10:15 PM MLB [962] TOTAL u7-110 (WAS NATIONALS vrs SFO GIANTS) ( M SCHERZER /SAMARDZIJA)
07:05 PM MLB [966] TOTAL u9-120 (BAL ORIOLES vrs TOR BLUE JAYS) ( K GAUSMAN -R / M ESTRADA )
07:10 PM MLB [968] TOTAL u7.5 -120 (NY YANKEES vrs TB RAYS) ( I NOVA -R / J ODORIZZI -R )
07:10 PM MLB [970] CLE INDIANS -163 ( K GRAVEMAN -R / T BAUER -R )
10:05 PM MLB [977] BOS RED SOX -1.5 -111 ( R PORCELLO -R / T LINCECUM -R )
10:00 PM CFB [305] B.C. LIONS +4-105
1 unit bet pays 37 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 11-119, -24.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd...
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
:0074
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
The most obviously great outing from 23rd came from the hands of Kevin Gausman who went 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 7 Ks against the Indians. I've been getting lot of flack for my rankings of Gausman this year and I'm not sure why since I've been labeling him as a decent floor guy with room to grow. He has a 8.52 K/9 and a 2.06 BB/9, solid stuff that will allow him to give you a decent WHIP + strikeout numbers in any given start, even if he allows an extra ER than you'd like. He's also been studly in his last five with a 2.51 ERA, 9.19 K/9 and just a 1.39 BB/9, and I like where the kid is headed. Sure, the AL Beast isn't too friendly to him...He's not as exciting as some other youngins, but he'll get the job done.
Under is 17-5 in BAL last 22 overall.
Under is 10-2 in Gausmans last 12 starts overall.
Marco Estrada is having a great season, posting a 5-4 record with a solid 2.94 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in 110.1 innings of work. He has made two starts against Baltimore this season, conceding just one run in five innings in his first start, followed by a six inning performance where he allowed three runs, finishing with the no decision. Estrada now has a solid 3.38 ERA with a 2-1 record in 37.1 career innings pitched against the Orioles.
Matz brought his ERA down from 3.56 to 3.36 with his first victory since May 25. Wins and losses aside, he has looked stronger lately -- posting three quality starts in his past four outings and recording a 22-to-8 K/BB ratio in that span. His fielding-independent metrics remain healthy (3.43 FIP, 3.47 xFIP) and he should still be viewed as a top-25 starter down the stretch.
Chatwood?s recent command issues -- 27:30 K/BB ratio since the start of June -- are troubling, but yielding just one hit over five frames in Coors Field is incredibly impressive, even if it was against the Braves. The 26-year-old still hasn?t picked up a quality start since June 11, however, and he holds a 3.65 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP with 66 strikeouts in 103 2/3 innings overall.
Chicago White Sox -122
The Chicago White Sox have a huge edge on the mound today over the Minnesota Twins. We'll take advantage and back them as small road favorites over one of the worst teams in the American League tonight in Game 1 of this series.
Jose Quintana is 8-8 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last three outings. Quintana is 6-5 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.287 WHIP in 16 career starts against Minnesota as well.
Ricky Nolasco is 4-8 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 20 starts, 0-4 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in nine road starts, and 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in his last three outings. Nolasco is also 1-4 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in seven career starts against Chicago.
The White Sox are 4-0 in Quintana's last four starts. Minnesota is 9-27 in its last 36 vs. AL Central opponents. The Twins are 7-25 in their last 32 vs. a team with a losing record. Minnesota is 0-7 in Nolasco's last seven starts vs. AL Central foes. Chicago is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
Rockies at Mets
Pick: Under 7
The Rockies have won 3 straight and all 3 games stayed under the total. Colorado is 8-2 to the under this season when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 games or more. Overall, the Rockies are 17-5 to the under this month! As a big dog of +150 to +175 Colorado has gone 11-3 to the under this season. The under is a long-term 66-39 in Mets games where they are a home fave of -175 to -200. The Mets are off another loss yesterday and are an incredible 32-13 to the under this season when they are off of a loss. The under is 15-6 in New York's games so far this month. The Mets will have Steven Matz on the mound and the under is 10-3 in his last 13 starts and he is off of a gem at Miami and has an edge here with the Rockies having never faced him. As for the Rockies Tyler Chatwood he has a stellar 1.57 ERA in his 4 career starts against the Mets. Also, Colorado is 7-1 in his 8 road starts this season as Chatwood has compiled a stellar 1.30 ERA away from home this season! Look for a pitchers duel in this one.
