Atlanta @ Philli under 195.
Atl: 7-17 under away -> away, 1 day as 5+ dog. (Av. 185.7)
2-9 under when total 190+ (Av. 186.6)
3-13 under away 5+ dog off away ATS win. (Av. 182.5)
3-9 under away 5+ dog off ATS win, but SU loss. (Av. 183.6)
0-8-1 under this number away 5+ dog off loss of <4. (Av. 183.6)!!
3-11-1 away -> away, 1 day rest when total 190+ (Av. 186.8)
Philli: 0-5 under v. team in that situation. (Av. 183.8)
Atl: 2-11 under as 5+ dog v. team away -> home, no rest. (Av. 183.6)
0-6 under when total 190+ (Av. 177.9)
Atlanta are 2-8 under after 3 consecutive road games, this year.
Philli 4-11 under reveging a home loss.
Back-to-back is Philli's best defensive situation, allowing only 91.4 ppg.
Last meeting in Philli this season totalled 180 in which they allowed the Hawks to hit 48.6% from the field and 41.7% from behind the arc.
In their last 5 games (before today) they allowed a measly 26.9% from 3 pt range, so after Detroit hit 52% today, I'm sure Philli will be back concentrating on their perimeter D.
San Antonio -4.5
This is a situation I love. Betting ON a team off an OT game. The line opened at -5.5, dropped to 5 as soon as the SA game went to OT. Now down to 4.5, the line is already a full point lower than where it 'should' be.
Especially since this seems to be a spot in which SA thrive...They are:
10-0 this number home off an OT!!! (Av. win 19.7!!)!!
Also 4-1 off an OT with no rest!! (Av. win 14.4) [inc. 113-83 win over Minni last season AND 85-77 also v. Minni last season!!]
SA: 11-2 this year after allowing 100+.
9-1 away -> home, no rest as 5+ fav. (Av. win 16.9!!)
Minni: 2-6-1 v. team in this situation.
12-1 as any fav in this situation! (Av. win 18.5) [inc. 113-83 win over Minni last season as -4] ++
20-8-1 as home fav off away win. (Av. win 13.8)
12-2 home fav off <4 win! (Av. win 12.3)
6-1 this number (5-0 last 5) home fav off upset win. (Av. win 14.1)
Minni: 1-7 last 8 away dog on 2 days rest **
SA: 17-3 (this number) home fav. v. team on 2 days rest.
** Minni average only 89.6 in this situation.
SA are at their best defensively with no rest, allowing only 86 ppg, and are 10-4 ATS in this spot.
++ They are 1-11-1 this number. (Av. 178.9)
Also the League is 1-5-1 under in SA's exact situation. (Av. 178.8)
So also looks a solid under.
Phoenix -5.5
League: 32-6 SU (15-3 ATS last 18!!) home 5+ fav, 1 day rest after a 10+ loss as home fav. [Pho] (Av. win 9.4 overall)
Pho: 9-2 home 5+ fav off a home loss. (Av. win 12)
3-0 when loss was 10+!! (Av. win 9)
Wash: 1-9-1 away on 2 days rest as 5+ dog. (Av. 12.5)
0-13 this number, last 13, 5+ dog v. team home -> home, 1 day rest. (Av. loss 15!)
1-23 SU!! (8-15-1 av. loss 12.2) away 5+ dog off home loss!!
0-22 SU!! (6-15-1 av. loss 12.9) " " " " " ATS loss!!
This year Washington are 4-15 away v. >.500 teams, and 1-10 on Fridays!!
Phoenix are 14-2-1 home this year when allowing <90.
Washington are 4-15 away when scoring <90.
Washington are averaging 85 in their last 10 away games (82.75 in last 8!!)
84.4 on 2 days rest, and 87 ppg as a dog.
The Suns burnt me
rolleyes: sorry..didn't mean that!) the other day v. Utah, but that should see them more hungry to put this game away.
Good luck all!
Atl: 7-17 under away -> away, 1 day as 5+ dog. (Av. 185.7)
2-9 under when total 190+ (Av. 186.6)
3-13 under away 5+ dog off away ATS win. (Av. 182.5)
3-9 under away 5+ dog off ATS win, but SU loss. (Av. 183.6)
0-8-1 under this number away 5+ dog off loss of <4. (Av. 183.6)!!
3-11-1 away -> away, 1 day rest when total 190+ (Av. 186.8)
Philli: 0-5 under v. team in that situation. (Av. 183.8)
Atl: 2-11 under as 5+ dog v. team away -> home, no rest. (Av. 183.6)
0-6 under when total 190+ (Av. 177.9)
Atlanta are 2-8 under after 3 consecutive road games, this year.
Philli 4-11 under reveging a home loss.
Back-to-back is Philli's best defensive situation, allowing only 91.4 ppg.
Last meeting in Philli this season totalled 180 in which they allowed the Hawks to hit 48.6% from the field and 41.7% from behind the arc.
In their last 5 games (before today) they allowed a measly 26.9% from 3 pt range, so after Detroit hit 52% today, I'm sure Philli will be back concentrating on their perimeter D.
San Antonio -4.5
This is a situation I love. Betting ON a team off an OT game. The line opened at -5.5, dropped to 5 as soon as the SA game went to OT. Now down to 4.5, the line is already a full point lower than where it 'should' be.
Especially since this seems to be a spot in which SA thrive...They are:
10-0 this number home off an OT!!! (Av. win 19.7!!)!!
Also 4-1 off an OT with no rest!! (Av. win 14.4) [inc. 113-83 win over Minni last season AND 85-77 also v. Minni last season!!]
SA: 11-2 this year after allowing 100+.
9-1 away -> home, no rest as 5+ fav. (Av. win 16.9!!)
Minni: 2-6-1 v. team in this situation.
12-1 as any fav in this situation! (Av. win 18.5) [inc. 113-83 win over Minni last season as -4] ++
20-8-1 as home fav off away win. (Av. win 13.8)
12-2 home fav off <4 win! (Av. win 12.3)
6-1 this number (5-0 last 5) home fav off upset win. (Av. win 14.1)
Minni: 1-7 last 8 away dog on 2 days rest **
SA: 17-3 (this number) home fav. v. team on 2 days rest.
** Minni average only 89.6 in this situation.
SA are at their best defensively with no rest, allowing only 86 ppg, and are 10-4 ATS in this spot.
++ They are 1-11-1 this number. (Av. 178.9)
Also the League is 1-5-1 under in SA's exact situation. (Av. 178.8)
So also looks a solid under.
Phoenix -5.5
League: 32-6 SU (15-3 ATS last 18!!) home 5+ fav, 1 day rest after a 10+ loss as home fav. [Pho] (Av. win 9.4 overall)
Pho: 9-2 home 5+ fav off a home loss. (Av. win 12)
3-0 when loss was 10+!! (Av. win 9)
Wash: 1-9-1 away on 2 days rest as 5+ dog. (Av. 12.5)
0-13 this number, last 13, 5+ dog v. team home -> home, 1 day rest. (Av. loss 15!)
1-23 SU!! (8-15-1 av. loss 12.2) away 5+ dog off home loss!!
0-22 SU!! (6-15-1 av. loss 12.9) " " " " " ATS loss!!
This year Washington are 4-15 away v. >.500 teams, and 1-10 on Fridays!!
Phoenix are 14-2-1 home this year when allowing <90.
Washington are 4-15 away when scoring <90.
Washington are averaging 85 in their last 10 away games (82.75 in last 8!!)
84.4 on 2 days rest, and 87 ppg as a dog.
The Suns burnt me
Good luck all!
