under a TD. Good luck!
Hope I gave you enough action for the day! :SIB
