futures & win totals... 3 days til first pitch!

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
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0
42
Chicago
2010 stats...
total units
$222.85
avg play $1.32
ROI $7.02/100 (7.02%)
bankroll increase 222.85%

srs 56.73% +$62.50 series plays made up 28% of the profits this year and i intend on making them key to my profitability this year once again.

fav 61.17% would like this to be higher, of course. (would love to have it up to a -170 level... 62.97%)

5in 56.38%6.7%ROI ROI# shows these plays where shaded to the favorite side and that will likely continue as they're predominantly plays on the SPs.

und 54.50% 6.7%ROI
ovr 53.60% 4.9%ROI under system worked well in the first season and i am adding to it this year in an attempt to get even tighter and more successful. over plays were profitable and seeing as those are a less than 50% proposition i'll take 52%+ any year!

dog +$29.61 10.5%ROI really increased the # of dog plays in 2010 and it paid off, went from a borderline losing proposition to a solid solid winner. 13.3% of the profits from dog MLs. :0074
par +$35.14 22.2%ROI really really good on the combos. can't say much about 22.2%ROI. maybe i'll call em my junk bond plays this year.

rLs +$2.95 :shrug: disappointing in this category. 50% here is mad profitable and barely broke 47%. being more selective may be the key. gonna work on it and watch this stat in the early going.

lost a few units on braves games (sides and totals) this year, but they weren't profitable except on the RL.

made a solid 20 units on chisox games, almost double their +$ #.

only futures i hit was the rangers division and AL. 9-3 on my posted win totals from march. 4-1 on my additional 5 that i got on either last minute or during the season (love matchbook). 13-4, 76.5%. very proud of my capping there and, of course, the results.


--------------------------------


wtf pre-season prop play:
+21500 WS matchup Milwaukee v Tampa Bay $.10 (played it a while ago)

2011 win total plays
reds over85 $1.50
brewers ov85.5 $1.50
chi sox ov85 $1.50
oakland ov83.5 $1.50
rangers ov86.5 $1.50
braves ov88 $1.25

mets under77 $1.75
phils u96.5 $1.25
cards u83.5 $1.25
seattle u70 $1
giants u88.5 $1
royals u68.5 $1
tribe u72.5 $1


2011 futures
WS
ATL 28
CWS 29
CIN 28
COL 28
MIL 24
OAK 35
TB 31
TEX 24

AL
CWS 12.5
MIN 10
OAK 17
TB 15.5
TEX 11
good hedging #s here v BOS in an ALCS

NL
ATL 11.75
CIN 11.75
COL 11.75
MIL 10.50
...bet against PHI basically

div
ATL 4.25
FLA 10.25

CIN 2.35
MIL 2.05
CHC 4.85
...pick 3 playing against STL

COL 2
SD 13.5
...SF price is stupid low, so many ?s, and this SD price too high considering their bullpen.


TB 10.25
TOR 25
...value

no value in the central division odds.

OAK 2
TEX 1.25
...don't think the angels will keep up with these two.


really like some of the division triples with ATL + Boston, especially MIL 2850 and CIN 3150. think Philly's hype is helping Atlanta be underpriced.

good luck to all!


:mj10: matchbook sold and pulling out of the US could put a dent in the overall profitability this year, but we'll manage. thinking about going back to thegreek but not sure i'll need it with the 5 cent lines at 5dimes. if you're curious why i use bodog, it's because it's pretty much a square book and therefore offers good value on dogs because most people are overpaying for faves. also need an alternate market for 3-game series.





srs
und
fav
5inn
dog
RLs
ovr
par
prp

atl
cws

series:
x


today... :clap: 0-0-0 +$0.00
this wk... 0-0-0 -$0.00
lst wk... 0-0-0 -$0.00

11mlb...0-0-0 +$0.00
avg play (0.00/0)=$0.00
ROI $0.00
srs 0-0-0 (0.00%) +$0.00
fav 0-0 0.00%
5in 0-0-0 0.00%
und 0-0-0 0.00%
dog 0-0 +$0.00
par 0-0 +$0.00
rLs 0-0 +$0.0
ovr 0-0-0 0.00%
prp 0-0-0
atl 0-0-0 -$0.00
cws 0-0-0 +$0.00
apr 0-0-0 +$0.00
...
10mlb 1015-826-75 (55.13%)
09mlb 496-454-31 (52.16%)
08mlb 574-385-11 (59.85%)
07mlb 586-392-16 (59.92%)
bodog|5dimes|thegreek

go braves!
tomachop.gif

go white sox! :toast:
 

blandman2

Registered User
Forum Member
May 14, 2007
2
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0
tig3ers... I'm gonna use my first post to tell you... I've been following your picks for 2 years now. amazing work. keep it up.
 

pfj

Registered User
Forum Member
May 9, 2009
5,611
7
0
Tiger great job last year I tailed most the year. Question for futures did you put $1 on each as far as wager wise. Thanks and let's keep it rolling. Gl
 

tig3rs

swing away!
Forum Member
Jan 17, 2007
3,020
6
0
42
Chicago
i just put those values there for a relative strength. for the last 5 years i've played futures and win totals on matchbook where you can buy either side throughout the season seeing as it was a market, so i never shared units or anything, just a mention once preseason. but without matchbook now i'm stuck with single plays so i figured i'd mention which ones i liked better.
 

pfj

Registered User
Forum Member
May 9, 2009
5,611
7
0
i just put those values there for a relative strength. for the last 5 years i've played futures and win totals on matchbook where you can buy either side throughout the season seeing as it was a market, so i never shared units or anything, just a mention once preseason. but without matchbook now i'm stuck with single plays so i figured i'd mention which ones i liked better.

ok understood. much appreciated tigers and enjoy the season. bol :toast:
 
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