White Sox / Twins Over 8.5
Here we have a similar situation to what we had with our winning Max Bet last night. We've got to offenses that can go stagnant - against pitchers that CAN be decent but the opposition knows them well. It's not Frank Viola against Lamar Hoyt. Quintana threw 117 pitches in his last outing, and unless your last name is Verlander or Kershaw, that's a lot. Quintana has been far more vulnerable on the road and has already thrown three games against the Twins this season. He's becoming more of a fly ball pitcher, and what we're looking for with a total of 8.5 is both teams getting to four, making it a winner. The Twins are "only" 12-15 against LHP's (far better than RHP) and in those games they're 16-10 to the over. In his first two starts (this season) he didn't give up much, but here comes the familiarity - in his third start (at home) he allowed four runs in seven innings. We know that Nolasco can be very good or very bad. When he's good he keeps the ball down (on the ground) and when he's bad - he certainly does suck. But, because he was SO bad his last outing, he only threw 65 pitches - but, the White Sox have simply gone off on him this season. They'll get to four as well. At home, the Twins bullpen is palatable. The Chicago pen on the road has been bad all season, and even worse this season - and Quintana hasn't finished the 7th inning but once since early June. So, I expect this will be a higher scoring game than most do at this point.
Many have asked about this bet since the Twins traded Eduardo Nunez to the Giants. Well, yes, I am still playing it. Nunez was having a "decent" season by his standards. In fact, it's a career year for him. But, in the month of July he hit exactly one home run (of his 12 on the season) and is hitting .235 for the month. There's also a reason the Yankees traded him - first of all he's not a great defensive SS - for class A pitching prospect, Miguel Sulbaran - who still hasn't thrown a pitch for Yankees (I don't think). He had all of 11 at bats against Quintana, with four hits. They will likely move Escobar to SS, or do something with Danny Santana. They may lose a bit of speed in the leadoff position, but Santana can run - or they'll have Buxton leading off who is one of the fastest runners in MLB. In the end, a career .274 hitter with marginal power and who's made 38 errors at SS in his career (213 games STARTED) isn't going to be hard to replace. Bonus information - the last game Nunez missed was July 10th at Texas. The Twins scored 15 runs with Dozier leading off and Escobar had two hits, batting ninth, and giving AJ Griffin his worst beating of the year.
07:05 PM MLB [966] TOTAL u9-120 (BAL ORIOLES vrs TOR BLUE JAYS) ( K GAUSMAN -R / M ESTRADA )
07:10 PM MLB [968] TOTAL u7.5 -120 (NY YANKEES vrs TB RAYS) ( I NOVA -R / J ODORIZZI -R )
07:10 PM MLB [970] CLE INDIANS -163 ( K GRAVEMAN -R / T BAUER -R )
10:05 PM MLB [977] BOS RED SOX -1.5 -111 ( R PORCELLO -R / T LINCECUM -R )
10:00 PM CFB [305] B.C. LIONS +4-105
1 unit bet pays 37 ....betdsi line
MLB parlays: 11-119, -24.24 units (risk 1 unit each pick)... winner #1 posted here......winner #2 posted here....winner #3 and nice winner #4... and small reduced winner #5, winner #6 paid 5.07 units...winner #7...and here is winner #8...and then winner #9....after long dry spell, hit four teamer on July 4th.....and another long dry spell, hit five teamer on July 23rd...
Goood luck everyone!! :firing: :toast:
ripped, cut and pasted, otherwise written by others, from across the internets:
The most obviously great outing from 23rd came from the hands of Kevin Gausman who went 7.0 IP, 0 ER, 4 Hits, 3 BBs, 7 Ks against the Indians. I've been getting lot of flack for my rankings of Gausman this year and I'm not sure why since I've been labeling him as a decent floor guy with room to grow. He has a 8.52 K/9 and a 2.06 BB/9, solid stuff that will allow him to give you a decent WHIP + strikeout numbers in any given start, even if he allows an extra ER than you'd like. He's also been studly in his last five with a 2.51 ERA, 9.19 K/9 and just a 1.39 BB/9, and I like where the kid is headed. Sure, the AL Beast isn't too friendly to him...He's not as exciting as some other youngins, but he'll get the job done.
Under is 17-5 in BAL last 22 overall.
Under is 10-2 in Gausmans last 12 starts overall.
Marco Estrada is having a great season, posting a 5-4 record with a solid 2.94 ERA and a 1.01 WHIP in 110.1 innings of work. He has made two starts against Baltimore this season, conceding just one run in five innings in his first start, followed by a six inning performance where he allowed three runs, finishing with the no decision. Estrada now has a solid 3.38 ERA with a 2-1 record in 37.1 career innings pitched against the Orioles.
Matz brought his ERA down from 3.56 to 3.36 with his first victory since May 25. Wins and losses aside, he has looked stronger lately -- posting three quality starts in his past four outings and recording a 22-to-8 K/BB ratio in that span. His fielding-independent metrics remain healthy (3.43 FIP, 3.47 xFIP) and he should still be viewed as a top-25 starter down the stretch.
Chatwood?s recent command issues -- 27:30 K/BB ratio since the start of June -- are troubling, but yielding just one hit over five frames in Coors Field is incredibly impressive, even if it was against the Braves. The 26-year-old still hasn?t picked up a quality start since June 11, however, and he holds a 3.65 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP with 66 strikeouts in 103 2/3 innings overall.
Chicago White Sox -122
The Chicago White Sox have a huge edge on the mound today over the Minnesota Twins. We'll take advantage and back them as small road favorites over one of the worst teams in the American League tonight in Game 1 of this series.
Jose Quintana is 8-8 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.105 WHIP in 20 starts this season, including 2-0 with a 2.41 ERA and 1.018 WHIP in his last three outings. Quintana is 6-5 with a 3.92 ERA and 1.287 WHIP in 16 career starts against Minnesota as well.
Ricky Nolasco is 4-8 with a 4.50 ERA and 1.406 WHIP in 20 starts, 0-4 with a 5.66 ERA and 1.455 WHIP in nine road starts, and 1-1 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.714 WHIP in his last three outings. Nolasco is also 1-4 with a 6.98 ERA and 1.700 WHIP in seven career starts against Chicago.
The White Sox are 4-0 in Quintana's last four starts. Minnesota is 9-27 in its last 36 vs. AL Central opponents. The Twins are 7-25 in their last 32 vs. a team with a losing record. Minnesota is 0-7 in Nolasco's last seven starts vs. AL Central foes. Chicago is 8-1 in the last nine meetings.
Rockies at Mets
Pick: Under 7
The Rockies have won 3 straight and all 3 games stayed under the total. Colorado is 8-2 to the under this season when they enter a game on a winning streak of 3 games or more. Overall, the Rockies are 17-5 to the under this month! As a big dog of +150 to +175 Colorado has gone 11-3 to the under this season. The under is a long-term 66-39 in Mets games where they are a home fave of -175 to -200. The Mets are off another loss yesterday and are an incredible 32-13 to the under this season when they are off of a loss. The under is 15-6 in New York's games so far this month. The Mets will have Steven Matz on the mound and the under is 10-3 in his last 13 starts and he is off of a gem at Miami and has an edge here with the Rockies having never faced him. As for the Rockies Tyler Chatwood he has a stellar 1.57 ERA in his 4 career starts against the Mets. Also, Colorado is 7-1 in his 8 road starts this season as Chatwood has compiled a stellar 1.30 ERA away from home this season! Look for a pitchers duel in this one.
White Sox / Twins Over 8.5
Here we have a similar situation to what we had with our winning Max Bet last night. We've got to offenses that can go stagnant - against pitchers that CAN be decent but the opposition knows them well. It's not Frank Viola against Lamar Hoyt. Quintana threw 117 pitches in his last outing, and unless your last name is Verlander or Kershaw, that's a lot. Quintana has been far more vulnerable on the road and has already thrown three games against the Twins this season. He's becoming more of a fly ball pitcher, and what we're looking for with a total of 8.5 is both teams getting to four, making it a winner. The Twins are "only" 12-15 against LHP's (far better than RHP) and in those games they're 16-10 to the over. In his first two starts (this season) he didn't give up much, but here comes the familiarity - in his third start (at home) he allowed four runs in seven innings. We know that Nolasco can be very good or very bad. When he's good he keeps the ball down (on the ground) and when he's bad - he certainly does suck. But, because he was SO bad his last outing, he only threw 65 pitches - but, the White Sox have simply gone off on him this season. They'll get to four as well. At home, the Twins bullpen is palatable. The Chicago pen on the road has been bad all season, and even worse this season - and Quintana hasn't finished the 7th inning but once since early June. So, I expect this will be a higher scoring game than most do at this point.
Many have asked about this bet since the Twins traded Eduardo Nunez to the Giants. Well, yes, I am still playing it. Nunez was having a "decent" season by his standards. In fact, it's a career year for him. But, in the month of July he hit exactly one home run (of his 12 on the season) and is hitting .235 for the month. There's also a reason the Yankees traded him - first of all he's not a great defensive SS - for class A pitching prospect, Miguel Sulbaran - who still hasn't thrown a pitch for Yankees (I don't think). He had all of 11 at bats against Quintana, with four hits. They will likely move Escobar to SS, or do something with Danny Santana. They may lose a bit of speed in the leadoff position, but Santana can run - or they'll have Buxton leading off who is one of the fastest runners in MLB. In the end, a career .274 hitter with marginal power and who's made 38 errors at SS in his career (213 games STARTED) isn't going to be hard to replace. Bonus information - the last game Nunez missed was July 10th at Texas. The Twins scored 15 runs with Dozier leading off and Escobar had two hits, batting ninth, and giving AJ Griffin his worst beating of the year.
